CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 2 · Sat Sep 12 · 3:30 PM ET
#108Away
Utah State
0-1 · AVR 52.4
14
Final
#18Home
Washington
1-0 · AVR 72.2
16
Forecast win probability
USU 3.1%96.9% WASH
Projected margin
WASH by 29.0
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
WASH 10 to WASH 48
Win probability
WASH 96.9%
FinalUSU 14 · WASH 16model had +29.0, off by 27.0

Current team profiles

Utah State
Washington

When Utah State has the ball

Passing

WASH defense
Higher-ranked profile
USU offense
#133
WASH defense
#69
EPA comparison
-0.10
#133
0.14
#69
Pass EPA

Rushing

WASH defense
Higher-ranked profile
USU offense
#122
WASH defense
#29
EPA comparison
-0.05
#122
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA

Drive success

WASH defense
Higher-ranked profile
USU offense
#131
WASH defense
#67
Success rates
35%
#131
40%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
-0.08
#132
0.00
#41
EPA / play
1.39
#8
1.16
#39
Explosiveness
19%
#130
17%
#45
Havoc

When Washington has the ball

Passing

WASH offense
Higher-ranked profile
USU defense
#60
WASH offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.11
#60
0.27
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

USU defense
Higher-ranked profile
USU defense
#40
WASH offense
#116
EPA comparison
-0.02
#40
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA

Drive success

USU defense
Higher-ranked profile
USU defense
#60
WASH offense
#91
Success rates
39%
#60
42%
#91
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#59
0.13
#76
EPA / play
1.18
#46
1.24
#68
Explosiveness
14%
#101
14%
#52
Havoc

Current key players

Utah State
QBGrady Brosterhous
764 yds · 6 TD · 6 INT
49.1374/729
LBAsher Cunningham
34 tkl · 4.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
88.8
Coverage
74.0
Pressures
7
Pass-rush snaps
38
Missed tackles
6
Forced fumbles
1
83.455/1796
WREli Wood
30 rec · 388 yds · 4 TD
80.552/2069
SBrevin Hamblin
42 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
89.2
Coverage
65.8
Targets allowed
12
Rec allowed
8
Yards allowed
140
Passer rating allowed
71.5
Missed tackles
10
74.9198/2969
LBAdonis Jackson
14 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.2
Coverage
53.6
Pressures
8
Pass-rush snaps
99
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
72.9263/1796
CBD'Angelo Mayes
23 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.3
Coverage
71.6
Targets allowed
30
Rec allowed
17
Yards allowed
226
Passer rating allowed
77.9
Missed tackles
2
70.2435/2969
Availability reports · 8
  • J. Nelson · TEout · 2026-10-01

    Nelson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he is projected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Nikko Boncore · WRout · 2026-10-07

    Boncore is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Sesi Vailahi · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Vailahi is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will be available against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Nehemiah Washington · RBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Washington is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Anthony Garcia · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Garcia is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will suit up against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Rex Haynes · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Haynes is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined whether he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Kache Kaio · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Kaio is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

  • McCae Hillstead · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Hillstead is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is undetermined if he will be suit up against the Bobcats on Saturday, October 24th.

Washington
QBDemond Williams Jr.
1327 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
71.8140/729
SAlex McLaughlin
33 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
88.8
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
89
Passer rating allowed
100.5
Missed tackles
5
84.527/2969
WRDezmen Roebuck
35 rec · 338 yds · 1 TD
75.1124/2069
SRahshawn Clark
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.6
Coverage
75.9
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
64
Passer rating allowed
29.0
Missed tackles
1
74.8200/2969
TEBaron Naone
16 rec · 245 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
39.7
Run blocking
50.0
Penalties
1
73.855/1017
CBRamonz Adams Jr.
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.8
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
70.1
Missed tackles
0
73.2267/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Jayden Limar · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Limar will undergo surgery due to an upper body injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Quaid Carr · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Carr will undergo surgery due to an undisclosed injury, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.

  • CJ Christian · Sout · 2026-10-03

    Christian is sidelined due to achilles injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Demond Williams Jr. · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Williams is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against the Boilermakers on Friday.

  • Christian Moss · WRQues. · 2026-09-20

    Moss is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Golden Gophers on Saturday, September 26th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

USU
WASH
vs
Offense
49.1
#138 of 138
QB
71.8
#95 of 138
68.3
#127 of 138
RB
67.9
#129 of 138
67.2
#118 of 138
WR
67.8
#111 of 138
59.9
#123 of 138
TE
73.8
#43 of 138
62.6
#119 of 138
OL
67.3
#74 of 138
Defense
68.5
#120 of 138
DL
74.5
#58 of 138
76.3
#50 of 138
LB
69.8
#106 of 138
69.5
#104 of 138
DB
75.0
#35 of 138
Common opponents