CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Fri Sep 11 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
RUTG 58.2%41.8% BC
Projected margin
RUTG by 2.8
Projected total
57
80% outcome range
RUTG 24 to BC 18
Win probability
RUTG 58.2%
FinalRUTG 21 · BC 28model had -2.8, off by 9.8

Current team profiles

Rutgers
Boston College

When Rutgers has the ball

Passing

RUTG offense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG offense
#41
BC defense
#69
EPA comparison
0.32
#41
0.14
#69
Pass EPA

Rushing

BC defense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG offense
#121
BC defense
#52
EPA comparison
-0.03
#121
0.01
#52
Rush EPA

Drive success

BC defense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG offense
#56
BC defense
#52
Success rates
45%
#56
39%
#52
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#86
0.02
#49
EPA / play
1.34
#18
1.26
#88
Explosiveness
15%
#79
18%
#31
Havoc

When Boston College has the ball

Passing

BC offense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG defense
#128
BC offense
#114
EPA comparison
0.38
#128
0.07
#114
Pass EPA

Rushing

BC offense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG defense
#122
BC offense
#100
EPA comparison
0.19
#122
0.03
#100
Rush EPA

Drive success

BC offense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG defense
#124
BC offense
#114
Success rates
46%
#124
39%
#114
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#127
0.00
#122
EPA / play
1.24
#78
1.25
#57
Explosiveness
12%
#125
20%
#133
Havoc

Current key players

Rutgers
QBAJ Surace
475 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
65.6208/729
TEKam Anthony
2 rec · 22 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
76.6
Run blocking
77.5
Penalties
0
90.22/1017
WRKJ Duff
33 rec · 628 yds · 7 TD
87.416/2069
RBAntwan Raymond
469 yds · 4 TD · 5.3 YPC
74.8179/1044
DBKaj Sanders
12 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.3
Coverage
70.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
89.6
Missed tackles
2
72.6297/2969
DBDK Gilley
19 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.7
Coverage
72.0
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
12
Passer rating allowed
91.7
Missed tackles
3
72.3314/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Kevin Levy · CBout · 2026-09-17

    Levy is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and he will be out of the lineup against USC on Saturday.

  • Dylan Lonergan · QBout · 2026-10-04

    Lonergan is dealing with an head injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Antwan Raymond · RBQues. · 2026-09-30

    Raymond is dealing with undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be available Saturday against the Indiana.

  • Famah Toure · WRQues. · 2026-09-11

    Toure is nursing with a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the USC on Saturday, September 19th.

  • Dino Kaliakmanis · WRQues. · 2026-09-26

    Kaliakmanis is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to suit up against USC on Sunday.

Boston College
QBMason McKenzie
967 yds · 5 TD · 5 INT
67.1194/729
RBMekhi Dodd
32 yds · 0 TD · 16.0 YPC
78.0109/1044
LBAnthony Palano
43 tkl · 6.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.1
Coverage
72.3
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
29
Missed tackles
7
Forced fumbles
0
73.8228/1796
WRLandon Wright
5 rec · 91 yds · 0 TD
72.7175/2069
DBMarcelous Townsend
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.0
Coverage
66.0
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
70.9390/2969
DBCameron Martinez
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.4
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
70.6405/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Bo MacCormack III · RBout · 2026-09-19

    MacCormack III is dealing with an shoulder injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • Brady Clough · TEout · 2026-10-02

    Clough has been out of the lineup due to undisclosed injury, and he will be not available against SMU on Saturday.

  • Reed Swanson · WRprobable · 2026-09-24

    Swanson is managing with a Undisclosed injury , but it is expected to play against the Virginia Tech on Saturday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

RUTG
BC
vs
Offense
65.6
#118 of 138
QB
67.1
#114 of 138
72.3
#104 of 138
RB
69.8
#120 of 138
71.5
#69 of 138
WR
69.2
#90 of 138
90.2
#2 of 138
TE
52.0
#137 of 138
75.6
#14 of 138
OL
59.6
#133 of 138
Defense
71.5
#91 of 138
DL
69.0
#116 of 138
65.5
#133 of 138
LB
67.1
#125 of 138
69.5
#105 of 138
DB
70.1
#96 of 138
Common opponents