CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
CAL 17.9%82.1% SYR
Projected margin
SYR by 14.2
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
CAL 6 to SYR 34
Win probability
SYR 82.1%
FinalCAL 21 · SYR 18model had +14.2, off by 17.2

Current team profiles

California
Syracuse

When California has the ball

Passing

SYR defense
Higher-ranked profile
CAL offense
#92
SYR defense
#7
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
-0.10
#7
Pass EPA

Rushing

SYR defense
Higher-ranked profile
CAL offense
#123
SYR defense
#91
EPA comparison
-0.07
#123
0.09
#91
Rush EPA

Drive success

SYR defense
Higher-ranked profile
CAL offense
#113
SYR defense
#65
Success rates
39%
#113
40%
#65
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#119
0.00
#39
EPA / play
1.28
#42
1.18
#47
Explosiveness
17%
#114
18%
#38
Havoc

When Syracuse has the ball

Passing

CAL defense
Higher-ranked profile
CAL defense
#26
SYR offense
#81
EPA comparison
0.01
#26
0.18
#81
Pass EPA

Rushing

SYR offense
Higher-ranked profile
CAL defense
#122
SYR offense
#72
EPA comparison
0.19
#122
0.10
#72
Rush EPA

Drive success

CAL defense
Higher-ranked profile
CAL defense
#36
SYR offense
#88
Success rates
37%
#36
42%
#88
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#70
0.09
#94
EPA / play
1.40
#128
1.33
#22
Explosiveness
14%
#97
13%
#39
Havoc

Current key players

California
QBDominic Ingrassia
— yds · — TD · — INT
76.3103/729
DBKingston Lopa
27 tkl · 1 PD · 5 INT
Player detail
Run defense
57.6
Coverage
90.8
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
71
Passer rating allowed
42.1
Missed tackles
6
85.523/2969
RBAdam Mohammed
336 yds · 3 TD · 4.6 YPC
78.5100/1044
DBCam Sidney
9 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.1
Coverage
77.1
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
37
Passer rating allowed
59.2
Missed tackles
1
76.6142/2969
DBIsaiah Crosby
24 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.7
Coverage
77.2
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
19
Passer rating allowed
22.2
Missed tackles
3
76.3150/2969
LBJoshua Pierce
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.8
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
13
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
71.6301/1796
Availability reports · 6
  • Adam Mohammed · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Mohammed is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is un determined if he will play against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Sagapolutele is dealing with a head injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Carter Vargas · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Vargas is dealing with a leg injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, October 17t

  • Cole Boscia · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Boscia is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Rico Walker · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Walker is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established to play against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Trevor Rogers · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Rogers is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established to play against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, October 17th.

Syracuse
QBAmari Odom
391 yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
76.0105/729
LBDavid Omopariola
9 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.5
Coverage
68.9
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
65
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
80.577/1796
LBGemaus Sackie
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.0
Coverage
66.2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
80.380/1796
RBTylik Hill
286 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
78.1107/1044
WRUmari Hatcher
29 rec · 434 yds · 5 TD
76.696/2069
WRJustus Ross-Simmons
10 rec · 161 yds · 0 TD
74.7132/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Amari Odom · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Odom is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Steve Angeli · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Angeli has an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Tripp Woody · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Woody has an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nate Edwards · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Edwards is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Cardinals on Saturday, October

Position units

Position-unit comparison

CAL
SYR
vs
Offense
76.3
#77 of 138
QB
76.0
#78 of 138
73.2
#93 of 138
RB
75.7
#66 of 138
66.0
#128 of 138
WR
72.2
#57 of 138
57.9
#132 of 138
TE
70.6
#62 of 138
67.0
#78 of 138
OL
66.3
#87 of 138
Defense
70.3
#102 of 138
DL
75.2
#53 of 138
70.6
#99 of 138
LB
79.7
#23 of 138
77.1
#15 of 138
DB
67.3
#123 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

California
opponent
Syracuse
A-13.2
UVA#50
-3.0A
H-14.0
CLEM#57
-6.8H
A-20.6
SMU#39
-14.5H
H-10.2
PITT#30
-14.0A
A-10.2
NCSU#63
-9.4A