CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 10:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
GT 74.4%25.6% STAN
Projected margin
GT by 9.6
Projected total
51
80% outcome range
GT 30 to STAN 10
Win probability
GT 74.4%
FinalGT 27 · STAN 34model had -9.6, off by 16.6

Current team profiles

Georgia Tech
Stanford

When Georgia Tech has the ball

Passing

GT offense
Higher-ranked profile
GT offense
#66
STAN defense
#136
EPA comparison
0.24
#66
0.47
#136
Pass EPA

Rushing

GT offense
Higher-ranked profile
GT offense
#63
STAN defense
#138
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
0.32
#138
Rush EPA

Drive success

GT offense
Higher-ranked profile
GT offense
#59
STAN defense
#133
Success rates
45%
#59
50%
#133
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#62
0.37
#138
EPA / play
1.26
#50
1.35
#117
Explosiveness
15%
#79
11%
#131
Havoc

When Stanford has the ball

Passing

STAN offense
Higher-ranked profile
GT defense
#116
STAN offense
#88
EPA comparison
0.33
#116
0.14
#88
Pass EPA

Rushing

GT defense
Higher-ranked profile
GT defense
#98
STAN offense
#126
EPA comparison
0.11
#98
-0.08
#126
Rush EPA

Drive success

GT defense
Higher-ranked profile
GT defense
#83
STAN offense
#126
Success rates
42%
#83
37%
#126
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#114
0.04
#111
EPA / play
1.29
#102
1.20
#91
Explosiveness
15%
#88
14%
#60
Havoc

Current key players

Georgia Tech
QBAlberto Mendoza
975 yds · 6 TD · 3 INT
78.188/729
LBC.J. Gamble
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
53.3
Coverage
96.2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
94.41/1796
RBJustice Haynes
393 yds · 3 TD · 5.4 YPC
80.667/1044
LBKyle Efford
21 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
64.9
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
11
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
75.0182/1796
STae Harris
25 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.7
Coverage
73.2
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
60.0
Missed tackles
5
72.9280/2969
TEKevin Roche Jr.
18 rec · 200 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
70.9
Run blocking
53.4
Penalties
0
72.761/1017
Availability reports · 8
  • Malachi Hosley · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Richardson is battling with a Undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against the Hokies on Saturday, Octob

  • Jordan Walker · DLQues. · 2026-10-11

    Walker is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaiven Plummer · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Plummer is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • A.J. Hoffler · DLQues. · 2026-10-11

    Hoffler is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Shymeik Jones · DLQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jones is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ethan Mackenny · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    MacKenny is sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Coi Jean-Noel · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Jean-Noel has been out of the lineup due to an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hokies on Saturday, Octob

  • Darnell Collins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Plummer is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against the Hokies on Saturday, October 17th.

Stanford
QBDavis Warren
1207 yds · 5 TD · 1 INT
70.0153/729
WRNico Brown
10 rec · 148 yds · 1 TD
79.363/2069
RBTuna Altahir
8 yds · 0 TD · 4.0 YPC
75.3173/1044
LBGabe Kaminski
11 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.0
Coverage
70.9
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
61
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
73.2253/1796
CBBrandon Nicholson
9 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
57.2
Coverage
74.5
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
57
Passer rating allowed
52.4
Missed tackles
2
72.6298/2969
WRCaden High
17 rec · 236 yds · 3 TD
72.3187/2069
Availability reports · 5
  • Niki Prongos · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Prongos is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Aidan Kilstrom · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kilstrom is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Carter Shaw · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Shaw is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Daylen Sharper · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Sharper is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • London Bironas · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bironas is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

GT
STAN
vs
Offense
78.1
#68 of 138
QB
70.0
#100 of 138
76.3
#62 of 138
RB
73.3
#92 of 138
67.0
#119 of 138
WR
72.2
#56 of 138
72.7
#47 of 138
TE
57.5
#133 of 138
59.5
#134 of 138
OL
67.0
#79 of 138
Defense
73.8
#64 of 138
DL
65.3
#134 of 138
80.2
#20 of 138
LB
68.4
#119 of 138
69.1
#109 of 138
DB
68.3
#116 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Georgia Tech
opponent
Stanford
H-6.0
WAKE#26
-54.0A
H+3.0
DUKE#34
-28.0A
H-3.6
LOU#27
-15.7A
A-4.1
VT#46
-10.9A