AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 11:30 PM
Away
Elon
—
18p
#96Home
Stanford
0-0 · AVR 41.0
36p
ELON 10%90% STAN
Spread
STAN -18.0
Total
55
Moneyline
ELON+927STAN-927
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Stanford
LBMatt Rose
78.178/878
LBTevarua Tafiti
74.3111/878
SJay Green
70.7219/1427
CBBrandon Nicholson
70.6224/1427
RBMicah Ford
64.380/514
SJaylen'Dai Sumlin
55.5604/1427

also out — N. Prongos (OG)

Projected margin

80% between 1 and 35
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKSTAN +18.095% interval: -5 to 4180% interval: 1.3 to 34.7+1+35ELON wins 10%STAN wins 90%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ STAN 39–18 ELONSTAN 35–42 ELON neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesSTAN 39–39 ELON neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesSTAN 42–35 ELON neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesSTAN 46–32 ELON neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesSTAN 49–28 ELON neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSTAN 53–25 ELON neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesSTAN 56–21 ELON neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesSTAN 60–18 ELON neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesSTAN 63–14 ELON neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesSTAN 32–39 ELON neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesSTAN 35–35 ELON neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesSTAN 39–32 ELON neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesSTAN 42–28 ELON neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesSTAN 46–25 ELON neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesSTAN 49–21 ELON neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesSTAN 53–18 ELON neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesSTAN 56–14 ELON neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesSTAN 60–11 ELON neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesSTAN 28–35 ELON neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesSTAN 32–32 ELON neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesSTAN 35–28 ELON neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesSTAN 39–25 ELON neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesSTAN 42–21 ELON neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesSTAN 46–18 ELON neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesSTAN 49–14 ELON neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesSTAN 53–11 ELON neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesSTAN 56–7 ELON neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesSTAN 25–32 ELON neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesSTAN 28–28 ELON neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesSTAN 32–25 ELON neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesSTAN 35–21 ELON neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesSTAN 39–18 ELON neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesSTAN 42–14 ELON neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesSTAN 46–11 ELON neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesSTAN 49–7 ELON neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesSTAN 53–4 ELON neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesSTAN 21–28 ELON neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesSTAN 25–25 ELON neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesSTAN 28–21 ELON neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesSTAN 32–18 ELON neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesSTAN 35–14 ELON neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesSTAN 39–11 ELON neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesSTAN 42–7 ELON neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesSTAN 46–4 ELON neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesSTAN 49–0 ELON neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesSTAN 18–25 ELON neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesSTAN 21–21 ELON neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesSTAN 25–18 ELON neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesSTAN 28–14 ELON neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesSTAN 32–11 ELON neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesSTAN 35–7 ELON neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSTAN 39–4 ELON neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesSTAN 42–0 ELON neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)STAN 14–21 ELON neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesSTAN 18–18 ELON neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesSTAN 21–14 ELON neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesSTAN 25–11 ELON neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSTAN 28–7 ELON neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesSTAN 32–4 ELON neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesSTAN 35–0 ELON neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalELON +7STAN +7STAN +21STAN +35STAN +49margin →