AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 4:00 PM
Away
Mercer
—
12p
#38Home
Georgia Tech
0-0 · AVR 59.1
45p
MER 1%99% GT
Spread
GT -33.3
Total
57
Moneyline
MER—GT—
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Georgia Tech
CBJonas Duclona
85.044/1427
CBJaylen Mbakwe
81.281/1427
RBJustice Haynes
77.331/514
WRJordan Allen
64.686/777
LBKyle Efford
60.9268/878
LBCayman Spaulding
60.1284/878

Projected margin

80% between 17 and 50
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKGT +33.395% interval: 10.3 to 56.380% interval: 16.6 to 50+17+50MER wins 1%GT wins 99%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ GT 46–11 MERGT 42–35 MER neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesGT 46–32 MER neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesGT 49–28 MER neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGT 53–25 MER neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesGT 56–21 MER neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesGT 60–18 MER neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesGT 63–14 MER neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesGT 67–11 MER neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesGT 70–7 MER neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesGT 39–32 MER neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesGT 42–28 MER neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesGT 46–25 MER neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesGT 49–21 MER neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesGT 53–18 MER neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesGT 56–14 MER neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesGT 60–11 MER neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesGT 63–7 MER neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesGT 67–4 MER neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesGT 35–28 MER neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesGT 39–25 MER neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesGT 42–21 MER neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesGT 46–18 MER neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesGT 49–14 MER neighborhood · ~3.6% of outcomesGT 53–11 MER neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesGT 56–7 MER neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesGT 60–4 MER neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesGT 63–0 MER neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesGT 32–25 MER neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesGT 35–21 MER neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesGT 39–18 MER neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesGT 42–14 MER neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesGT 46–11 MER neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesGT 49–7 MER neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesGT 53–4 MER neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesGT 56–0 MER neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)GT 28–21 MER neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesGT 32–18 MER neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesGT 35–14 MER neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesGT 39–11 MER neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesGT 42–7 MER neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesGT 46–4 MER neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesGT 49–0 MER neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)GT 25–18 MER neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesGT 28–14 MER neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesGT 32–11 MER neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesGT 35–7 MER neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesGT 39–4 MER neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesGT 42–0 MER neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)GT 21–14 MER neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesGT 25–11 MER neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesGT 28–7 MER neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesGT 32–4 MER neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesGT 35–0 MER neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalGT +7GT +21GT +35GT +49GT +63margin →