CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 7:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ELON 1.9%98.1% STAN
Projected margin
STAN by 32.1
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
STAN 14 to STAN 50
Win probability
STAN 98.1%

Current team profiles

Elon
Stanford

When Elon has the ball

Passing

No comparison
ELON offense
—
STAN defense
#136
EPA comparison
—
0.47
#136
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
ELON offense
—
STAN defense
#138
EPA comparison
—
0.32
#138
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
ELON offense
#80
STAN defense
#133
Success rates
42%
#80
50%
#133
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#87
0.37
#138
EPA / play
0.20
#75
1.35
#117
Explosiveness
—
11%
#131
Havoc

When Stanford has the ball

Passing

No comparison
ELON defense
—
STAN offense
#88
EPA comparison
—
0.14
#88
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
ELON defense
—
STAN offense
#126
EPA comparison
—
-0.08
#126
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
ELON defense
#27
STAN offense
#126
Success rates
41%
#27
37%
#126
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#37
0.04
#111
EPA / play
0.17
#1
1.20
#91
Explosiveness
—
14%
#60
Havoc

Current key players

Elon
QBBrady Stober
306 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
89.110/370
WRJosiah Payton
2 rec · 36 yds · 0 TD
90.72/1229
RBKamerin McDowell-Moore
754 yds · 6 TD · 6.8 YPC
86.810/631
LBBrodie Carroll
54 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
90.4
Coverage
78.4
Pressures
12
Pass-rush snaps
33
Missed tackles
10
Forced fumbles
0
86.46/1054
DLDillon Pardue
17 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.9
Pressures
11
Pass-rush snaps
150
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
75.8105/1549
DBTony Hart III
33 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
89.8
Coverage
69.1
Targets allowed
25
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
128
Passer rating allowed
76.8
Missed tackles
1
75.4133/1765
Stanford
QBDavis Warren
1207 yds · 5 TD · 1 INT
70.0153/729
WRNico Brown
10 rec · 148 yds · 1 TD
79.363/2069
RBTuna Altahir
8 yds · 0 TD · 4.0 YPC
75.3173/1044
LBGabe Kaminski
11 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 2.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.0
Coverage
70.9
Pressures
9
Pass-rush snaps
61
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
73.2253/1796
CBBrandon Nicholson
9 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
57.2
Coverage
74.5
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
57
Passer rating allowed
52.4
Missed tackles
2
72.6298/2969
WRCaden High
17 rec · 236 yds · 3 TD
72.3187/2069
Availability reports · 5
  • Niki Prongos · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Prongos is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Aidan Kilstrom · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Kilstrom is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Carter Shaw · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Shaw is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Daylen Sharper · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Sharper is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

  • London Bironas · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bironas is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against Phoenix on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

ELON
STAN
vs
Offense
89.1
#10 of 125
QB
70.0
#100 of 138
73.3
#51 of 126
RB
73.3
#92 of 138
75.6
#9 of 126
WR
72.2
#56 of 138
73.8
#22 of 124
TE
57.5
#133 of 138
68.1
#33 of 125
OL
67.0
#79 of 138
Defense
73.6
#35 of 126
DL
65.3
#134 of 138
74.6
#33 of 126
LB
68.4
#119 of 138
72.9
#41 of 126
DB
68.3
#116 of 138
Common opponents