AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 6:00 PM
Away
Southern Illinois
—
12p
#35Home
Illinois
0-0 · AVR 60.4
46p
SIU 1%99% ILL
Spread
ILL -34.0
Total
58
Moneyline
SIU—ILL—
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Illinois
TEKaden Feagin
72.77/287
QBKatin Houser
71.038/308
RBCa'Lil Valentine
68.960/514
WRCollin Dixon
68.960/777
WRHudson Clement
66.773/777
LBJames Kreutz
63.3236/878

also out — T. Hollinger (TE), A. Perry (WR), B. Thurman (TE), G. Smith (TE), D. Brown (LB), J. Platt (WR)

Projected margin

80% between 17 and 51
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKILL +34.095% interval: 11 to 5780% interval: 17.2 to 50.7+17+51SIU wins 1%ILL wins 99%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ ILL 46–11 SIUILL 42–35 SIU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesILL 46–32 SIU neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesILL 49–28 SIU neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesILL 53–25 SIU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesILL 56–21 SIU neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesILL 60–18 SIU neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesILL 63–14 SIU neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesILL 67–11 SIU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesILL 70–7 SIU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesILL 39–32 SIU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesILL 42–28 SIU neighborhood · ~1.2% of outcomesILL 46–25 SIU neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesILL 49–21 SIU neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesILL 53–18 SIU neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesILL 56–14 SIU neighborhood · ~2.8% of outcomesILL 60–11 SIU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesILL 63–7 SIU neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesILL 67–4 SIU neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesILL 35–28 SIU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesILL 39–25 SIU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesILL 42–21 SIU neighborhood · ~2.4% of outcomesILL 46–18 SIU neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesILL 49–14 SIU neighborhood · ~3.7% of outcomesILL 53–11 SIU neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesILL 56–7 SIU neighborhood · ~2.1% of outcomesILL 60–4 SIU neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesILL 63–0 SIU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesILL 32–25 SIU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesILL 35–21 SIU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesILL 39–18 SIU neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesILL 42–14 SIU neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesILL 46–11 SIU neighborhood · ~3.8% of outcomesILL 49–7 SIU neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesILL 53–4 SIU neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesILL 56–0 SIU neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)ILL 28–21 SIU neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesILL 32–18 SIU neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesILL 35–14 SIU neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesILL 39–11 SIU neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesILL 42–7 SIU neighborhood · ~3.5% of outcomesILL 46–4 SIU neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesILL 49–0 SIU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)ILL 25–18 SIU neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesILL 28–14 SIU neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesILL 32–11 SIU neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesILL 35–7 SIU neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesILL 39–4 SIU neighborhood · ~2.9% of outcomesILL 42–0 SIU neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)ILL 21–14 SIU neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesILL 25–11 SIU neighborhood · ~0.8% of outcomesILL 28–7 SIU neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesILL 32–4 SIU neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesILL 35–0 SIU neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalILL +7ILL +21ILL +35ILL +49ILL +63margin →