CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
BYU 74.0%26.0% KU
Projected margin
BYU by 9.8
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
BYU 28 to KU 9
Win probability
BYU 74.0%

Current team profiles

BYU
Kansas

When BYU has the ball

Passing

BYU offense
Higher-ranked profile
BYU offense
#70
KU defense
#71
EPA comparison
0.23
#70
0.15
#71
Pass EPA

Rushing

BYU offense
Higher-ranked profile
BYU offense
#1
KU defense
#27
EPA comparison
0.36
#1
-0.07
#27
Rush EPA

Drive success

BYU offense
Higher-ranked profile
BYU offense
#7
KU defense
#20
Success rates
52%
#7
35%
#20
Success rate
More metrics
0.30
#16
-0.03
#30
EPA / play
1.18
#96
1.27
#92
Explosiveness
8%
#2
20%
#19
Havoc

When Kansas has the ball

Passing

BYU defense
Higher-ranked profile
BYU defense
#16
KU offense
#55
EPA comparison
-0.02
#16
0.27
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

BYU defense
Higher-ranked profile
BYU defense
#18
KU offense
#19
EPA comparison
-0.10
#18
0.24
#19
Rush EPA

Drive success

KU offense
Higher-ranked profile
BYU defense
#32
KU offense
#28
Success rates
35%
#32
48%
#28
Success rate
More metrics
-0.08
#13
0.25
#28
EPA / play
1.18
#48
1.34
#20
Explosiveness
20%
#17
14%
#60
Havoc

Current key players

BYU
QBTreyson Bourguet
15 yds · 0 TD · 1 INT
84.448/729
RBLJ Martin
344 yds · 3 TD · 7.8 YPC
87.223/1044
TEWalker Lyons
8 rec · 89 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
66.6
Run blocking
78.4
Penalties
0
80.922/1017
WRLegend Glasker
14 rec · 279 yds · 2 TD
80.553/2069
CBCannon DeVries
14 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
82.9
Coverage
74.7
Targets allowed
14
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
77
Passer rating allowed
102.4
Missed tackles
0
77.1120/2969
LBCade Uluave
20 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
65.5
Coverage
75.7
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
0
76.9142/1796
Availability reports · 7
  • LJ Martin · RBout · 2026-10-07

    Martin is managing with an ankle injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Sione Moa · RBout · 2026-09-20

    Moa is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Raider Damuni · Sout · 2026-09-07

    Damuni is out of commission due to a lower body injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Siale Esera · LBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Esera is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October

  • Andrew Gentry · OGQues. · 2026-10-10

    Gentry is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Brody Laga · KQues. · 2026-10-10

    Laga has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October 1

  • Jacob Nye · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Nye is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will play against the Fighting Irish on Saturday, October

Kansas
QBChase Jenkins
65 yds · 0 TD · 0 INT
93.31/729
LBJaron Willis
2 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.8
Coverage
71.6
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
86.330/1796
WRNik McMillan
14 rec · 256 yds · 2 TD
85.324/2069
LBTrey Lathan
22 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.1
Coverage
83.7
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
9
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
83.554/1796
TEJack Utz
— rec · — yds · — TD
Player detail
Run blocking
84.2
Penalties
0
77.934/1017
RBJalen Dupree
103 yds · 2 TD · 4.9 YPC
77.8120/1044
Availability reports · 7
  • Cole Ballard · QBout · 2026-10-02

    Ballard is dealing with a shoulder injury, and there is no timetable for return.

  • Yasin Willis · RBout · 2026-09-28

    Willis has been out of the lineup with an foot injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Justin Thurman · RBout · 2026-08-11

    Thurman has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Kory Amachree · RBout · 2026-10-02

    Amachree is expected to miss the remainder of the season due to an undisclosed injury.

  • Jaylen Mason · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Mason is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jailen Butler · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Butler exited the game with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to be established if he will suit up against Wildcats on Saturday, October

  • Carter Moses · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Moses is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Wildcats on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

BYU
KU
vs
Offense
84.4
#42 of 138
QB
93.3
#1 of 138
87.2
#6 of 138
RB
76.8
#57 of 138
73.0
#47 of 138
WR
78.9
#15 of 138
80.9
#22 of 138
TE
77.9
#30 of 138
80.6
#3 of 138
OL
77.5
#8 of 138
Defense
76.1
#46 of 138
DL
89.4
#1 of 138
74.5
#64 of 138
LB
83.2
#10 of 138
72.6
#62 of 138
DB
72.4
#66 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

BYU
opponent
Kansas
H+13.0
ASU#65
-7.0N
A+7.0
TCU#36
-10.0A
H+9.8
BAY#41
-2.7H
A-9.0
UTAH#9
-17.0A
A+6.5
UCF#48
-0.7H