CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Thu Sep 3 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
EIU 0.4%99.6% MINN
Projected margin
MINN by 42.2
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
MINN 22 to MINN 63
Win probability
MINN 99.6%
FinalEIU 7 · MINN 59model had +42.2, off by 9.8

Current team profiles

Eastern Illinois
Minnesota

When Eastern Illinois has the ball

Passing

No comparison
EIU offense
—
MINN defense
#38
EPA comparison
—
0.06
#38
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
EIU offense
—
MINN defense
#107
EPA comparison
—
0.14
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
EIU offense
#85
MINN defense
#58
Success rates
42%
#85
39%
#58
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#79
0.04
#57
EPA / play
0.19
#101
1.18
#50
Explosiveness
—
22%
#6
Havoc

When Minnesota has the ball

Passing

No comparison
EIU defense
—
MINN offense
#76
EPA comparison
—
0.20
#76
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
EIU defense
—
MINN offense
#123
EPA comparison
—
-0.07
#123
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
EIU defense
#99
MINN offense
#76
Success rates
47%
#99
43%
#76
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#115
0.05
#106
EPA / play
0.23
#109
1.12
#121
Explosiveness
—
14%
#63
Havoc

Current key players

Eastern Illinois
LBLonnie Burt
27 tkl · 2.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
86.8
Coverage
60.2
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
9
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
74.1121/1054
LBMicah Valenzuela
10 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.4
Coverage
66.9
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
10
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
73.9125/1054
TEAbbas Clark
1 rec · 5 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
67.8
Run blocking
62.8
Penalties
0
73.524/526
LBDavian Humphrey
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
61.2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.4170/1054
WRJeremy Reeves
6 rec · 99 yds · 1 TD
72.3105/1229
DLTyler Fortis
1 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.6
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
21
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
69.6343/1549
Minnesota
QBDrake Lindsey
1087 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
72.5133/729
DBJohn Nestor
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.8
Coverage
87.2
Targets allowed
17
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
48
Passer rating allowed
53.8
Missed tackles
2
85.622/2969
DBAydan West
15 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
52.8
Coverage
83.8
Targets allowed
17
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
61
Passer rating allowed
26.8
Missed tackles
3
81.148/2969
LBNate Cleveland
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.5
Coverage
39.7
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
79.294/1796
WRNoah Jennings
26 rec · 345 yds · 1 TD
78.468/2069
LBMason Carrier
4 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.5
Coverage
70.6
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.8123/1796
Availability reports · 6
  • Ashton Beers · OLout · 2026-10-01

    Minnesota Football: Starting center Ashton Beers out for the season - The Daily Gopher

  • Ryan Estrada · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Estrada is out of action due to a knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • A.J. Turner · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Turner is nursing with an undisclosed injury, but he is projected to suit up against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Beckham Sunderland · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Sunderland is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Braiden Stevens · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stevens is ailing from illness, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Zeke Bates · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bates is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

EIU
MINN
vs
Offense
60.3
#107 of 125
QB
72.5
#93 of 138
66.8
#102 of 126
RB
74.5
#78 of 138
64.4
#107 of 126
WR
74.7
#35 of 138
73.5
#23 of 124
TE
57.3
#134 of 138
56.2
#122 of 125
OL
76.0
#13 of 138
Defense
65.4
#115 of 126
DL
77.1
#35 of 138
73.5
#42 of 126
LB
77.0
#43 of 138
63.9
#124 of 126
DB
74.7
#37 of 138
Common opponents