CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 5 · Sat Oct 3 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SYR 64.8%35.2% CONN
Projected margin
SYR by 5.5
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
SYR 24 to CONN 14
Win probability
SYR 64.8%
FinalSYR 42 · CONN 41model had -5.5, off by 4.5

Current team profiles

Syracuse
UConn

When Syracuse has the ball

Passing

SYR offense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR offense
#81
CONN defense
#84
EPA comparison
0.18
#81
0.19
#84
Pass EPA

Rushing

CONN defense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR offense
#72
CONN defense
#41
EPA comparison
0.10
#72
-0.01
#41
Rush EPA

Drive success

SYR offense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR offense
#88
CONN defense
#92
Success rates
42%
#88
42%
#92
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#94
0.08
#76
EPA / play
1.33
#22
1.20
#63
Explosiveness
13%
#39
16%
#63
Havoc

When UConn has the ball

Passing

SYR defense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR defense
#7
CONN offense
#38
EPA comparison
-0.10
#7
0.33
#38
Pass EPA

Rushing

CONN offense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR defense
#91
CONN offense
#28
EPA comparison
0.09
#91
0.21
#28
Rush EPA

Drive success

CONN offense
Higher-ranked profile
SYR defense
#65
CONN offense
#52
Success rates
40%
#65
45%
#52
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#39
0.22
#38
EPA / play
1.18
#47
1.40
#7
Explosiveness
18%
#38
13%
#39
Havoc

Current key players

Syracuse
QBAmari Odom
391 yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
76.0105/729
LBDavid Omopariola
9 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.5
Coverage
68.9
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
65
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
80.577/1796
LBGemaus Sackie
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.0
Coverage
66.2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
80.380/1796
RBTylik Hill
286 yds · 1 TD · 6.4 YPC
78.1107/1044
WRUmari Hatcher
29 rec · 434 yds · 5 TD
76.696/2069
WRJustus Ross-Simmons
10 rec · 161 yds · 0 TD
74.7132/2069
Availability reports · 4
  • Amari Odom · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Odom is bothered by an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Steve Angeli · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Angeli has an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Tripp Woody · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Woody has an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will suit up against against Cardinals on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Nate Edwards · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Edwards is hampered with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against Cardinals on Saturday, October

UConn
QBKalieb Osborne
1164 yds · 10 TD · 2 INT
91.012/729
LBHayden Pegg
34 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.7
Coverage
83.6
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
15
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
87.024/1796
WRRaymond Liggins III
5 rec · 72 yds · 1 TD
81.345/2069
RBCyncir Bowers
349 yds · 5 TD · 7.4 YPC
80.180/1044
WRKamren Flowers
1 rec · 30 yds · 0 TD
77.778/2069
TEMatt Ragan
5 rec · 56 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
30.8
Run blocking
71.7
Penalties
2
74.152/1017
Availability reports · 2
  • J. Brown · WRout · 2026-10-05

    Brown is bothered by a concussion protocol, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.

  • Jake Merklinger · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Merklinger is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will face Minutemen on Friday , October 23rd.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

SYR
CONN
vs
Offense
76.0
#78 of 138
QB
91.0
#12 of 138
75.7
#66 of 138
RB
78.8
#42 of 138
72.2
#57 of 138
WR
77.7
#18 of 138
70.6
#62 of 138
TE
74.1
#42 of 138
66.3
#87 of 138
OL
71.7
#40 of 138
Defense
75.2
#53 of 138
DL
71.3
#93 of 138
79.7
#23 of 138
LB
73.2
#78 of 138
67.3
#123 of 138
DB
64.0
#136 of 138
Common opponents