AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 1 · Sun Sep 6 · 4:00 PM
Apple Cup
#85Away
Washington State
0-0 · AVR 45.3
7p
#15Home
Washington
0-0 · AVR 72.3
45p
WSU 1%100% WASH
Spread
WASH -38.3
Total
52
Moneyline
WSU—WASH—
Against the market
WASH +14.8line WASH -23.5

Unit matchups

Pass game vs pass defense, run vs the front — units combined per phase
← WSU advantageevenWASH advantage →
WSU throw
WASH pass rush #72
WASH +57
WSU run
WSU backs #73
WASH +32
WASH throw
WASH +40
WASH run
WASH +16

Matchups to watch

The individual fights most likely to decide it, biggest names first
off the edge· hunting Jr.
Elishah Jackett
vs
Paul Hutson III
LT · WASH
EDGE · WSU
82.4
84.5
dead even
when WASH throws
Dezmen Roebuck
vs
Jack Bal
X · WASH
CB1 · WSU
86.2
62.4
WASH +24
when WSU runs
Kirby Vorhees
vs
Xe'ree Alexander
RB · WSU
MLB · WASH
63.2
81.2
WASH +18
when WSU throws
Tony Freeman
vs
Emmanuel Karnley
X · WSU
CB1 · WASH
50.2
82.4
WASH +32
when WASH runs
Jayden Limar
vs
DJ Warner
RB · WASH
MLB · WSU
58.6
69.6
WSU +11
over the middle
Decker DeGraaf
vs
Kayo Patu
TE · WASH
FS · WSU
71.5
52.6
WASH +19

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Washington State
LBDJ Warner
69.6153/878
RBKirby Vorhees
63.283/514
SJack Bal
62.4420/1427
CBJalil Tucker
54.9627/1427
CBJamarey Smith
53.0678/1427
WRTony Freeman
50.2307/777

also out — T. Leckner (TE), Hudson Cedarland (TE), J. Dugger (QB)

Washington
WRDezmen Roebuck
86.212/777
QBDemond Williams Jr.
83.016/308
CBEmmanuel Karnley
82.467/1427
LBXe'ree Alexanderprobable
81.247/878
SRahshawn Clark
80.986/1427
SAlex McLaughlin
79.298/1427

also out — Washington Football Standing, Jordan Washington, Washington Huskies Running Back (RB), Former Washington football star, Ashton Jeanty (RB)

Projected margin

80% between 18 and 55
-7-3+3+7+14PKWASH +38.3MKT95% interval: 8 to 6380% interval: 18 to 55+18+55WSU wins 1%WASH wins 100%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ WASH 42–7 WSUWASH 39–32 WSU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesWASH 42–28 WSU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesWASH 46–25 WSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesWASH 49–21 WSU neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesWASH 53–18 WSU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesWASH 56–14 WSU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesWASH 60–11 WSU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesWASH 63–7 WSU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesWASH 67–4 WSU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesWASH 35–28 WSU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWASH 39–25 WSU neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesWASH 42–21 WSU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesWASH 46–18 WSU neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesWASH 49–14 WSU neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesWASH 53–11 WSU neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesWASH 56–7 WSU neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesWASH 60–4 WSU neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesWASH 63–0 WSU neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesWASH 32–25 WSU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWASH 35–21 WSU neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesWASH 39–18 WSU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesWASH 42–14 WSU neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesWASH 46–11 WSU neighborhood · ~4.1% of outcomesWASH 49–7 WSU neighborhood · ~4.1% of outcomesWASH 53–4 WSU neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesWASH 56–0 WSU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)WASH 28–21 WSU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWASH 32–18 WSU neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesWASH 35–14 WSU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesWASH 39–11 WSU neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesWASH 42–7 WSU neighborhood · ~4.1% of outcomesWASH 46–4 WSU neighborhood · ~4.1% of outcomesWASH 49–0 WSU neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)WASH 25–18 WSU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesWASH 28–14 WSU neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesWASH 32–11 WSU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesWASH 35–7 WSU neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesWASH 39–4 WSU neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesWASH 42–0 WSU neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)WASH 21–14 WSU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesWASH 25–11 WSU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesWASH 28–7 WSU neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesWASH 32–4 WSU neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesWASH 35–0 WSU neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)WASH 18–11 WSU neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesWASH 21–7 WSU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesWASH 25–4 WSU neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesWASH 28–0 WSU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)70635649423528totalWASH +7WASH +21WASH +35WASH +49WASH +63margin →