Passing
MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS offense
- #36
- RUTG defense
- #128
EPA comparison
0.35
#36
0.38
#128
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Thu Sep 3 · 6:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MASS 1.4%98.6% RUTG
- Projected margin
- RUTG by 35.1
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- RUTG 15 to RUTG 56
- Win probability
- RUTG 98.6%
FinalMASS 37 · RUTG 21model had +35.1, off by 51.1
Current team profiles
Massachusetts
RutgersWhen Massachusetts has the ball
Rushing
MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS offense
- #61
- RUTG defense
- #122
EPA comparison
0.13
#61
0.19
#122
Rush EPA
Drive success
MASS offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS offense
- #66
- RUTG defense
- #124
Success rates
44%
#66
46%
#124
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#45
0.23
#127
EPA / play
1.24
#68
1.24
#78
Explosiveness
12%
#27
12%
#125
Havoc
When Rutgers has the ball
Passing
RUTG offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS defense
- #52
- RUTG offense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.09
#52
0.32
#41
Pass EPA
Rushing
MASS defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS defense
- #27
- RUTG offense
- #121
EPA comparison
-0.07
#27
-0.03
#121
Rush EPA
Drive success
RUTG offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MASS defense
- #57
- RUTG offense
- #56
Success rates
39%
#57
45%
#56
Success rate
More metrics
-0.03
#31
0.11
#86
EPA / play
1.10
#21
1.34
#18
Explosiveness
15%
#89
15%
#79
Havoc
Current key players
MassachusettsQBWilliam Watson III
820 yds · 7 TD · 2 INT
85.143/729
LBTimmy Hinspeter
30 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 90.0
- Coverage
- 79.6
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 15
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.826/1796
RBCurtis Kimmons IV
262 yds · 3 TD · 5.8 YPC
82.156/1044
WRJabari Lewis
10 rec · 152 yds · 0 TD
78.766/2069
SJahmad Harmon
10 tkl · 1 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 82.3
- Coverage
- 72.0
- Targets allowed
- 15
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 71
- Passer rating allowed
- 32.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
76.5144/2969
LBDinos Drossos
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.4
- Coverage
- 64.4
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
74.2209/1796
Availability reports · 3
- J. Washington · RBout · 2026-10-10
Washington has been sidelined due to an undisclosed injury, and has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Joseph Griffin Jr. · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Griffin is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.
- Dallas Elliott · WRQues. · 2026-10-10
Elliott is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it remain to seen if he will Buffalo on Saturday, October 17th.
RutgersQBAJ Surace
475 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
65.6208/729
TEKam Anthony
2 rec · 22 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 76.6
- Run blocking
- 77.5
- Penalties
- 0
90.22/1017
WRKJ Duff
33 rec · 628 yds · 7 TD
87.416/2069
RBAntwan Raymond
469 yds · 4 TD · 5.3 YPC
74.8179/1044
DBKaj Sanders
12 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.3
- Coverage
- 70.6
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 23
- Passer rating allowed
- 89.6
- Missed tackles
- 2
72.6297/2969
DBDK Gilley
19 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.7
- Coverage
- 72.0
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 12
- Passer rating allowed
- 91.7
- Missed tackles
- 3
72.3314/2969
Availability reports · 5
- Kevin Levy · CBout · 2026-09-17
Levy is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and he will be out of the lineup against USC on Saturday.
- Dylan Lonergan · QBout · 2026-10-04
Lonergan is dealing with an head injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
- Antwan Raymond · RBQues. · 2026-09-30
Raymond is dealing with undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be available Saturday against the Indiana.
- Famah Toure · WRQues. · 2026-09-11
Toure is nursing with a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the USC on Saturday, September 19th.
- Dino Kaliakmanis · WRQues. · 2026-09-26
Kaliakmanis is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to suit up against USC on Sunday.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MASSMassachusetts
RUTGRutgers
vs
Offense
85.1
#39 of 138
QB
Quarterback
65.6
#118 of 138
81.3
#29 of 138
RB
Running backs
72.3
#104 of 138
73.6
#45 of 138
WR
Receivers
71.5
#69 of 138
66.0
#86 of 138
TE
Tight ends
90.2
#2 of 138
63.7
#107 of 138
OL
Offensive line
75.6
#14 of 138
Defense
77.1
#34 of 138
DL
Defensive line
71.5
#91 of 138
77.4
#41 of 138
LB
Linebackers
65.5
#133 of 138
72.8
#59 of 138
DB
Secondary
69.5
#105 of 138