CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 4 · Fri Sep 25 · 10:30 PM ET
#65Away
Clemson
2-1 · AVR 61.2
24
Final
#83Home
California
2-1 · AVR 56.8
10
Forecast win probability
CLEM 56.9%43.1% CAL
Projected margin
CLEM by 3.0
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
CLEM 24 to CAL 17
Win probability
CLEM 56.9%
FinalCLEM 24 · CAL 10model had -3.0, off by 11.0

Current team profiles

Clemson
California

When Clemson has the ball

Passing

CAL defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLEM offense
#123
CAL defense
#26
EPA comparison
0.00
#123
0.01
#26
Pass EPA

Rushing

CLEM offense
Higher-ranked profile
CLEM offense
#88
CAL defense
#122
EPA comparison
0.06
#88
0.19
#122
Rush EPA

Drive success

CAL defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLEM offense
#129
CAL defense
#36
Success rates
36%
#129
37%
#36
Success rate
More metrics
-0.04
#128
0.06
#70
EPA / play
1.21
#88
1.40
#128
Explosiveness
18%
#124
14%
#97
Havoc

When California has the ball

Passing

CLEM defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLEM defense
#26
CAL offense
#92
EPA comparison
0.01
#26
0.13
#92
Pass EPA

Rushing

CAL offense
Higher-ranked profile
CLEM defense
#128
CAL offense
#123
EPA comparison
0.21
#128
-0.07
#123
Rush EPA

Drive success

CLEM defense
Higher-ranked profile
CLEM defense
#98
CAL offense
#113
Success rates
43%
#98
39%
#113
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#74
0.01
#119
EPA / play
1.18
#51
1.28
#42
Explosiveness
16%
#74
17%
#114
Havoc

Current key players

Clemson
QBTrent Pearman
— yds · — TD · — INT
69.2168/729
LBC.J. Kubah-Taylor
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.7
Coverage
73.6
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.1118/1796
CBAshton Hampton
13 tkl · 9 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
52.3
Coverage
81.5
Targets allowed
29
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
167
Passer rating allowed
54.8
Missed tackles
6
77.3113/2969
RBDavid Eziomume
11 yds · 1 TD · 11.0 YPC
75.5166/1044
CBBranden Strozier
6 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.2
Coverage
69.4
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
30
Passer rating allowed
138.9
Missed tackles
0
70.7400/2969
CBElliot Washington II
19 tkl · 4 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.7
Coverage
69.6
Targets allowed
21
Rec allowed
11
Yards allowed
166
Passer rating allowed
70.8
Missed tackles
5
69.5472/2969
Availability reports · 7
  • David Eziomume · RBout · 2026-09-28

    Eziomume is liad up with a leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Corian Gipson · CBout · 2026-09-25

    Gipson is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against California on Friday, September 25th.

  • Peyton Streko · RBout · 2026-08-11

    Streko has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Cole Turner · WRout · 2026-08-21

    Turner is dealing with some personal reasons, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.

  • Keil McGriff · WRout · 2026-09-17

    McGriff is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and it is not anticipated that he will suit up against North Carolina on Saturday.

  • Jay Haynes · RBout · 2026-10-02

    Haynes is nursing an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to play against Miami on Saturday, October 3rd.

  • Christopher Vizzina · QBQues. · 2026-09-30

    Vizzina is dealing with an elbow injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hurricanes on Saturday, October 3rd.

California
QBDominic Ingrassia
— yds · — TD · — INT
76.3103/729
DBKingston Lopa
27 tkl · 1 PD · 5 INT
Player detail
Run defense
57.6
Coverage
90.8
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
71
Passer rating allowed
42.1
Missed tackles
6
85.523/2969
RBAdam Mohammed
336 yds · 3 TD · 4.6 YPC
78.5100/1044
DBCam Sidney
9 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.1
Coverage
77.1
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
37
Passer rating allowed
59.2
Missed tackles
1
76.6142/2969
DBIsaiah Crosby
24 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
79.7
Coverage
77.2
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
19
Passer rating allowed
22.2
Missed tackles
3
76.3150/2969
LBJoshua Pierce
6 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.8
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
13
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
71.6301/1796
Availability reports · 6
  • Adam Mohammed · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Mohammed is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is un determined if he will play against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Sagapolutele is dealing with a head injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Carter Vargas · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Vargas is dealing with a leg injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, October 17t

  • Cole Boscia · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Boscia is battling with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Rico Walker · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Walker is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established to play against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Trevor Rogers · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Rogers is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it is yet to established to play against the Demon Deacons on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

CLEM
CAL
vs
Offense
69.2
#105 of 138
QB
76.3
#77 of 138
72.9
#98 of 138
RB
73.2
#93 of 138
66.1
#127 of 138
WR
66.0
#128 of 138
61.4
#108 of 138
TE
57.9
#132 of 138
63.3
#112 of 138
OL
67.0
#78 of 138
Defense
73.1
#69 of 138
DL
70.3
#102 of 138
70.5
#100 of 138
LB
70.6
#99 of 138
70.9
#85 of 138
DB
77.1
#15 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Clemson
opponent
California
A+6.8
SYR#68
+3.0A
H+6.0
VT#46
+5.0H