CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 12:00 PM ET
#158Away
Coastal Carolina
0-0 · AVR 45.2
24
Final
#117Home
West Virginia
0-0 · AVR 50.2
31
Forecast win probability
CCU 19.0%81.0% WVU
Projected margin
WVU by 14.1
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
CCU 6 to WVU 35
Win probability
WVU 81.0%
FinalCCU 24 · WVU 31model had +14.1, off by 7.1

Current team profiles

Coastal Carolina
West Virginia

When Coastal Carolina has the ball

Passing

CCU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU offense
#78
WVU defense
#130
EPA comparison
0.19
#78
0.44
#130
Pass EPA

Rushing

CCU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU offense
#72
WVU defense
#73
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
0.05
#73
Rush EPA

Drive success

CCU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU offense
#111
WVU defense
#122
Success rates
39%
#111
46%
#122
Success rate
More metrics
0.12
#82
0.20
#120
EPA / play
1.33
#24
1.27
#93
Explosiveness
19%
#130
16%
#74
Havoc

When West Virginia has the ball

Passing

WVU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU defense
#112
WVU offense
#82
EPA comparison
0.31
#112
0.17
#82
Pass EPA

Rushing

WVU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU defense
#73
WVU offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.05
#73
0.14
#55
Rush EPA

Drive success

WVU offense
Higher-ranked profile
CCU defense
#114
WVU offense
#73
Success rates
45%
#114
43%
#73
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#89
0.14
#71
EPA / play
1.10
#23
1.30
#32
Explosiveness
16%
#68
13%
#35
Havoc

Current key players

Coastal Carolina
QBDeuce Bailey
1267 yds · 12 TD · 2 INT
75.2112/729
SZeke Marshall
1 tkl · 0 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
55.1
Coverage
60.0
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
0.0
Missed tackles
0
91.45/2969
WRNathan Schuessler
1 rec · 6 yds · 0 TD
77.284/2069
DBJesse Powell II
19 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
6
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
84.0
Missed tackles
0
76.7140/2969
WRColton Hinton
10 rec · 220 yds · 4 TD
76.4102/2069
CBTravis Roman
19 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.3
Coverage
74.1
Targets allowed
16
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
107
Passer rating allowed
50.8
Missed tackles
4
73.4258/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Colton Hinton · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hinton is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mountaineers on Friday, October 16th.

  • K. Johnson · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Johnson is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against Mountaineers on Friday, October 16th.

West Virginia
QBMichael Hawkins Jr.
836 yds · 7 TD · 1 INT
90.025/729
WRKedrick Triplett
1 rec · 27 yds · 1 TD
87.815/2069
WRDJ Epps
14 rec · 393 yds · 4 TD
78.172/2069
RBCam Cook
652 yds · 5 TD · 5.5 YPC
76.9137/1044
DBJaCorey Thomas
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
66.4
Coverage
76.6
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
3
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
76.9128/2969
DBGeimere Latimer II
21 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.6
Coverage
69.3
Targets allowed
19
Rec allowed
10
Yards allowed
68
Passer rating allowed
95.9
Missed tackles
6
76.2152/2969
Availability reports · 4
  • Martavious Boswell · RBout · 2026-10-10

    Boswell is dealing with a Undisclosed injury, he will miss an extended period.

  • John Neider · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Neider is hampered by an undisclosed injury and he will miss an extended period.

  • Cam Ball · TEout · 2026-10-10

    Ball is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Andre Devine · RBout · 2026-10-10

    Devine is hobbled by an undisclosed injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

CCU
WVU
vs
Offense
75.2
#82 of 138
QB
90.0
#24 of 138
71.1
#111 of 138
RB
75.6
#67 of 138
73.4
#46 of 138
WR
79.6
#12 of 138
60.3
#117 of 138
TE
63.9
#98 of 138
67.2
#76 of 138
OL
66.6
#81 of 138
Defense
71.9
#88 of 138
DL
67.5
#129 of 138
68.4
#120 of 138
LB
72.5
#83 of 138
75.8
#25 of 138
DB
74.7
#38 of 138
Common opponents