Passing
No comparison
- INST offense
- —
- PUR defense
- #119
EPA comparison
—
0.34
#119
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 1 · Fri Sep 4 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
INST 2.2%97.8% PUR
- Projected margin
- PUR by 32.3
- Projected total
- 56
- 80% outcome range
- PUR 12 to PUR 53
- Win probability
- PUR 97.8%
FinalINST 19 · PUR 44model had +32.3, off by 7.3
Current team profiles
Indiana State
PurdueWhen Indiana State has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- INST offense
- —
- PUR defense
- #125
EPA comparison
—
0.20
#125
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- INST offense
- #83
- PUR defense
- #120
Success rates
42%
#83
46%
#120
Success rate
More metrics
0.16
#37
0.25
#132
EPA / play
0.22
#41
1.40
#127
Explosiveness
—
14%
#105
Havoc
When Purdue has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- INST defense
- —
- PUR offense
- #24
EPA comparison
—
0.40
#24
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- INST defense
- —
- PUR offense
- #63
EPA comparison
—
0.12
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- INST defense
- #110
- PUR offense
- #44
Success rates
48%
#110
46%
#44
Success rate
More metrics
0.21
#109
0.25
#29
EPA / play
0.23
#102
1.21
#83
Explosiveness
—
12%
#30
Havoc
Current key players
Indiana StateQBElijah Owens
788 yds · 6 TD · 2 INT
80.738/370
DBArison Walker
6 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.2
- Coverage
- 83.3
- Targets allowed
- 5
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 7
- Passer rating allowed
- 25.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
81.334/1765
DLMason Knipp
18 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.4
- Pressures
- 10
- Pass-rush snaps
- 101
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
79.345/1549
KCarson Weed
0 punts · 0.0 avg
77.021/416
WRTorey French
3 rec · 110 yds · 1 TD
74.776/1229
QBBrady Allen
718 yds · 7 TD · 5 INT
74.671/370
PurdueQBRyan Browne
1390 yds · 8 TD · 1 INT
77.595/729
WRAsaad Waseem
27 rec · 453 yds · 1 TD
83.630/2069
DBMister Clark
5 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.8
- Coverage
- 76.7
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 59
- Passer rating allowed
- 95.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
79.965/2969
RBFame Ijeboi
354 yds · 6 TD · 4.1 YPC
79.590/1044
WRXavier Townsend
28 rec · 307 yds · 2 TD
74.0146/2069
LBHudson Miller
7 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 64.4
- Coverage
- 70.6
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
70.1362/1796
Availability reports · 1
- Kylan Fox · TEout · 2026-08-13
Fox is laid up with a knee injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
INSTIndiana State
PURPurdue
vs
Offense
80.7
#34 of 125
QB
Quarterback
77.5
#72 of 138
66.7
#103 of 126
RB
Running backs
75.2
#72 of 138
72.0
#33 of 126
WR
Receivers
77.0
#26 of 138
64.3
#65 of 124
TE
Tight ends
69.3
#69 of 138
64.2
#62 of 125
OL
Offensive line
61.7
#121 of 138
Defense
73.8
#32 of 126
DL
Defensive line
72.2
#83 of 138
70.3
#73 of 126
LB
Linebackers
65.6
#132 of 138
69.9
#85 of 126
DB
Secondary
66.1
#133 of 138