CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
HAMP 0.1%99.9% MD
Projected margin
MD by 47.5
Projected total
62
80% outcome range
MD 27 to MD 68
Win probability
MD 99.9%
FinalHAMP 0 · MD 62model had +47.5, off by 14.5

Current team profiles

Hampton
Maryland

When Hampton has the ball

Passing

No comparison
HAMP offense
—
MD defense
#65
EPA comparison
—
0.12
#65
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
HAMP offense
—
MD defense
#84
EPA comparison
—
0.07
#84
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
HAMP offense
#92
MD defense
#86
Success rates
41%
#92
42%
#86
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#120
0.08
#78
EPA / play
0.18
#114
1.20
#55
Explosiveness
—
16%
#74
Havoc

When Maryland has the ball

Passing

No comparison
HAMP defense
—
MD offense
#125
EPA comparison
—
-0.01
#125
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
HAMP defense
—
MD offense
#72
EPA comparison
—
0.10
#72
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
HAMP defense
#109
MD offense
#106
Success rates
47%
#109
40%
#106
Success rate
More metrics
0.18
#95
0.03
#112
EPA / play
0.24
#111
1.25
#60
Explosiveness
—
14%
#45
Havoc

Current key players

Hampton
WRJalen Walker
1 rec · 16 yds · 1 TD
81.020/1229
RBMekhi Madison
20 yds · 0 TD · 10.0 YPC
79.933/631
RBAmari Pryear
214 yds · 1 TD · 8.6 YPC
79.541/631
DLMarcellus Nash
10 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.0
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
28
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.770/1549
DBNijay Gay
0 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.0
Coverage
70.7
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
76.1109/1765
RBGracen Goldsmith
125 yds · 2 TD · 3.7 YPC
75.282/631
Maryland
QBCardell Williams
63 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
91.87/729
WRZymear Smith
— rec · — yds · — TD
88.411/2069
WRChris Durr Jr.
42 rec · 461 yds · 4 TD
79.959/2069
LBStephen Dean III
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.3
Coverage
62.3
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
75.0184/1796
DBJamare Glasker
16 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
78.1
Coverage
71.9
Targets allowed
23
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
166
Passer rating allowed
72.0
Missed tackles
5
74.0228/2969
LBTrey Reddick
19 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.2
Coverage
68.2
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
72.1288/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Zahir Mathis · LBout · 2026-08-13

    Mathis is battling with a leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Cardell Williams · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Williams is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Lavon Johnson · DLQues. · 2026-10-11

    Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury,, and it is undetermined if he will face against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Daniel Leahy · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Leahy is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

HAMP
MD
vs
Offense
61.4
#104 of 125
QB
91.8
#7 of 138
79.7
#12 of 126
RB
70.1
#118 of 138
70.9
#41 of 126
WR
80.8
#9 of 138
68.2
#42 of 124
TE
61.1
#111 of 138
66.0
#48 of 125
OL
68.8
#62 of 138
Defense
69.4
#76 of 126
DL
74.5
#59 of 138
60.6
#122 of 126
LB
72.5
#84 of 138
70.2
#82 of 126
DB
67.5
#122 of 138
Common opponents