AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 11 · Sat Nov 14 · 5:00 AM
#38Away
Georgia Tech
0-0 · AVR 59.1
23p
#27Home
Clemson
0-0 · AVR 65.6
31p
GT 31%69% CLEM
Spread
CLEM -7.4
Total
54
Moneyline
GT+223CLEM-223
Margin σ
14.6

Unit matchups

Pass game vs pass defense, run vs the front — units combined per phase
← GT advantageevenCLEM advantage →
GT throw
GT protection #23
CLEM +34
GT run
even
CLEM throw
CLEM QB #108CLEM WR #31
CLEM +7
CLEM run
CLEM +27

Matchups to watch

The individual fights most likely to decide it, biggest names first
off the edge· hunting Mendoza
Will Reed
vs
Will Heldt
LT · GT
EDGE · CLEM
84.8
102.2
CLEM +17
when GT runs
Justice Haynes
vs
Sammy Brown
RB · GT
MLB · CLEM
77.3
80.8
CLEM +3
when CLEM throws
T.J. Moore
vs
Jonas Duclona
X · CLEM
CB1 · GT
71.6
85.0
GT +13
when GT throws
Jordan Allen
vs
Ashton Hampton
X · GT
CB1 · CLEM
64.6
87.1
CLEM +22
off the edge· hunting Denson
Dietrick Pennington
vs
Brayden Manley
LT · CLEM
EDGE · GT
70.7
59.3
CLEM +11
when CLEM runs
Chris Johnson Jr.
vs
Kyle Efford
RB · CLEM
MLB · GT
68.0
60.9
CLEM +7

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Georgia Tech
CBJonas Duclona
85.044/1427
CBJaylen Mbakwe
81.281/1427
RBJustice Haynes
77.331/514
WRJordan Allen
64.686/777
LBKyle Efford
60.9268/878
LBCayman Spaulding
60.1284/878
Clemson
CBAshton Hampton
87.127/1427
SCorey Myrick
84.747/1427
SJerome Carter III
81.873/1427
LBSammy Brown
80.848/878
WRT.J. Moore
71.643/777
RBChris Johnson Jr.
68.068/514

also out — Clemson defensive tackle (DL), Former Clemson corner (CB), P. Streko (RB), Clemson, Clemson defensive back (DB), Clemson freshman standout, Clemson player, Clemson safety (S) +10 more

Common opponents

2 shared opponents — margin each way, biggest disagreement first
Georgia Tech
opponent
Clemson
away+3.0
Virginia Tech#57
+12.8home
home+4.2
Duke#39
+4.0away

Projected margin

80% between -10 and 25
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKCLEM +7.495% interval: -16.5 to 31.380% interval: -10 to 24.7-10+25GT wins 31%CLEM wins 69%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ CLEM 32–25 GTCLEM 28–49 GT neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCLEM 32–46 GT neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesCLEM 35–42 GT neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesCLEM 39–39 GT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLEM 42–35 GT neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesCLEM 46–32 GT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLEM 49–28 GT neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesCLEM 53–25 GT neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesCLEM 56–21 GT neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesCLEM 25–46 GT neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesCLEM 28–42 GT neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesCLEM 32–39 GT neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesCLEM 35–35 GT neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesCLEM 39–32 GT neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesCLEM 42–28 GT neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesCLEM 46–25 GT neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesCLEM 49–21 GT neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesCLEM 53–18 GT neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesCLEM 21–42 GT neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesCLEM 25–39 GT neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesCLEM 28–35 GT neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCLEM 32–32 GT neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesCLEM 35–28 GT neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesCLEM 39–25 GT neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesCLEM 42–21 GT neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesCLEM 46–18 GT neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesCLEM 49–14 GT neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesCLEM 18–39 GT neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesCLEM 21–35 GT neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesCLEM 25–32 GT neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesCLEM 28–28 GT neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesCLEM 32–25 GT neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesCLEM 35–21 GT neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesCLEM 39–18 GT neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesCLEM 42–14 GT neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesCLEM 46–11 GT neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesCLEM 14–35 GT neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesCLEM 18–32 GT neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesCLEM 21–28 GT neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesCLEM 25–25 GT neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesCLEM 28–21 GT neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesCLEM 32–18 GT neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesCLEM 35–14 GT neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesCLEM 39–11 GT neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesCLEM 42–7 GT neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesCLEM 11–32 GT neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesCLEM 14–28 GT neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesCLEM 18–25 GT neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesCLEM 21–21 GT neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesCLEM 25–18 GT neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesCLEM 28–14 GT neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesCLEM 32–11 GT neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesCLEM 35–7 GT neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesCLEM 39–4 GT neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesCLEM 7–28 GT neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesCLEM 11–25 GT neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesCLEM 14–21 GT neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesCLEM 18–18 GT neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesCLEM 21–14 GT neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesCLEM 25–11 GT neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesCLEM 28–7 GT neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesCLEM 32–4 GT neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesCLEM 35–0 GT neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomes77706356494235totalGT +21GT +7CLEM +7CLEM +21CLEM +35margin →