AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 1:00 PM
Away
Youngstown State
—
20p
#67Home
Kentucky
0-0 · AVR 49.8
42p
YSU 7%93% UK
Spread
UK -21.8
Total
63
Moneyline
YSU+1322UK-1322
Against the market
YSU +1.7line UK -23.5

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Kentucky
DBJesse Anderson III
70.2234/1427
DBTy Bryant
68.1277/1427
LBLorenzo Cowan
66.0199/878
LBSam Greene
65.4207/878
QBKenny Minchey
53.8109/308
RBCJ Baxterprobable
52.0227/514

also out — T. Mizell (RB), Jovantae Barnes (RB)

Projected margin

80% between 3 and 41
-14-7+7+14PKUK +21.8MKT95% interval: -7 to 5080% interval: 3 to 41+3+41YSU wins 7%UK wins 93%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ UK 42–21 YSUUK 39–46 YSU neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesUK 42–42 YSU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUK 46–39 YSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUK 49–35 YSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUK 53–32 YSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUK 56–28 YSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUK 60–25 YSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUK 63–21 YSU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUK 67–18 YSU neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesUK 35–42 YSU neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesUK 39–39 YSU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUK 42–35 YSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUK 46–32 YSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUK 49–28 YSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUK 53–25 YSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUK 56–21 YSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUK 60–18 YSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUK 63–14 YSU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUK 32–39 YSU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUK 35–35 YSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUK 39–32 YSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUK 42–28 YSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUK 46–25 YSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUK 49–21 YSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUK 53–18 YSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUK 56–14 YSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUK 60–11 YSU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUK 28–35 YSU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUK 32–32 YSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUK 35–28 YSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUK 39–25 YSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUK 42–21 YSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUK 46–18 YSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUK 49–14 YSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUK 53–11 YSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUK 56–7 YSU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUK 25–32 YSU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUK 28–28 YSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUK 32–25 YSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUK 35–21 YSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUK 39–18 YSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUK 42–14 YSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUK 46–11 YSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUK 49–7 YSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUK 53–4 YSU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUK 21–28 YSU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUK 25–25 YSU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUK 28–21 YSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUK 32–18 YSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUK 35–14 YSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUK 39–11 YSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesUK 42–7 YSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUK 46–4 YSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUK 49–0 YSU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesUK 18–25 YSU neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesUK 21–21 YSU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesUK 25–18 YSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUK 28–14 YSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUK 32–11 YSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUK 35–7 YSU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesUK 39–4 YSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesUK 42–0 YSU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)84777063564942totalYSU +7UK +7UK +21UK +35UK +49margin →