CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MER 3.3%96.7% GT
Projected margin
GT by 31.2
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
GT 7 to GT 51
Win probability
GT 96.7%
FinalMER 11 · GT 44model had +31.2, off by 1.8

Current team profiles

Mercer
Georgia Tech

When Mercer has the ball

Passing

No comparison
MER offense
—
GT defense
#116
EPA comparison
—
0.33
#116
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
MER offense
—
GT defense
#98
EPA comparison
—
0.11
#98
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
MER offense
#41
GT defense
#83
Success rates
45%
#41
42%
#83
Success rate
More metrics
0.22
#16
0.18
#114
EPA / play
0.21
#45
1.29
#102
Explosiveness
—
15%
#88
Havoc

When Georgia Tech has the ball

Passing

No comparison
MER defense
—
GT offense
#66
EPA comparison
—
0.24
#66
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
MER defense
—
GT offense
#63
EPA comparison
—
0.12
#63
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
MER defense
#17
GT offense
#59
Success rates
40%
#17
45%
#59
Success rate
More metrics
-0.01
#9
0.17
#62
EPA / play
0.18
#8
1.26
#50
Explosiveness
—
15%
#79
Havoc

Current key players

Mercer
QBJP Pickles
229 yds · 3 TD · 1 INT
87.112/370
DBCameron Goggins
12 tkl · 2 PD · 4 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.0
Coverage
89.7
Targets allowed
19
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
55
Passer rating allowed
1.3
Missed tackles
1
84.514/1765
DLEan Johnson-Kelley
16 tkl · 3.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
84.2
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
55
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
83.118/1549
DLMarquis Williams
13 tkl · 3.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
85.3
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
58
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
81.230/1549
QBJaylen King
831 yds · 6 TD · 5 INT
79.641/370
WRBrayden Smith
30 rec · 468 yds · 2 TD
79.230/1229
Georgia Tech
QBAlberto Mendoza
975 yds · 6 TD · 3 INT
78.188/729
LBC.J. Gamble
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
53.3
Coverage
96.2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
94.41/1796
RBJustice Haynes
393 yds · 3 TD · 5.4 YPC
80.667/1044
LBKyle Efford
21 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
64.9
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
75.0182/1796
STae Harris
25 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.7
Coverage
73.2
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
60.0
Missed tackles
5
72.9280/2969
TEKevin Roche Jr.
18 rec · 200 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
70.9
Run blocking
53.4
Penalties
0
72.761/1017
Availability reports · 8
  • Malachi Hosley · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Richardson is battling with a Undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Hokies on Saturday, Octob

  • Jordan Walker · DLQues. · 2026-10-11

    Walker is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaiven Plummer · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Plummer is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • A.J. Hoffler · DLQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hoffler is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Shymeik Jones · DLQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jones is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ethan Mackenny · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    MacKenny is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Coi Jean-Noel · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jean-Noel has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, Octob

  • Darnell Collins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Plummer is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

MER
GT
vs
Offense
87.1
#12 of 125
QB
78.1
#68 of 138
75.3
#39 of 126
RB
76.3
#62 of 138
72.6
#28 of 126
WR
67.0
#119 of 138
70.8
#29 of 124
TE
72.7
#47 of 138
67.1
#38 of 125
OL
59.5
#134 of 138
Defense
78.2
#9 of 126
DL
73.8
#64 of 138
75.4
#26 of 126
LB
80.2
#20 of 138
73.6
#35 of 126
DB
69.1
#109 of 138
Common opponents