CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Old Oaken Bucket
Forecast win probability
PUR 4.4%95.6% IU
Projected margin
IU by 26.3
Projected total
58
80% outcome range
IU 8 to IU 45
Win probability
IU 95.6%

Current team profiles

Purdue
Indiana

When Purdue has the ball

Passing

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
PUR offense
#24
IU defense
#20
EPA comparison
0.40
#24
0.00
#20
Pass EPA

Rushing

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
PUR offense
#63
IU defense
#18
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA

Drive success

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
PUR offense
#44
IU defense
#4
Success rates
46%
#44
32%
#4
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#29
-0.06
#16
EPA / play
1.21
#83
1.43
#132
Explosiveness
12%
#30
19%
#24
Havoc

When Indiana has the ball

Passing

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
PUR defense
#119
IU offense
#2
EPA comparison
0.34
#119
0.65
#2
Pass EPA

Rushing

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
PUR defense
#125
IU offense
#17
EPA comparison
0.20
#125
0.25
#17
Rush EPA

Drive success

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
PUR defense
#120
IU offense
#24
Success rates
46%
#120
49%
#24
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#132
0.41
#2
EPA / play
1.40
#127
1.41
#5
Explosiveness
14%
#105
11%
#18
Havoc

Current key players

Purdue
QBRyan Browne
1390 yds · 8 TD · 1 INT
77.595/729
WRAsaad Waseem
27 rec · 453 yds · 1 TD
83.630/2069
DBMister Clark
5 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.8
Coverage
76.7
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
59
Passer rating allowed
95.8
Missed tackles
1
79.965/2969
RBFame Ijeboi
354 yds · 6 TD · 4.1 YPC
79.590/1044
WRXavier Townsend
28 rec · 307 yds · 2 TD
74.0146/2069
LBHudson Miller
7 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
64.4
Coverage
70.6
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
70.1362/1796
Availability reports · 1
  • Kylan Fox · TEout · 2026-08-13

    Fox is laid up with a knee injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

Indiana
QBGrant Wilson
74 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
86.433/729
RBTurbo Richard
587 yds · 5 TD · 9.3 YPC
91.03/1044
WRCharlie Becker
27 rec · 477 yds · 8 TD
88.710/2069
WRNick Marsh
23 rec · 341 yds · 4 TD
82.239/2069
LBJacob Savage
6 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.6
Coverage
63.8
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.6108/1796
LBJeff Utzinger
8 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
66.5
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.1157/1796
Availability reports · 1
  • Jamari Sharpe · DBout · 2026-09-12

    Indiana cornerbacks A.J. Harris, Jamari Sharpe out vs. Howard - ESPN

Position units

Position-unit comparison

PUR
IU
vs
Offense
77.5
#72 of 138
QB
86.4
#31 of 138
75.2
#72 of 138
RB
85.2
#10 of 138
77.0
#26 of 138
WR
83.7
#2 of 138
69.3
#69 of 138
TE
59.0
#127 of 138
61.7
#121 of 138
OL
73.3
#26 of 138
Defense
72.2
#83 of 138
DL
81.7
#8 of 138
65.6
#132 of 138
LB
76.9
#44 of 138
66.1
#133 of 138
DB
72.5
#65 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Purdue
opponent
Indiana
H-10.2
WASH#45
+8.1A
H+28.0
MINN#54
+24.1H