AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 1 · Thu Sep 3 · 6:00 PM
#138Away
Massachusetts
0-0 · AVR 11.0
7p
#48Home
Rutgers
0-0 · AVR 55.7
49p
MASS 0%100% RUTG
Spread
RUTG -41.8
Total
56
Moneyline
MASS—RUTG—
Against the market
RUTG +12.3line RUTG -29.5

Unit matchups

Pass game vs pass defense, run vs the front — units combined per phase
← MASS advantageevenRUTG advantage →
MASS throw
RUTG coverage #153RUTG pass rush #21
RUTG +32
MASS run
RUTG front #21RUTG linebackers #132
RUTG +51
RUTG throw
RUTG +52
RUTG run
RUTG +70

Matchups to watch

The individual fights most likely to decide it, biggest names first
when RUTG throws
KJ Duff
vs
DD Snyder
X · RUTG
CB1 · MASS
87.1
61.2
RUTG +26
when RUTG runs
Antwan Raymond
vs
Timmy Hinspeter
RB · RUTG
MLB · MASS
86.0
56.4
RUTG +30
off the edge· hunting Lonergan
Kwabena Asamoah
vs
Andrew Depaepe
LT · RUTG
EDGE · MASS
73.7
59.9
RUTG +14
when MASS runs
Justin Williams-Thomas
vs
Ty Morris
RB · MASS
MLB · RUTG
50.1
65.5
RUTG +15
over the middle
Jackson Gister
vs
Michael Robinson
TE · RUTG
FS · MASS
57.2
41.6
RUTG +16
off the edge· hunting III
Zachary Franks
vs
Malachi Davis
LT · MASS
EDGE · RUTG
-1.8
96.3
RUTG +98

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Massachusetts
SDD Snyder
61.2452/1427
CBIsaiah Reed
59.2503/1427
LBTimmy Hinspeter
56.4366/878
LBTyler Martin
53.5415/878
RBJustin Williams-Thomas
50.1283/514
QBWilliam Watson III
47.3192/308
Rutgers
WRKJ Duff
87.15/777
RBAntwan Raymond
86.04/514
LBTy Morris
65.5206/878
QBDylan Lonergan
62.362/308
TEJackson Gister
57.277/287
WRMichael Thomas III
53.7199/777

Projected margin

80% between 22 and 59
-7-3+3+7+14PKRUTG +41.8MKT95% interval: 12 to 6680% interval: 22 to 59+22+59MASS wins 0%RUTG wins 100%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ RUTG 49–7 MASSRUTG 46–32 MASS neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesRUTG 49–28 MASS neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesRUTG 53–25 MASS neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesRUTG 56–21 MASS neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesRUTG 60–18 MASS neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesRUTG 63–14 MASS neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesRUTG 67–11 MASS neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesRUTG 70–7 MASS neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesRUTG 74–4 MASS neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesRUTG 42–28 MASS neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesRUTG 46–25 MASS neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesRUTG 49–21 MASS neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesRUTG 53–18 MASS neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesRUTG 56–14 MASS neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesRUTG 60–11 MASS neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesRUTG 63–7 MASS neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesRUTG 67–4 MASS neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesRUTG 70–0 MASS neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesRUTG 39–25 MASS neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesRUTG 42–21 MASS neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesRUTG 46–18 MASS neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesRUTG 49–14 MASS neighborhood · ~3.6% of outcomesRUTG 53–11 MASS neighborhood · ~4.0% of outcomesRUTG 56–7 MASS neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesRUTG 60–4 MASS neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesRUTG 63–0 MASS neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)RUTG 35–21 MASS neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesRUTG 39–18 MASS neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesRUTG 42–14 MASS neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesRUTG 46–11 MASS neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesRUTG 49–7 MASS neighborhood · ~4.2% of outcomesRUTG 53–4 MASS neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesRUTG 56–0 MASS neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)RUTG 32–18 MASS neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesRUTG 35–14 MASS neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesRUTG 39–11 MASS neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesRUTG 42–7 MASS neighborhood · ~3.6% of outcomesRUTG 46–4 MASS neighborhood · ~4.0% of outcomesRUTG 49–0 MASS neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)RUTG 28–14 MASS neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesRUTG 32–11 MASS neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesRUTG 35–7 MASS neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesRUTG 39–4 MASS neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesRUTG 42–0 MASS neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)RUTG 25–11 MASS neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesRUTG 28–7 MASS neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesRUTG 32–4 MASS neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesRUTG 35–0 MASS neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalRUTG +14RUTG +28RUTG +42RUTG +56RUTG +70margin →