AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 11:00 PM
Away
Towson
—
8p
#29Home
South Carolina
0-0 · AVR 63.4
46p
TOW 0%100% SC
Spread
SC -38.3
Total
54
Moneyline
TOW—SC—
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
South Carolina
LBFred Johnson
78.473/878
LBJustin Okoronkwo
72.1123/878
DBVicari Swain
71.7197/1427
QBLaNorris Sellers
67.648/308
DBPeyton Williams
67.0308/1427
DBJalewis Solomon
62.1423/1427

also out — unknown (WR), J. Gibson (WR), J. Sellers (WR), Dylan Stewart (EDGE), Jacarrius Peak (OL)

Projected margin

80% between 22 and 55
-7-3+3+7+14PKSC +38.395% interval: 15.3 to 61.380% interval: 21.6 to 55+22+55TOW wins 0%SC wins 100%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ SC 46–11 TOWSC 42–35 TOW neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesSC 46–32 TOW neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesSC 49–28 TOW neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesSC 53–25 TOW neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSC 56–21 TOW neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSC 60–18 TOW neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSC 63–14 TOW neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSC 67–11 TOW neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesSC 70–7 TOW neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesSC 39–32 TOW neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesSC 42–28 TOW neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesSC 46–25 TOW neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesSC 49–21 TOW neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesSC 53–18 TOW neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesSC 56–14 TOW neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesSC 60–11 TOW neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSC 63–7 TOW neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesSC 67–4 TOW neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesSC 35–28 TOW neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesSC 39–25 TOW neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesSC 42–21 TOW neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSC 46–18 TOW neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesSC 49–14 TOW neighborhood · ~3.6% of outcomesSC 53–11 TOW neighborhood · ~3.6% of outcomesSC 56–7 TOW neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesSC 60–4 TOW neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesSC 63–0 TOW neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesSC 32–25 TOW neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesSC 35–21 TOW neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesSC 39–18 TOW neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesSC 42–14 TOW neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesSC 46–11 TOW neighborhood · ~3.9% of outcomesSC 49–7 TOW neighborhood · ~3.9% of outcomesSC 53–4 TOW neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesSC 56–0 TOW neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)SC 28–21 TOW neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesSC 32–18 TOW neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesSC 35–14 TOW neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesSC 39–11 TOW neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesSC 42–7 TOW neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesSC 46–4 TOW neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesSC 49–0 TOW neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)SC 25–18 TOW neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesSC 28–14 TOW neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesSC 32–11 TOW neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesSC 35–7 TOW neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesSC 39–4 TOW neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesSC 42–0 TOW neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)SC 21–14 TOW neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesSC 25–11 TOW neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesSC 28–7 TOW neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesSC 32–4 TOW neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSC 35–0 TOW neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalSC +7SC +21SC +35SC +49SC +63margin →