CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 1 · Sun Sep 6 · 4:00 PM ET
Apple Cup
Forecast win probability
WSU 17.5%82.5% WASH
Projected margin
WASH by 14.9
Projected total
49
80% outcome range
WSU 6 to WASH 36
Win probability
WASH 82.5%
FinalWSU 10 · WASH 24model had +14.9, off by 0.9

Current team profiles

Washington State
Washington

When Washington State has the ball

Passing

WASH defense
Higher-ranked profile
WSU offense
#134
WASH defense
#69
EPA comparison
-0.12
#134
0.14
#69
Pass EPA

Rushing

WASH defense
Higher-ranked profile
WSU offense
#123
WASH defense
#29
EPA comparison
-0.07
#123
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA

Drive success

WASH defense
Higher-ranked profile
WSU offense
#137
WASH defense
#67
Success rates
33%
#137
40%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
-0.11
#133
0.00
#41
EPA / play
1.22
#81
1.16
#39
Explosiveness
20%
#135
17%
#45
Havoc

When Washington has the ball

Passing

WSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WSU defense
#52
WASH offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.09
#52
0.27
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

WSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WSU defense
#52
WASH offense
#116
EPA comparison
0.01
#52
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA

Drive success

WSU defense
Higher-ranked profile
WSU defense
#55
WASH offense
#91
Success rates
39%
#55
42%
#91
Success rate
More metrics
0.01
#45
0.13
#76
EPA / play
1.24
#77
1.24
#68
Explosiveness
14%
#107
14%
#52
Havoc

Current key players

Washington State
QBCaden Pinnick
796 yds · 3 TD · 5 INT
62.5244/729
LBIsaiah Hung
23 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
76.9
Coverage
77.0
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
3
Forced fumbles
0
78.7102/1796
STrey Ridley
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.5
Coverage
77.0
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
5
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
77.6105/2969
LBGage Jones
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.7
Coverage
60.0
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
72.3283/1796
WRTank Hawkins
10 rec · 79 yds · 0 TD
72.2192/2069
RBMaxwell Woods
188 yds · 0 TD · 5.7 YPC
71.6268/1044
Availability reports · 4
  • Tony Freeman · WRout · 2026-09-14

    Freeman has been shut down for the remainder of the season with a torn ACL.

  • Hudson Cedarland · TEout · 2026-08-23

    Cedarland is bothered by a leg injury, and he will miss an extended period.

  • CJ Toney · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Toney is hampered by an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will suit up against the Beavers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Ryan McKendry · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    McKendry is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will take the field against the Beavers on Saturday, Oc

Washington
QBDemond Williams Jr.
1327 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
71.8140/729
SAlex McLaughlin
33 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
88.8
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
89
Passer rating allowed
100.5
Missed tackles
5
84.527/2969
WRDezmen Roebuck
35 rec · 338 yds · 1 TD
75.1124/2069
SRahshawn Clark
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.6
Coverage
75.9
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
64
Passer rating allowed
29.0
Missed tackles
1
74.8200/2969
TEBaron Naone
16 rec · 245 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
39.7
Run blocking
50.0
Penalties
1
73.855/1017
CBRamonz Adams Jr.
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.8
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
70.1
Missed tackles
0
73.2267/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Jayden Limar · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Limar will undergo surgery due to an upper body injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Quaid Carr · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Carr will undergo surgery due to an undisclosed injury, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.

  • CJ Christian · Sout · 2026-10-03

    Christian is sidelined due to achilles injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Demond Williams Jr. · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Williams is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against the Boilermakers on Friday.

  • Christian Moss · WRQues. · 2026-09-20

    Moss is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Golden Gophers on Saturday, September 26th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WSU
WASH
vs
Offense
62.5
#127 of 138
QB
71.8
#95 of 138
68.2
#128 of 138
RB
67.9
#129 of 138
68.0
#109 of 138
WR
67.8
#111 of 138
63.9
#97 of 138
TE
73.8
#43 of 138
60.9
#129 of 138
OL
67.3
#74 of 138
Defense
73.1
#70 of 138
DL
74.5
#58 of 138
73.9
#72 of 138
LB
69.8
#106 of 138
67.8
#119 of 138
DB
75.0
#35 of 138
Common opponents