2022 Games

Win probability, projected score, and a calibrated margin for every game in Division I.

Updated: Week 16 - 09.07.26 23:29 EDT

Friday, Dec 9

1 game

Final

#126Samford—3

#56North Dakota State—24

Samford 18%82% North Dakota State

model +15.3 · off by 5.7

1 game

Final

#95William & Mary—0

#105Montana State—55

William & Mary 36%64% Montana State

model +5.9 · off by 49.1

1 game

Game of the weekFinal

#71Incarnate Word—66

#67Sacramento State—63

Incarnate Word 48%52% Sacramento State

model +0.9 · off by 3.9

1 game

Final

#108Holy Cross—21

#64South Dakota State—41

Holy Cross 22%78% South Dakota State

model +12.7 · off by 7.3

1 game

Final · neutral

NAVY 57%43% ARMY

model -2.5 · off by 5.5