Passing
No comparison
- SIU offense
- —
- ILL defense
- #126
EPA comparison
—
0.37
#126
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 2:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
SIU 3.7%96.3% ILL
- Projected margin
- ILL by 29.3
- Projected total
- 59
- 80% outcome range
- ILL 7 to ILL 50
- Win probability
- ILL 96.3%
FinalSIU 10 · ILL 48model had +29.3, off by 8.7
Current team profiles
Southern Illinois
IllinoisWhen Southern Illinois has the ball
Rushing
No comparison
- SIU offense
- —
- ILL defense
- #101
EPA comparison
—
0.12
#101
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- SIU offense
- #70
- ILL defense
- #117
Success rates
43%
#70
46%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
0.15
#45
0.25
#130
EPA / play
0.24
#10
1.27
#93
Explosiveness
—
12%
#125
Havoc
When Illinois has the ball
Passing
No comparison
- SIU defense
- —
- ILL offense
- #41
EPA comparison
—
0.32
#41
Pass EPA
Rushing
No comparison
- SIU defense
- —
- ILL offense
- #39
EPA comparison
—
0.18
#39
Rush EPA
Drive success
No comparison
- SIU defense
- #19
- ILL offense
- #15
Success rates
40%
#19
50%
#15
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#48
0.23
#34
EPA / play
0.22
#82
1.25
#60
Explosiveness
—
11%
#14
Havoc
Current key players
Southern IllinoisQBDJ Williams
992 yds · 4 TD · 3 INT
75.565/370
DBJoshua Newkirk
5 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 66.7
- Coverage
- 76.2
- Targets allowed
- 2
- Rec allowed
- 0
- Yards allowed
- 0
- Passer rating allowed
- 39.6
- Missed tackles
- 0
83.223/1765
DBSebastian Vargas
3 tkl · 3 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 67.8
- Coverage
- 81.1
- Targets allowed
- 14
- Rec allowed
- 4
- Yards allowed
- 97
- Passer rating allowed
- 40.2
- Missed tackles
- 1
78.665/1765
LBBen Fiegel
53 tkl · 5.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 86.8
- Coverage
- 67.0
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 11
- Missed tackles
- 7
- Forced fumbles
- 2
77.764/1054
DLCaleb Saner
— tkl · — TFL · — sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 60.3
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 3
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
76.489/1549
DLIbrahim Sanogo
18 tkl · 8.0 TFL · 4.5 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 73.8
- Pressures
- 17
- Pass-rush snaps
- 143
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 1
76.294/1549
IllinoisQBKatin Houser
1246 yds · 11 TD · 3 INT
90.814/729
WRCollin Dixon
40 rec · 546 yds · 8 TD
87.019/2069
LBCameron Thomas
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.3
- Coverage
- 84.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 18
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.676/1796
LBWill Holmes
13 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.4
- Coverage
- 60.3
- Pressures
- 16
- Pass-rush snaps
- 92
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.491/1796
RBJavari Barnett
54 yds · 1 TD · 5.4 YPC
79.393/1044
DBMatthew Bailey
37 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.2
- Coverage
- 79.8
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 38
- Passer rating allowed
- 20.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
78.681/2969
Availability reports · 11
- Tanner Hollinger · TEout · 2026-08-11
Hollinger has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season
- Alex Perry · WRout · 2026-08-13
Perry is batting with a shoulder injury and will undergo surgery, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- BJ Thurman · TEout · 2026-08-13
Thurman is laid up with foot surgery, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Grant Smith · TEout · 2026-08-23
Smith is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Will Vala III · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Vala III is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the field against Ducks on Sunday, October 24t
- Jacob Eberhart · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Eberhart is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the field against Ducks on Sunday, October 24t
- Jacob Harvey · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Harvey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Jayshon Platt · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Platt is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will partake against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- John Forster · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Forster is nursing with a knee injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Kenyon Alston · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Alston is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Nas Rankin · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Rankin is nursing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
SIUSouthern Illinois
ILLIllinois
vs
Offense
75.5
#50 of 125
QB
Quarterback
90.8
#14 of 138
73.5
#50 of 126
RB
Running backs
75.4
#70 of 138
67.0
#83 of 126
WR
Receivers
75.8
#31 of 138
61.2
#83 of 124
TE
Tight ends
73.7
#44 of 138
63.4
#74 of 125
OL
Offensive line
69.2
#60 of 138
Defense
74.8
#26 of 126
DL
Defensive line
72.8
#74 of 138
74.4
#35 of 126
LB
Linebackers
76.7
#48 of 138
70.8
#73 of 126
DB
Secondary
73.0
#57 of 138