CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Fri Sep 4 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
LIU 1.9%98.0% KU
Projected margin
KU by 33.0
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
KU 13 to KU 54
Win probability
KU 98.0%
FinalLIU 6 · KU 51model had +33.0, off by 12.0

Current team profiles

Long Island University
Kansas

When Long Island University has the ball

Passing

No comparison
LIU offense
—
KU defense
#71
EPA comparison
—
0.15
#71
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
LIU offense
—
KU defense
#27
EPA comparison
—
-0.07
#27
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
LIU offense
#96
KU defense
#20
Success rates
41%
#96
35%
#20
Success rate
More metrics
-0.02
#117
-0.03
#30
EPA / play
0.18
#112
1.27
#92
Explosiveness
—
20%
#19
Havoc

When Kansas has the ball

Passing

No comparison
LIU defense
—
KU offense
#55
EPA comparison
—
0.27
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
LIU defense
—
KU offense
#19
EPA comparison
—
0.24
#19
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
LIU defense
#103
KU offense
#28
Success rates
47%
#103
48%
#28
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#57
0.25
#28
EPA / play
0.20
#46
1.34
#20
Explosiveness
—
14%
#60
Havoc

Current key players

Long Island University
WRJosiah Brown
9 rec · 171 yds · 0 TD
77.247/1229
DBFelix Matos
28 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.8
Coverage
75.8
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
152.1
Missed tackles
7
74.2182/1765
LBJerome Hayes Jr.
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
67.8
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.3173/1054
DBBraylon Vincent
25 tkl · 5 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.4
Coverage
71.7
Targets allowed
22
Rec allowed
14
Yards allowed
187
Passer rating allowed
86.7
Missed tackles
3
71.6305/1765
LBJack Person
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.5
Coverage
41.2
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
69.0294/1054
LBJackson Barry
37 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.1
Coverage
53.4
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
15
Missed tackles
5
Forced fumbles
1
67.5344/1054
Kansas
QBChase Jenkins
65 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
93.31/729
LBJaron Willis
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.8
Coverage
71.6
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
86.330/1796
WRNik McMillan
14 rec · 256 yds · 2 TD
85.324/2069
LBTrey Lathan
22 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.1
Coverage
83.7
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
9
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
83.554/1796
TEJack Utz
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
84.2
Penalties
0
77.934/1017
RBJalen Dupree
103 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
77.8120/1044
Availability reports · 7
  • Cole Ballard · QBout · 2026-10-02

    Ballard is dealing with a shoulder injury, and there is no timetable for return.

  • Yasin Willis · RBout · 2026-09-28

    Willis has been out of the lineup with an foot injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Justin Thurman · RBout · 2026-08-11

    Thurman has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Kory Amachree · RBout · 2026-10-02

    Amachree is expected to miss the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.

  • Jaylen Mason · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Mason is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jailen Butler · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Butler exited the game with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to be established if he will suit up against Wildcats on Saturday, October

  • Carter Moses · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Moses is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

LIU
KU
vs
Offense
65.0
#92 of 125
QB
93.3
#1 of 138
66.5
#105 of 126
RB
76.8
#57 of 138
66.5
#92 of 126
WR
78.9
#15 of 138
60.4
#89 of 124
TE
77.9
#30 of 138
57.6
#120 of 125
OL
77.5
#8 of 138
Defense
60.1
#125 of 126
DL
89.4
#1 of 138
69.6
#82 of 126
LB
83.2
#10 of 138
67.7
#110 of 126
DB
72.4
#66 of 138
Common opponents