AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 5:00 PM
Away
UT Martin
—
15p
#66Home
West Virginia
0-0 · AVR 50.2
41p
UTM 4%96% WVU
Spread
WVU -25.2
Total
56
Moneyline
UTM+2581WVU-2581
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
West Virginia
RBCam Cook
82.017/514
LBBen Cutter
75.6100/878
SKamari Wilson
71.8194/1427
WRJohn Neider
66.675/777
LBMalachi Hood
64.6220/878
QBScotty Fox Jr.
54.898/308

also out — Landon Drum (WR), Lawrence Autry (RB)

Projected margin

80% between 9 and 42
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKWVU +25.295% interval: 2.3 to 48.280% interval: 8.5 to 42+9+42UTM wins 4%WVU wins 96%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ WVU 42–14 UTMWVU 39–39 UTM neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesWVU 42–35 UTM neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesWVU 46–32 UTM neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesWVU 49–28 UTM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesWVU 53–25 UTM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesWVU 56–21 UTM neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesWVU 60–18 UTM neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesWVU 63–14 UTM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesWVU 67–11 UTM neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesWVU 35–35 UTM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesWVU 39–32 UTM neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesWVU 42–28 UTM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesWVU 46–25 UTM neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesWVU 49–21 UTM neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesWVU 53–18 UTM neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesWVU 56–14 UTM neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesWVU 60–11 UTM neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesWVU 63–7 UTM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesWVU 32–32 UTM neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesWVU 35–28 UTM neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesWVU 39–25 UTM neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesWVU 42–21 UTM neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesWVU 46–18 UTM neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesWVU 49–14 UTM neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesWVU 53–11 UTM neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesWVU 56–7 UTM neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesWVU 60–4 UTM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesWVU 28–28 UTM neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesWVU 32–25 UTM neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesWVU 35–21 UTM neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesWVU 39–18 UTM neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesWVU 42–14 UTM neighborhood · ~3.6% of outcomesWVU 46–11 UTM neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesWVU 49–7 UTM neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesWVU 53–4 UTM neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesWVU 56–0 UTM neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesWVU 25–25 UTM neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesWVU 28–21 UTM neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesWVU 32–18 UTM neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesWVU 35–14 UTM neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesWVU 39–11 UTM neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesWVU 42–7 UTM neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesWVU 46–4 UTM neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesWVU 49–0 UTM neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)WVU 21–21 UTM neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesWVU 25–18 UTM neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesWVU 28–14 UTM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesWVU 32–11 UTM neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesWVU 35–7 UTM neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesWVU 39–4 UTM neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesWVU 42–0 UTM neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)WVU 18–18 UTM neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesWVU 21–14 UTM neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesWVU 25–11 UTM neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesWVU 28–7 UTM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesWVU 32–4 UTM neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesWVU 35–0 UTM neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalPKWVU +14WVU +28WVU +42WVU +56margin →