CFB
Model
Rankings
Games
Projections
Players
Model
Research
Search teams & games
/
2026
WK
7
All games
Week 2 · Sat Sep 12
· 12:00 PM ET
#233
Away
Howard
1-1
· AVR 31.4
0
0
at
Final
#1
Home
Indiana
1-0
· AVR 85.1
55
55
Forecast win probability
HOW 0.2%
99.8% IU
Projected margin
IU by 64.2
Projected total
78
80% outcome range
IU 44 to IU 86
Win probability
IU 99.8%
Final
HOW 0 · IU 55
model had +64.2, off by 9.2
Current team profiles
Howard
Indiana
When Howard has the ball
Passing
No comparison
HOW offense
—
IU defense
#20
EPA comparison
—
0.00
#20
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
HOW offense
—
IU defense
#18
EPA comparison
—
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
HOW offense
#123
IU defense
#4
Success rates
37%
#123
32%
#4
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#68
-0.06
#16
EPA / play
0.20
#79
1.43
#132
Explosiveness
—
19%
#24
Havoc
When Indiana has the ball
Passing
No comparison
HOW defense
—
IU offense
#2
EPA comparison
—
0.65
#2
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
HOW defense
—
IU offense
#17
EPA comparison
—
0.25
#17
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
HOW defense
#33
IU offense
#24
Success rates
42%
#33
49%
#24
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#42
0.41
#2
EPA / play
0.20
#42
1.41
#5
Explosiveness
—
11%
#18
Havoc
Current key players
Howard
OL
De'Eric Mister
Player detail
Pass blocking
78.9
Run blocking
75.2
Penalties
0
77.5
19/1368
DL
Faisal Mass
9 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.0
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
71
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
73.1
178/1549
LB
Glen Vinson III
15 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.8
Coverage
60.5
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
71.5
202/1054
DL
Ishaun Abdul-Ali
4 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
67.6
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
68
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
71.0
266/1549
K
Cam Johnston
0 punts · 0.0 avg
70.8
83/416
K
Matt Conord
5/5 FG · 0%
70.6
90/416
Indiana
QB
Grant Wilson
74 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
86.4
33/729
RB
Turbo Richard
587 yds · 5 TD · 9.3 YPC
91.0
3/1044
WR
Charlie Becker
27 rec · 477 yds · 8 TD
88.7
10/2069
WR
Nick Marsh
23 rec · 341 yds · 4 TD
82.2
39/2069
LB
Jacob Savage
6 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.6
Coverage
63.8
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.6
108/1796
LB
Jeff Utzinger
8 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
66.5
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.1
157/1796
Availability reports · 1
Jamari Sharpe · DB
out · 2026-09-12
Indiana cornerbacks A.J. Harris, Jamari Sharpe out vs. Howard - ESPN
Position units
Position-unit comparison
HOW
Howard
IU
Indiana
vs
Offense
57.4
#118
of 125
QB
Quarterback
86.4
#31
of 138
67.3
#96
of 126
RB
Running backs
85.2
#10
of 138
59.6
#126
of 126
WR
Receivers
83.7
#2
of 138
67.2
#47
of 124
TE
Tight ends
59.0
#127
of 138
59.9
#110
of 125
OL
Offensive line
73.3
#26
of 138
Defense
67.2
#101
of 126
DL
Defensive line
81.7
#8
of 138
70.4
#72
of 126
LB
Linebackers
76.9
#44
of 138
65.8
#120
of 126
DB
Secondary
72.5
#65
of 138
Common opponents