CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 13 · Sat Nov 28 · 12:00 AM ET
Victory Bell
Forecast win probability
USC 65.2%34.8% UCLA
Projected margin
USC by 5.7
Projected total
60
80% outcome range
USC 24 to UCLA 13
Win probability
USC 65.2%

Current team profiles

USC
UCLA

When USC has the ball

Passing

UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
USC offense
#6
UCLA defense
#5
EPA comparison
0.55
#6
-0.12
#5
Pass EPA

Rushing

UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
USC offense
#81
UCLA defense
#1
EPA comparison
0.08
#81
-0.24
#1
Rush EPA

Drive success

UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
USC offense
#8
UCLA defense
#5
Success rates
52%
#8
32%
#5
Success rate
More metrics
0.31
#14
-0.20
#1
EPA / play
1.21
#85
1.23
#74
Explosiveness
10%
#9
21%
#11
Havoc

When UCLA has the ball

Passing

UCLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
USC defense
#126
UCLA offense
#98
EPA comparison
0.37
#126
0.12
#98
Pass EPA

Rushing

UCLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
USC defense
#56
UCLA offense
#12
EPA comparison
0.02
#56
0.26
#12
Rush EPA

Drive success

UCLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
USC defense
#77
UCLA offense
#44
Success rates
41%
#77
46%
#44
Success rate
More metrics
0.14
#103
0.20
#46
EPA / play
1.32
#110
1.23
#72
Explosiveness
12%
#124
14%
#63
Havoc

Current key players

USC
QBJayden Maiava
1744 yds · 15 TD · 3 INT
90.321/729
WRTrent Mosley
13 rec · 255 yds · 4 TD
89.87/2069
RBKing Miller
493 yds · 3 TD · 5.2 YPC
77.9114/1044
WRCorey Simms
12 rec · 178 yds · 1 TD
77.283/2069
TEMark Bowman
21 rec · 204 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
76.4
Run blocking
52.7
Penalties
1
74.549/1017
CBElbert Hill IV
3 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.1
Coverage
70.1
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
79
Passer rating allowed
115.3
Missed tackles
1
70.9389/2969
Availability reports · 9
  • Corey Simms · WRout · 2026-10-02

    Simms is sidelined due to knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Terrell Anderson · WRout · 2026-10-09

    Anderson has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and a timetable for return/recovery has yet to be established.

  • Kilian O'Connor · OGout · 2026-08-11

    O'Connor has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Deshonne Redeaux · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Redeaux is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Mark Bowman · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bowman is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Kendarius Reddick · SQues. · 2026-10-11

    Reddick is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Roderick Tezeno · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Tezeno is dealing with a foot injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Romero Ison · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Ison is dealing with a foot injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Sam Huard · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Huard is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 24th.

UCLA
QBNico Iamaleava
820 yds · 4 TD · 2 INT
64.9216/729
LBSammy Omosigho
38 tkl · 7.0 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.7
Coverage
82.5
Pressures
11
Pass-rush snaps
42
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
3
90.78/1796
LBTrent Hendrick
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.7
Coverage
82.5
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
86.825/1796
RBWayne Knight
445 yds · 9 TD · 9.1 YPC
86.227/1044
DBTa'Shawn James
24 tkl · 2 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
Run defense
74.0
Coverage
84.8
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
70
Passer rating allowed
41.7
Missed tackles
5
84.328/2969
DBDerrick Barksdale
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.5
Coverage
76.5
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
110
Passer rating allowed
120.1
Missed tackles
3
77.7102/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Mikey Matthews · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Matthews is dealing with a lower-leg injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Josh Phifer · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Phifer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Sam Yoon · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Yoon is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

USC
UCLA
vs
Offense
90.3
#20 of 138
QB
64.9
#120 of 138
77.6
#51 of 138
RB
86.0
#7 of 138
81.0
#7 of 138
WR
74.0
#43 of 138
74.5
#39 of 138
TE
61.1
#110 of 138
77.8
#6 of 138
OL
69.3
#57 of 138
Defense
77.9
#25 of 138
DL
80.0
#16 of 138
67.7
#122 of 138
LB
84.2
#8 of 138
68.1
#117 of 138
DB
75.2
#31 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

USC
opponent
UCLA
H+19.6
MD#72
+51.0A
H-14.0
ORE#8
+2.0A
A+9.8
WIS#32
+6.7H