AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 7:30 PM
Away
Wagner
—
15p
#68Home
California
0-0 · AVR 49.3
40p
WAG 4%96% CAL
Spread
CAL -24.7
Total
54
Moneyline
WAG+2321CAL-2321
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
California
QBJaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
79.323/308
WRIan Strong
78.725/777
DBCam Sidney
78.5107/1427
DBIsaiah Crosby
74.0165/1427
DBAiden Manutai
69.9243/1427
LBTristan Jernigan
69.7149/878

Projected margin

80% between 8 and 41
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKCAL +24.795% interval: 1.7 to 47.780% interval: 8 to 41.4+8+41WAG wins 4%CAL wins 96%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ CAL 42–14 WAGCAL 39–39 WAG neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesCAL 42–35 WAG neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesCAL 46–32 WAG neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCAL 49–28 WAG neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesCAL 53–25 WAG neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesCAL 56–21 WAG neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCAL 60–18 WAG neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesCAL 63–14 WAG neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesCAL 67–11 WAG neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesCAL 35–35 WAG neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesCAL 39–32 WAG neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesCAL 42–28 WAG neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesCAL 46–25 WAG neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesCAL 49–21 WAG neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesCAL 53–18 WAG neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesCAL 56–14 WAG neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesCAL 60–11 WAG neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesCAL 63–7 WAG neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesCAL 32–32 WAG neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesCAL 35–28 WAG neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCAL 39–25 WAG neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesCAL 42–21 WAG neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesCAL 46–18 WAG neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesCAL 49–14 WAG neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesCAL 53–11 WAG neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCAL 56–7 WAG neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesCAL 60–4 WAG neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCAL 28–28 WAG neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesCAL 32–25 WAG neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCAL 35–21 WAG neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesCAL 39–18 WAG neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesCAL 42–14 WAG neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesCAL 46–11 WAG neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesCAL 49–7 WAG neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCAL 53–4 WAG neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesCAL 56–0 WAG neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCAL 25–25 WAG neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesCAL 28–21 WAG neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCAL 32–18 WAG neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesCAL 35–14 WAG neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesCAL 39–11 WAG neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesCAL 42–7 WAG neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesCAL 46–4 WAG neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCAL 49–0 WAG neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)CAL 21–21 WAG neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesCAL 25–18 WAG neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCAL 28–14 WAG neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesCAL 32–11 WAG neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesCAL 35–7 WAG neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesCAL 39–4 WAG neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesCAL 42–0 WAG neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)CAL 18–18 WAG neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesCAL 21–14 WAG neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesCAL 25–11 WAG neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCAL 28–7 WAG neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesCAL 32–4 WAG neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesCAL 35–0 WAG neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalPKCAL +14CAL +28CAL +42CAL +56margin →