CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Sat Sep 5 · 12:00 PM ET
#77Away
Ohio
0-0 · AVR 56.2
21
Final
#67Home
Nebraska
0-0 · AVR 57.2
49
Forecast win probability
OHIO 21.1%78.9% NEB
Projected margin
NEB by 12.8
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
OHIO 8 to NEB 33
Win probability
NEB 78.9%
FinalOHIO 21 · NEB 49model had +12.8, off by 15.2

Current team profiles

Ohio
Nebraska

When Ohio has the ball

Passing

NEB defense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO offense
#92
NEB defense
#7
EPA comparison
0.13
#92
-0.10
#7
Pass EPA

Rushing

OHIO offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO offense
#45
NEB defense
#63
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
0.03
#63
Rush EPA

Drive success

NEB defense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO offense
#46
NEB defense
#18
Success rates
46%
#46
34%
#18
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#69
-0.02
#35
EPA / play
1.11
#124
1.36
#120
Explosiveness
14%
#56
19%
#28
Havoc

When Nebraska has the ball

Passing

NEB offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO defense
#116
NEB offense
#47
EPA comparison
0.33
#116
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

NEB offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO defense
#88
NEB offense
#3
EPA comparison
0.08
#88
0.33
#3
Rush EPA

Drive success

NEB offense
Higher-ranked profile
OHIO defense
#88
NEB offense
#36
Success rates
42%
#88
48%
#36
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#106
0.31
#14
EPA / play
1.27
#93
1.38
#14
Explosiveness
16%
#70
13%
#37
Havoc

Current key players

Ohio
QBLevi Davis
171 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
81.961/729
LBAlex Brown
1 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
75.9
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
84.051/1796
LBMichael Molnar
45 tkl · 5.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
89.3
Coverage
73.0
Pressures
5
Pass-rush snaps
31
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
1
82.858/1796
WRRiley Neer
23 rec · 337 yds · 4 TD
76.698/2069
WRZach Hackleman
1 rec · 15 yds · 0 TD
74.0149/2069
DBDarren James-Hamilton
15 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
44.9
Coverage
82.9
Targets allowed
5
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
8
72.5306/2969
Availability reports · 2
  • Rashad Perry · WRout · 2026-10-10

    Perry is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Hype Grand · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Grand is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against the Hornets on Saturday, October 17th.

Nebraska
QBAnthony Colandrea
1142 yds · 13 TD · 2 INT
91.110/729
RBJamal Rule
333 yds · 5 TD · 7.9 YPC
86.229/1044
LBDerek Wacker
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.4
Coverage
76.8
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
86.133/1796
LBOwen Chambliss
26 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.0
Coverage
83.4
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
16
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
83.057/1796
CBAndrew Marshall
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.6
Coverage
76.4
Targets allowed
17
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
13
Passer rating allowed
34.7
Missed tackles
1
77.7104/2969
CBVictor Evans III
12 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.0
Coverage
73.4
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
46
Passer rating allowed
65.0
Missed tackles
0
73.1269/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Riley Van Poppel · DLQues. · 2026-10-10

    Van Poppel is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Larry Miles · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Miles is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Carter Nelson · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Nelson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but it is yet to established if he will play against the Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

OHIO
NEB
vs
Offense
81.9
#52 of 138
QB
91.1
#11 of 138
67.8
#130 of 138
RB
83.2
#18 of 138
70.3
#77 of 138
WR
69.6
#86 of 138
60.0
#122 of 138
TE
67.3
#79 of 138
67.7
#69 of 138
OL
71.7
#41 of 138
Defense
70.5
#98 of 138
DL
77.8
#27 of 138
80.7
#17 of 138
LB
79.3
#25 of 138
66.7
#130 of 138
DB
71.6
#74 of 138
Common opponents