CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 2:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SHSU 17.0%83.0% FIU
Projected margin
FIU by 14.5
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
SHSU 4 to FIU 33
Win probability
FIU 83.0%

Current team profiles

Sam Houston
Florida International

When Sam Houston has the ball

Passing

FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
SHSU offense
#98
FIU defense
#14
EPA comparison
0.12
#98
-0.05
#14
Pass EPA

Rushing

FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
SHSU offense
#110
FIU defense
#29
EPA comparison
0.00
#110
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA

Drive success

FIU defense
Higher-ranked profile
SHSU offense
#96
FIU defense
#11
Success rates
41%
#96
34%
#11
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#107
-0.07
#14
EPA / play
1.28
#41
1.14
#28
Explosiveness
18%
#122
18%
#31
Havoc

When Florida International has the ball

Passing

SHSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
SHSU defense
#26
FIU offense
#107
EPA comparison
0.01
#26
0.10
#107
Pass EPA

Rushing

FIU offense
Higher-ranked profile
SHSU defense
#134
FIU offense
#129
EPA comparison
0.26
#134
-0.09
#129
Rush EPA

Drive success

SHSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
SHSU defense
#95
FIU offense
#115
Success rates
43%
#95
39%
#115
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#98
-0.01
#124
EPA / play
1.22
#70
1.13
#116
Explosiveness
20%
#18
16%
#98
Havoc

Current key players

Sam Houston
QBBrett Holloway
64 yds · 1 TD · 1 INT
90.619/729
SCameron Franklin
7 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
77.3
Coverage
85.4
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
12
Passer rating allowed
29.2
Missed tackles
1
87.416/2969
LBCa'lub Holloway
3 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
80.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
85.235/1796
RBAh'Marion Gaines-Smith
21 yds · 0 TD · 7.0 YPC
77.0136/1044
LBCole Worthington
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.2210/1796
SRailyn Adams
18 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.4
Coverage
71.2
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
26
Passer rating allowed
7.3
Missed tackles
5
73.9235/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Brock Kuhl · TEout · 2026-10-08

    Kuhl is battling with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Max Whisner · TEQues. · 2026-10-09

    Whisner is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will face Hilltoppers on Wednesday.

Florida International
QBZach Marker
92 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
72.7132/729
RBJayden Ford
11 yds · 0 TD · 11.0 YPC
89.013/1044
WRMaguire Anderson
24 rec · 383 yds · 2 TD
79.362/2069
LBCam Davis
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.4
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
78.3115/1796
DBRyan Gadson
15 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
76.9
Targets allowed
20
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
71
Passer rating allowed
66.9
Missed tackles
2
77.0127/2969
DBJai-Ayviauynn Celestine
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
83.8
Coverage
73.1
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
33.3
Missed tackles
2
76.2151/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Ayden Passley · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Passley is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octob

  • Kevin Schaeffer · TEQues. · 2026-10-08

    Schaeffer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, Octo

  • Noah Sidan · KQues. · 2026-10-08

    Sidan is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Jacksonville St. on Tuesday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

SHSU
FIU
vs
Offense
90.6
#17 of 138
QB
72.7
#92 of 138
75.4
#71 of 138
RB
74.8
#73 of 138
70.0
#80 of 138
WR
71.2
#72 of 138
63.3
#102 of 138
TE
60.0
#120 of 138
65.6
#90 of 138
OL
62.6
#118 of 138
Defense
74.7
#56 of 138
DL
76.1
#45 of 138
76.7
#47 of 138
LB
75.9
#52 of 138
73.4
#52 of 138
DB
72.6
#63 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Sam Houston
opponent
Florida International
A-32.0
LIB#77
-8.1A
H-4.8
NMSU#120
+19.0H
A-7.9
MOST#141
+9.3H
H-2.0
MTSU#150
+9.9H
A-16.7
JXST#103
-4.8A
H-8.7
KENN#113
-2.1A