CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
BYU 79.6%20.4% CSU
Projected margin
BYU by 12.6
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
BYU 33 to CSU 7
Win probability
BYU 79.6%
FinalBYU 41 · CSU 23model had -12.6, off by 5.4

Current team profiles

BYU
Colorado State

When BYU has the ball

Passing

BYU offense
Higher-ranked profile
BYU offense
#70
CSU defense
#129
EPA comparison
0.23
#70
0.43
#129
Pass EPA

Rushing

BYU offense
Higher-ranked profile
BYU offense
#1
CSU defense
#130
EPA comparison
0.36
#1
0.22
#130
Rush EPA

Drive success

BYU offense
Higher-ranked profile
BYU offense
#7
CSU defense
#138
Success rates
52%
#7
52%
#138
Success rate
More metrics
0.30
#16
0.23
#126
EPA / play
1.18
#96
1.15
#31
Explosiveness
8%
#2
16%
#77
Havoc

When Colorado State has the ball

Passing

BYU defense
Higher-ranked profile
BYU defense
#16
CSU offense
#55
EPA comparison
-0.02
#16
0.27
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

CSU offense
Higher-ranked profile
BYU defense
#18
CSU offense
#9
EPA comparison
-0.10
#18
0.27
#9
Rush EPA

Drive success

BYU defense
Higher-ranked profile
BYU defense
#32
CSU offense
#53
Success rates
35%
#32
45%
#53
Success rate
More metrics
-0.08
#13
0.24
#30
EPA / play
1.18
#48
1.43
#4
Explosiveness
20%
#17
16%
#94
Havoc

Current key players

BYU
QBTreyson Bourguet
15 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
84.448/729
RBLJ Martin
344 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
87.223/1044
TEWalker Lyons
8 rec · 89 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
66.6
Run blocking
78.4
Penalties
0
80.922/1017
WRLegend Glasker
14 rec · 279 yds · 2 TD
80.553/2069
CBCannon DeVries
14 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.9
Coverage
74.7
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
77
Passer rating allowed
102.4
Missed tackles
0
77.1120/2969
LBCade Uluave
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.5
Coverage
75.7
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
0
76.9142/1796
Availability reports · 7
  • LJ Martin · RBout · 2026-10-07

    Martin is managing with an ankle injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Sione Moa · RBout · 2026-09-20

    Moa is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Raider Damuni · Sout · 2026-09-07

    Damuni is out of commission due to a lower body injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Siale Esera · LBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Esera is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October

  • Andrew Gentry · OGQues. · 2026-10-10

    Gentry is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brody Laga · KQues. · 2026-10-10

    Laga has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October 1

  • Jacob Nye · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Nye is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October

Colorado State
QBHauss Hejny
619 yds · 10 TD · 1 INT
78.781/729
RBDurell Robinson
266 yds · 4 TD · 4.3 YPC
78.897/1044
LBCaleb Otlewski
2 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.5
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.4150/1796
WRRJ Vick
24 rec · 367 yds · 4 TD
74.3139/2069
WRTommy Maher
9 rec · 83 yds · 0 TD
70.7235/2069
SJace Bellah
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.8
Missed tackles
0
68.4550/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Troy Foster · WRout · 2026-10-02

    Foster has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Oregon state on Saturday.

  • Grant Houser · TEout · 2026-10-02

    Houser has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against Oregon state on Saturday.

  • Hauss Hejny · QBQues. · 2026-10-07

    Hejny is laid up with a hamstring injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Texas State on Thursday, October 15th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

BYU
CSU
vs
Offense
84.4
#42 of 138
QB
78.7
#64 of 138
87.2
#6 of 138
RB
78.3
#45 of 138
73.0
#47 of 138
WR
68.9
#95 of 138
80.9
#22 of 138
TE
60.8
#113 of 138
80.6
#3 of 138
OL
67.6
#71 of 138
Defense
76.1
#46 of 138
DL
68.6
#119 of 138
74.5
#64 of 138
LB
69.1
#111 of 138
72.6
#62 of 138
DB
66.2
#132 of 138
Common opponents