CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UTU 0.1%99.9% BYU
Projected margin
BYU by 49.2
Projected total
63
80% outcome range
BYU 29 to BYU 70
Win probability
BYU 99.9%
FinalUTU 7 · BYU 63model had +49.2, off by 6.8

Current team profiles

Utah Tech
BYU

When Utah Tech has the ball

Passing

No comparison
UTU offense
—
BYU defense
#16
EPA comparison
—
-0.02
#16
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
UTU offense
—
BYU defense
#18
EPA comparison
—
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
UTU offense
#77
BYU defense
#32
Success rates
43%
#77
35%
#32
Success rate
More metrics
0.03
#105
-0.08
#13
EPA / play
0.19
#98
1.18
#48
Explosiveness
—
20%
#17
Havoc

When BYU has the ball

Passing

No comparison
UTU defense
—
BYU offense
#70
EPA comparison
—
0.23
#70
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
UTU defense
—
BYU offense
#1
EPA comparison
—
0.36
#1
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
UTU defense
#124
BYU offense
#7
Success rates
50%
#124
52%
#7
Success rate
More metrics
0.26
#122
0.30
#16
EPA / play
0.24
#117
1.18
#96
Explosiveness
—
8%
#2
Havoc

Current key players

Utah Tech
WRDarnell O'Quinn
16 rec · 251 yds · 0 TD
75.069/1229
RBDaron Tyson
26 yds · 0 TD · 4.3 YPC
73.898/631
KRyan Marks
27 punts · 0.0 avg
72.067/416
OLMatthew Snarr
Player detail
Pass blocking
74.9
Run blocking
70.7
Penalties
2
71.983/1368
KAndrew Vance
0 punts · 0.0 avg
71.871/416
DBQuincy Lejay
22 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
78.9
Coverage
61.3
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
41
Passer rating allowed
107.3
Missed tackles
5
69.9391/1765
BYU
QBTreyson Bourguet
15 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
84.448/729
RBLJ Martin
344 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
87.223/1044
TEWalker Lyons
8 rec · 89 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
66.6
Run blocking
78.4
Penalties
0
80.922/1017
WRLegend Glasker
14 rec · 279 yds · 2 TD
80.553/2069
CBCannon DeVries
14 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.9
Coverage
74.7
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
77
Passer rating allowed
102.4
Missed tackles
0
77.1120/2969
LBCade Uluave
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.5
Coverage
75.7
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
0
76.9142/1796
Availability reports · 7
  • LJ Martin · RBout · 2026-10-07

    Martin is managing with an ankle injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Sione Moa · RBout · 2026-09-20

    Moa is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Raider Damuni · Sout · 2026-09-07

    Damuni is out of commission due to a lower body injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Siale Esera · LBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Esera is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October

  • Andrew Gentry · OGQues. · 2026-10-10

    Gentry is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brody Laga · KQues. · 2026-10-10

    Laga has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October 1

  • Jacob Nye · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Nye is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UTU
BYU
vs
Offense
63.3
#97 of 125
QB
84.4
#42 of 138
68.3
#87 of 126
RB
87.2
#6 of 138
66.9
#84 of 126
WR
73.0
#47 of 138
59.1
#101 of 124
TE
80.9
#22 of 138
64.2
#63 of 125
OL
80.6
#3 of 138
Defense
63.4
#123 of 126
DL
76.1
#46 of 138
65.4
#111 of 126
LB
74.5
#64 of 138
67.9
#107 of 126
DB
72.6
#62 of 138
Common opponents