CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 12:00 PM ET
#132Away
Akron
1-1 · AVR 48.9
7
Final
#64Home
Minnesota
1-1 · AVR 61.6
41
Forecast win probability
AKR 7.3%92.8% MINN
Projected margin
MINN by 21.3
Projected total
50
80% outcome range
MINN 3 to MINN 41
Win probability
MINN 92.8%
FinalAKR 7 · MINN 41model had +21.3, off by 12.7

Current team profiles

Akron
Minnesota

When Akron has the ball

Passing

MINN defense
Higher-ranked profile
AKR offense
#101
MINN defense
#38
EPA comparison
0.11
#101
0.06
#38
Pass EPA

Rushing

AKR offense
Higher-ranked profile
AKR offense
#45
MINN defense
#107
EPA comparison
0.16
#45
0.14
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

MINN defense
Higher-ranked profile
AKR offense
#77
MINN defense
#58
Success rates
43%
#77
39%
#58
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#92
0.04
#57
EPA / play
1.08
#131
1.18
#50
Explosiveness
19%
#129
22%
#6
Havoc

When Minnesota has the ball

Passing

MINN offense
Higher-ranked profile
AKR defense
#130
MINN offense
#76
EPA comparison
0.44
#130
0.20
#76
Pass EPA

Rushing

AKR defense
Higher-ranked profile
AKR defense
#112
MINN offense
#123
EPA comparison
0.15
#112
-0.07
#123
Rush EPA

Drive success

MINN offense
Higher-ranked profile
AKR defense
#112
MINN offense
#76
Success rates
45%
#112
43%
#76
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#132
0.05
#106
EPA / play
1.31
#108
1.12
#121
Explosiveness
13%
#117
14%
#63
Havoc

Current key players

Akron
QBCibastian Broughton
380 yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
69.0172/729
LBDonelius Johnson
41 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
83.1
Coverage
74.6
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
10
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
81.265/1796
DBCatrell White
7 tkl · 3 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
58.4
Coverage
79.9
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
4
Yards allowed
38
Passer rating allowed
84.6
Missed tackles
0
77.5107/2969
CBDawayne Galloway Jr.
4 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.7
Coverage
75.8
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Passer rating allowed
39.6
Missed tackles
0
75.8164/2969
DBKhory Moss
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.3
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
2
Passer rating allowed
79.2
Missed tackles
0
74.6205/2969
RBJordan Gant
289 yds · 3 TD · 4.7 YPC
72.6237/1044
Availability reports · 6
  • Paul Davis · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Davis is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against RedHawks on Saturday, October

  • Cibastian Broughton · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gee is dealing with a knee injury, and it is unclear if he will play against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Luke Sivon · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Sivon is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will be active against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th

  • Cameron Monteiro · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Monteiro is nursing an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Chris Gee · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Gee is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be available against RedHawks on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Jaborree Riggins · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Riggins is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be established if he will be available against RedHawks on Saturday, Octobe

Minnesota
QBDrake Lindsey
1087 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
72.5133/729
DBJohn Nestor
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.8
Coverage
87.2
Targets allowed
17
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
48
Passer rating allowed
53.8
Missed tackles
2
85.622/2969
DBAydan West
15 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
52.8
Coverage
83.8
Targets allowed
17
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
61
Passer rating allowed
26.8
Missed tackles
3
81.148/2969
LBNate Cleveland
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.5
Coverage
39.7
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
79.294/1796
WRNoah Jennings
26 rec · 345 yds · 1 TD
78.468/2069
LBMason Carrier
4 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.5
Coverage
70.6
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.8123/1796
Availability reports · 6
  • Ashton Beers · OLout · 2026-10-01

    Minnesota Football: Starting center Ashton Beers out for the season - The Daily Gopher

  • Ryan Estrada · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Estrada is out of action due to a knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • A.J. Turner · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Turner is nursing with an undisclosed injury, but he is projected to suit up against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Beckham Sunderland · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Sunderland is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Braiden Stevens · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stevens is ailing from illness, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Zeke Bates · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bates is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

AKR
MINN
vs
Offense
69.0
#106 of 138
QB
72.5
#93 of 138
70.3
#117 of 138
RB
74.5
#78 of 138
69.5
#87 of 138
WR
74.7
#35 of 138
58.8
#129 of 138
TE
57.3
#134 of 138
68.2
#66 of 138
OL
76.0
#13 of 138
Defense
70.6
#97 of 138
DL
77.1
#35 of 138
70.2
#105 of 138
LB
77.0
#43 of 138
72.2
#68 of 138
DB
74.7
#37 of 138
Common opponents