Passing
ILL defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UAB offense
- #130
- ILL defense
- #126
EPA comparison
-0.06
#130
0.37
#126
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Thu Sep 3 · 9:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UAB 12.0%88.0% ILL
- Projected margin
- ILL by 18.8
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- UAB 2 to ILL 39
- Win probability
- ILL 88.0%
FinalUAB 23 · ILL 42model had +18.8, off by 0.2
Current team profiles
UABIllinoisWhen UAB has the ball
Rushing
UAB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UAB offense
- #79
- ILL defense
- #101
EPA comparison
0.09
#79
0.12
#101
Rush EPA
Drive success
UAB offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UAB offense
- #81
- ILL defense
- #117
Success rates
43%
#81
46%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
0.02
#116
0.25
#130
EPA / play
1.14
#111
1.27
#93
Explosiveness
16%
#88
12%
#125
Havoc
When Illinois has the ball
Passing
UAB defense
Higher-ranked profile
- UAB defense
- #32
- ILL offense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.03
#32
0.32
#41
Pass EPA
Rushing
ILL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UAB defense
- #102
- ILL offense
- #39
EPA comparison
0.13
#102
0.18
#39
Rush EPA
Drive success
ILL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- UAB defense
- #110
- ILL offense
- #15
Success rates
45%
#110
50%
#15
Success rate
More metrics
0.06
#70
0.23
#34
EPA / play
1.03
#6
1.25
#60
Explosiveness
15%
#84
11%
#14
Havoc
Current key players
UABQBRyder Burton
791 yds · 4 TD · 4 INT
74.3118/729
LBMarlin Dean
21 tkl · 8.0 TFL · 5.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.9
- Coverage
- 59.9
- Pressures
- 17
- Pass-rush snaps
- 101
- Missed tackles
- 8
- Forced fumbles
- 2
78.7100/1796
DBGuylijah Theodule
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.0
- Coverage
- 69.3
- Targets allowed
- 1
- Rec allowed
- 1
- Yards allowed
- 4
- Passer rating allowed
- 83.3
- Missed tackles
- 0
78.391/2969
WRTy Mims
14 rec · 223 yds · 1 TD
78.073/2069
TESean Persson
1 rec · 12 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 67.5
- Run blocking
- 73.1
- Penalties
- 0
75.446/1017
RBBam McReynolds
260 yds · 4 TD · 4.8 YPC
74.1190/1044
Availability reports · 1
- Antonio Ferguson · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Ferguson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will play against Pirates on Thursday, October 15th.
IllinoisQBKatin Houser
1246 yds · 11 TD · 3 INT
90.814/729
WRCollin Dixon
40 rec · 546 yds · 8 TD
87.019/2069
LBCameron Thomas
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.3
- Coverage
- 84.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 18
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.676/1796
LBWill Holmes
13 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.4
- Coverage
- 60.3
- Pressures
- 16
- Pass-rush snaps
- 92
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.491/1796
RBJavari Barnett
54 yds · 1 TD · 5.4 YPC
79.393/1044
DBMatthew Bailey
37 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.2
- Coverage
- 79.8
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 38
- Passer rating allowed
- 20.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
78.681/2969
Availability reports · 11
- Tanner Hollinger · TEout · 2026-08-11
Hollinger has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season
- Alex Perry · WRout · 2026-08-13
Perry is batting with a shoulder injury and will undergo surgery, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- BJ Thurman · TEout · 2026-08-13
Thurman is laid up with foot surgery, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Grant Smith · TEout · 2026-08-23
Smith is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Will Vala III · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Vala III is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the field against Ducks on Sunday, October 24t
- Jacob Eberhart · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Eberhart is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the field against Ducks on Sunday, October 24t
- Jacob Harvey · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Harvey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Jayshon Platt · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Platt is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will partake against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- John Forster · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Forster is nursing with a knee injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Kenyon Alston · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Alston is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Nas Rankin · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Rankin is nursing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
UABUAB
ILLIllinois
vs
Offense
74.3
#85 of 138
QB
Quarterback
90.8
#14 of 138
70.6
#116 of 138
RB
Running backs
75.4
#70 of 138
71.2
#71 of 138
WR
Receivers
75.8
#31 of 138
75.4
#37 of 138
TE
Tight ends
73.7
#44 of 138
63.0
#114 of 138
OL
Offensive line
69.2
#60 of 138
Defense
66.7
#131 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.8
#74 of 138
68.9
#114 of 138
LB
Linebackers
76.7
#48 of 138
70.8
#86 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.0
#57 of 138