AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 11:30 PM
#117Away
Georgia Southern
0-0 · AVR 33.9
16p
#27Home
Clemson
0-0 · AVR 65.6
41p
GASO 4%96% CLEM
Spread
CLEM -25.0
Total
57
Moneyline
GASO+2242CLEM-2242
Margin σ
14.6

Unit matchups

Pass game vs pass defense, run vs the front — units combined per phase
← GASO advantageevenCLEM advantage →
GASO throw
CLEM +59
GASO run
CLEM +44
CLEM throw
CLEM QB #108CLEM WR #31
CLEM +45
CLEM run
GASO front #157GASO linebackers #66
CLEM +41

Matchups to watch

The individual fights most likely to decide it, biggest names first
off the edge· hunting Bryan
Caelan Williams
vs
Will Heldt
LT · GASO
EDGE · CLEM
78.6
102.2
CLEM +24
when CLEM runs
Chris Johnson Jr.
vs
Anthony Bynum
RB · CLEM
MLB · GASO
68.0
78.1
GASO +10
when GASO throws
Ashton Hollins
vs
Ashton Hampton
X · GASO
CB1 · CLEM
49.2
87.1
CLEM +38
when GASO runs
David Mbadinga
vs
Sammy Brown
RB · GASO
MLB · CLEM
50.8
80.8
CLEM +30
over the middle
JP Mikhael
vs
Branden Strozier
TE · GASO
FS · CLEM
50.3
76.1
CLEM +26
when CLEM throws
T.J. Moore
vs
Tracy Hill Jr.
X · CLEM
CB1 · GASO
71.6
50.9
CLEM +21

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Georgia Southern
LBAnthony Bynum
78.180/878
LBMJ Stroud
62.8244/878
QBWeston Bryan
51.6140/308
DBTracy Hill Jr.
50.9747/1427
RBDavid Mbadinga
50.8272/514
TEJP Mikhael
50.3129/287
Clemson
CBAshton Hampton
87.127/1427
SCorey Myrick
84.747/1427
SJerome Carter III
81.873/1427
LBSammy Brown
80.848/878
WRT.J. Moore
71.643/777
RBChris Johnson Jr.
68.068/514

also out — Clemson defensive tackle (DL), Former Clemson corner (CB), P. Streko (RB), Clemson, Clemson defensive back (DB), Clemson freshman standout, Clemson player, Clemson safety (S) +10 more

Projected margin

80% between 8 and 42
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKCLEM +25.095% interval: 1.1 to 48.980% interval: 7.6 to 42.4+8+42GASO wins 4%CLEM wins 96%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ CLEM 42–14 GASOCLEM 39–39 GASO neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesCLEM 42–35 GASO neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesCLEM 46–32 GASO neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLEM 49–28 GASO neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesCLEM 53–25 GASO neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesCLEM 56–21 GASO neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLEM 60–18 GASO neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesCLEM 63–14 GASO neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesCLEM 67–11 GASO neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesCLEM 35–35 GASO neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesCLEM 39–32 GASO neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCLEM 42–28 GASO neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesCLEM 46–25 GASO neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesCLEM 49–21 GASO neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesCLEM 53–18 GASO neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesCLEM 56–14 GASO neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCLEM 60–11 GASO neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesCLEM 63–7 GASO neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCLEM 32–32 GASO neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesCLEM 35–28 GASO neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCLEM 39–25 GASO neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesCLEM 42–21 GASO neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesCLEM 46–18 GASO neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesCLEM 49–14 GASO neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesCLEM 53–11 GASO neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLEM 56–7 GASO neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesCLEM 60–4 GASO neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesCLEM 28–28 GASO neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesCLEM 32–25 GASO neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCLEM 35–21 GASO neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesCLEM 39–18 GASO neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesCLEM 42–14 GASO neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesCLEM 46–11 GASO neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesCLEM 49–7 GASO neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLEM 53–4 GASO neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesCLEM 56–0 GASO neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesCLEM 25–25 GASO neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesCLEM 28–21 GASO neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCLEM 32–18 GASO neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesCLEM 35–14 GASO neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesCLEM 39–11 GASO neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesCLEM 42–7 GASO neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesCLEM 46–4 GASO neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLEM 49–0 GASO neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)CLEM 21–21 GASO neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesCLEM 25–18 GASO neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesCLEM 28–14 GASO neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesCLEM 32–11 GASO neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesCLEM 35–7 GASO neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesCLEM 39–4 GASO neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesCLEM 42–0 GASO neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)CLEM 18–18 GASO neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesCLEM 21–14 GASO neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesCLEM 25–11 GASO neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLEM 28–7 GASO neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesCLEM 32–4 GASO neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesCLEM 35–0 GASO neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalPKCLEM +14CLEM +28CLEM +42CLEM +56margin →