AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 1 · Fri Sep 4 · 7:00 PM
Away
Indiana State
—
12p
#69Home
Purdue
0-0 · AVR 49.1
44p
INST 1%99% PUR
Spread
PUR -32.2
Total
57
Moneyline
INST—PUR—
Against the market
INST +3.3line PUR -35.5

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Purdue
DBMister Clark
73.5170/1427
WRAsaad Waseem
68.959/777
LBCharles Correa
64.8218/878
LBHudson Miller
63.8229/878
QBRyan Browne
61.563/308
DBDon Saunders
57.3556/1427

also out — K. Fox (TE), Smiley Bradford

Projected margin

80% between 12 and 49
-14-7+7+14PKPUR +32.2MKT95% interval: 3 to 5980% interval: 12 to 49+12+49INST wins 1%PUR wins 99%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ PUR 46–11 INSTPUR 42–35 INST neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesPUR 46–32 INST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesPUR 49–28 INST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesPUR 53–25 INST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesPUR 56–21 INST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesPUR 60–18 INST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesPUR 63–14 INST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesPUR 67–11 INST neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesPUR 70–7 INST neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesPUR 39–32 INST neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesPUR 42–28 INST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesPUR 46–25 INST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesPUR 49–21 INST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesPUR 53–18 INST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesPUR 56–14 INST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesPUR 60–11 INST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesPUR 63–7 INST neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesPUR 67–4 INST neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesPUR 35–28 INST neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesPUR 39–25 INST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesPUR 42–21 INST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesPUR 46–18 INST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesPUR 49–14 INST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesPUR 53–11 INST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesPUR 56–7 INST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesPUR 60–4 INST neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesPUR 63–0 INST neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesPUR 32–25 INST neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesPUR 35–21 INST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesPUR 39–18 INST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesPUR 42–14 INST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesPUR 46–11 INST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesPUR 49–7 INST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesPUR 53–4 INST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesPUR 56–0 INST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)PUR 28–21 INST neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesPUR 32–18 INST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesPUR 35–14 INST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesPUR 39–11 INST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesPUR 42–7 INST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesPUR 46–4 INST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesPUR 49–0 INST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)PUR 25–18 INST neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesPUR 28–14 INST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesPUR 32–11 INST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesPUR 35–7 INST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesPUR 39–4 INST neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesPUR 42–0 INST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)PUR 21–14 INST neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesPUR 25–11 INST neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesPUR 28–7 INST neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesPUR 32–4 INST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesPUR 35–0 INST neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalPUR +7PUR +21PUR +35PUR +49PUR +63margin →