CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 12:00 PM ET
#9Away
Georgia
2-0 · AVR 76.3
45
Final
#72Home
Arkansas
1-1 · AVR 59.4
17
Forecast win probability
UGA 91.8%8.2% ARK
Projected margin
UGA by 19.1
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
UGA 38 to UGA 2
Win probability
UGA 91.8%
FinalUGA 45 · ARK 17model had -19.1, off by 8.9

Current team profiles

Georgia
Arkansas

When Georgia has the ball

Passing

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UGA offense
#3
ARK defense
#84
EPA comparison
0.62
#3
0.19
#84
Pass EPA

Rushing

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UGA offense
#12
ARK defense
#125
EPA comparison
0.26
#12
0.20
#125
Rush EPA

Drive success

UGA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UGA offense
#6
ARK defense
#100
Success rates
52%
#6
43%
#100
Success rate
More metrics
0.40
#3
0.17
#111
EPA / play
1.28
#38
1.16
#38
Explosiveness
12%
#24
13%
#111
Havoc

When Arkansas has the ball

Passing

UGA defense
Higher-ranked profile
UGA defense
#49
ARK offense
#88
EPA comparison
0.08
#49
0.14
#88
Pass EPA

Rushing

UGA defense
Higher-ranked profile
UGA defense
#5
ARK offense
#134
EPA comparison
-0.22
#5
-0.11
#134
Rush EPA

Drive success

UGA defense
Higher-ranked profile
UGA defense
#27
ARK offense
#96
Success rates
35%
#27
41%
#96
Success rate
More metrics
-0.05
#25
0.01
#120
EPA / play
1.23
#76
1.08
#129
Explosiveness
19%
#24
19%
#126
Havoc

Current key players

Georgia
QBGunner Stockton
1049 yds · 13 TD · 1 INT
92.53/729
RBDwight Phillips Jr.
160 yds · 1 TD · 8.0 YPC
90.66/1044
TEElyiss Williams
6 rec · 71 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
74.3
Run blocking
78.3
Penalties
0
88.94/1017
LBChris Cole
22 tkl · 4.5 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.6
Coverage
67.1
Pressures
12
Pass-rush snaps
59
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
88.517/1796
DBKJ Bolden
15 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
80.3
Coverage
82.5
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
94
Passer rating allowed
83.1
Missed tackles
2
84.229/2969
WRLandon Roldan
4 rec · 80 yds · 1 TD
83.927/2069
Availability reports · 3
  • Dante Dowdell · RBout · 2026-09-05

    Dowdell has been sidelined due an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Isiah Canion · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Conan is dealing with a leg injury, and it is unclear if he will face Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Thomas Blackshear · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Blackshear is dealing with a upper-body injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against the Tigers on Saturday, October 17th.

Arkansas
QBKJ Jackson
1038 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
64.0225/729
WRChris Marshall
35 rec · 517 yds · 2 TD
81.246/2069
LBBen Bogle
36 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
85.7
Coverage
58.6
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
78.799/1796
DBShelton Lewis
13 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
62.7
Coverage
81.3
Targets allowed
7
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
45
Passer rating allowed
64.6
Missed tackles
1
78.584/2969
DBKhmori House
33 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
84.7
Coverage
68.2
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
107
Passer rating allowed
94.5
Missed tackles
1
73.2266/2969
WRJelani Watkins
27 rush yds · 0 TD · 3 car
73.0164/2069
Availability reports · 2
  • Maddox Lassiter · TEout · 2026-08-16

    Lassiter has been shut down for the remainder of the season due to an upper body injury.

  • H. Hendrix · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hendrix is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Commodores on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UGA
ARK
vs
Offense
92.5
#4 of 138
QB
64.0
#122 of 138
90.5
#2 of 138
RB
67.0
#135 of 138
82.8
#4 of 138
WR
72.9
#50 of 138
88.9
#4 of 138
TE
61.8
#107 of 138
75.5
#15 of 138
OL
64.3
#102 of 138
Defense
78.6
#20 of 138
DL
72.4
#79 of 138
81.2
#15 of 138
LB
70.2
#103 of 138
78.9
#5 of 138
DB
70.2
#94 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Georgia
opponent
Arkansas
H+24.0
VAN#58
-12.5A
H+15.9
AUB#42
-13.2A
H+12.1
MIZ#15
-11.8H
A+12.6
SC#38
-5.9H