AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 1 · Thu Sep 3 · 8:00 PM
#74Away
Colorado
0-0 · AVR 47.8
17p
#38Home
Georgia Tech
0-0 · AVR 59.1
34p
COLO 12%88% GT
Spread
GT -16.7
Total
51
Moneyline
COLO+710GT-710
Against the market
GT +10.2line GT -6.5

Unit matchups

Pass game vs pass defense, run vs the front — units combined per phase
← COLO advantageevenGT advantage →
COLO throw
COLO QB #130COLO WR #24
GT +5
COLO run
GT +4
GT throw
GT protection #23
COLO +17
GT run
GT +10

Matchups to watch

The individual fights most likely to decide it, biggest names first
off the edge· hunting Mendoza
Will Reed
vs
Dylan Manuel
LT · GT
EDGE · COLO
84.8
83.0
dead even
when GT runs
Justice Haynes
vs
Gideon ESPN Lampron
RB · GT
MLB · COLO
77.3
83.8
COLO +6
when COLO throws
Danny Scudero
vs
Jonas Duclona
X · COLO
CB1 · GT
70.8
85.0
GT +14
when GT throws
Jordan Allen
vs
Justin Eaglin
X · GT
CB1 · COLO
64.6
87.2
COLO +23
off the edge· hunting Ponder
Taj White
vs
Brayden Manley
LT · COLO
EDGE · GT
57.6
59.3
dead even
when COLO runs
Micah Welch
vs
Kyle Efford
RB · COLO
MLB · GT
54.7
60.9
GT +6

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Colorado
DBJustin Eaglin
87.225/1427
LBGideon ESPN Lampron
83.829/878
WRDanny Scuderoquestionable
70.853/777
DBJason Stokes Jr.
69.4255/1427
LBLiona Lefau
67.6183/878
DBNaeten Mitchell
66.6318/1427
Georgia Tech
CBJonas Duclona
85.044/1427
CBJaylen Mbakwe
81.281/1427
RBJustice Haynes
77.331/514
WRJordan Allen
64.686/777
LBKyle Efford
60.9268/878
LBCayman Spaulding
60.1284/878

Projected margin

80% between -3 and 37
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKGT +16.7MKT95% interval: -13 to 4880% interval: -3 to 37-3+37COLO wins 12%GT wins 88%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ GT 32–18 COLOGT 28–42 COLO neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesGT 32–39 COLO neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesGT 35–35 COLO neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesGT 39–32 COLO neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesGT 42–28 COLO neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesGT 46–25 COLO neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesGT 49–21 COLO neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesGT 53–18 COLO neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesGT 56–14 COLO neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesGT 25–39 COLO neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesGT 28–35 COLO neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesGT 32–32 COLO neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesGT 35–28 COLO neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesGT 39–25 COLO neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesGT 42–21 COLO neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesGT 46–18 COLO neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesGT 49–14 COLO neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesGT 53–11 COLO neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesGT 21–35 COLO neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesGT 25–32 COLO neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesGT 28–28 COLO neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGT 32–25 COLO neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesGT 35–21 COLO neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesGT 39–18 COLO neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesGT 42–14 COLO neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesGT 46–11 COLO neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesGT 49–7 COLO neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesGT 18–32 COLO neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesGT 21–28 COLO neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesGT 25–25 COLO neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesGT 28–21 COLO neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesGT 32–18 COLO neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesGT 35–14 COLO neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesGT 39–11 COLO neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesGT 42–7 COLO neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesGT 46–4 COLO neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesGT 14–28 COLO neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesGT 18–25 COLO neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesGT 21–21 COLO neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGT 25–18 COLO neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesGT 28–14 COLO neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesGT 32–11 COLO neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesGT 35–7 COLO neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesGT 39–4 COLO neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesGT 42–0 COLO neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesGT 11–25 COLO neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesGT 14–21 COLO neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesGT 18–18 COLO neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesGT 21–14 COLO neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesGT 25–11 COLO neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesGT 28–7 COLO neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesGT 32–4 COLO neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesGT 35–0 COLO neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)GT 7–21 COLO neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesGT 11–18 COLO neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesGT 14–14 COLO neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesGT 18–11 COLO neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGT 21–7 COLO neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesGT 25–4 COLO neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesGT 28–0 COLO neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)70635649423528totalCOLO +14PKGT +14GT +28GT +42margin →