AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 4:00 PM
Away
Howard
—
8p
#7Home
Indiana
0-0 · AVR 76.7
54p
HOW 0%100% IU
Spread
IU -46.2
Total
62
Moneyline
HOW—IU—
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Indiana
LBRolijah Hardy
93.91/878
LBIsaiah Jonesprobable
93.53/878
DBAmare Ferrell
86.831/1427
DBJamari Sharpe
85.736/1427
QBJosh Hoover
80.220/308
WRShazz Preston
78.027/777

Projected margin

80% between 30 and 63
-3+3+7+14PKIU +46.295% interval: 23.2 to 69.280% interval: 29.5 to 62.9+30+63HOW wins 0%IU wins 100%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ IU 56–7 HOWIU 53–32 HOW neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesIU 56–28 HOW neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesIU 60–25 HOW neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesIU 63–21 HOW neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesIU 67–18 HOW neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesIU 70–14 HOW neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesIU 74–11 HOW neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesIU 77–7 HOW neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesIU 81–4 HOW neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesIU 49–28 HOW neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesIU 53–25 HOW neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesIU 56–21 HOW neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesIU 60–18 HOW neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesIU 63–14 HOW neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesIU 67–11 HOW neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesIU 70–7 HOW neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesIU 74–4 HOW neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesIU 77–0 HOW neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesIU 46–25 HOW neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesIU 49–21 HOW neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesIU 53–18 HOW neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesIU 56–14 HOW neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesIU 60–11 HOW neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesIU 63–7 HOW neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesIU 67–4 HOW neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesIU 70–0 HOW neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)IU 42–21 HOW neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesIU 46–18 HOW neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesIU 49–14 HOW neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesIU 53–11 HOW neighborhood · ~4.0% of outcomesIU 56–7 HOW neighborhood · ~4.1% of outcomesIU 60–4 HOW neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesIU 63–0 HOW neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)IU 39–18 HOW neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesIU 42–14 HOW neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesIU 46–11 HOW neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesIU 49–7 HOW neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesIU 53–4 HOW neighborhood · ~3.9% of outcomesIU 56–0 HOW neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)IU 35–14 HOW neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesIU 39–11 HOW neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesIU 42–7 HOW neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesIU 46–4 HOW neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesIU 49–0 HOW neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)IU 32–11 HOW neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesIU 35–7 HOW neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesIU 39–4 HOW neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesIU 42–0 HOW neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)84777063564942totalIU +21IU +35IU +49IU +63IU +77margin →