CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 1:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
YSU 5.4%94.6% UK
Projected margin
UK by 25.8
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
UK 5 to UK 46
Win probability
UK 94.6%
FinalYSU 13 · UK 45model had +25.8, off by 6.2

Current team profiles

Youngstown State
Kentucky

When Youngstown State has the ball

Passing

No comparison
YSU offense
—
UK defense
#60
EPA comparison
—
0.11
#60
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
YSU offense
—
UK defense
#81
EPA comparison
—
0.06
#81
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
YSU offense
#2
UK defense
#109
Success rates
54%
#2
44%
#109
Success rate
More metrics
0.35
#2
0.04
#56
EPA / play
0.27
#1
1.17
#44
Explosiveness
—
18%
#36
Havoc

When Kentucky has the ball

Passing

No comparison
YSU defense
—
UK offense
#66
EPA comparison
—
0.24
#66
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
YSU defense
—
UK offense
#35
EPA comparison
—
0.19
#35
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
YSU defense
#62
UK offense
#20
Success rates
43%
#62
50%
#20
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#68
0.21
#43
EPA / play
0.20
#55
1.15
#106
Explosiveness
—
13%
#39
Havoc

Current key players

Youngstown State
QBBeau Brungard
1435 yds · 14 TD · 4 INT
89.38/370
WRLynn Wyche-El
32 rec · 420 yds · 5 TD
83.512/1229
DLEbony Curry Jr.
16 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.5
Pressures
15
Pass-rush snaps
114
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
1
75.8106/1549
DBBryant Holland-Snowden
6 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.2
Coverage
73.4
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
3
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
75.6127/1765
DBBrandon Chambers Jr.
7 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.8
Coverage
74.2
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
9
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
74.2179/1765
DLAJ Snyder
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.9
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
9
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
74.1147/1549
Kentucky
QBKenny Minchey
1148 yds · 11 TD · 1 INT
63.0239/729
RBJason Patterson
355 yds · 3 TD · 7.9 YPC
86.228/1044
WRKenny Darby
25 rec · 322 yds · 3 TD
81.147/2069
TEElijah Brown
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
66.8
Run blocking
78.1
Penalties
0
80.524/1017
LBAntwan Smith
4 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.9
Coverage
64.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
73.9220/1796
LBSam Greene
17 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.3
Coverage
66.7
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
68
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
2
73.6234/1796
Availability reports · 2
  • Tovani Mizell · RBout · 2026-08-22

    Mizell is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Lincoln Watkins · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Watkins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against Sooners on Saturday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

YSU
UK
vs
Offense
89.3
#8 of 125
QB
63.0
#126 of 138
70.3
#75 of 126
RB
81.1
#30 of 138
73.8
#21 of 126
WR
70.6
#75 of 138
70.5
#30 of 124
TE
80.5
#24 of 138
65.8
#50 of 125
OL
74.5
#20 of 138
Defense
71.4
#51 of 126
DL
71.6
#90 of 138
69.4
#84 of 126
LB
71.1
#95 of 138
72.7
#45 of 126
DB
70.3
#92 of 138
Common opponents