CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 3 · Sat Sep 19 · 7:15 PM ET
Forecast win probability
EWU 1.1%98.9% WASH
Projected margin
WASH by 40.3
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
WASH 20 to WASH 62
Win probability
WASH 98.9%
FinalEWU 16 · WASH 48model had +40.3, off by 8.3

Current team profiles

Eastern Washington
Washington

When Eastern Washington has the ball

Passing

No comparison
EWU offense
—
WASH defense
#69
EPA comparison
—
0.14
#69
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
EWU offense
—
WASH defense
#29
EPA comparison
—
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
EWU offense
#51
WASH defense
#67
Success rates
44%
#51
40%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
0.09
#71
0.00
#41
EPA / play
0.20
#62
1.16
#39
Explosiveness
—
17%
#45
Havoc

When Washington has the ball

Passing

No comparison
EWU defense
—
WASH offense
#55
EPA comparison
—
0.27
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
EWU defense
—
WASH offense
#116
EPA comparison
—
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
EWU defense
#84
WASH offense
#91
Success rates
46%
#84
42%
#91
Success rate
More metrics
0.17
#91
0.13
#76
EPA / play
0.22
#90
1.24
#68
Explosiveness
—
14%
#52
Havoc

Current key players

Eastern Washington
QBNate Bell
1597 yds · 11 TD · 5 INT
79.543/370
KSoren McKee
10/12 FG · 0%
77.913/416
DBDre Greeley
1 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
64.0
Coverage
75.3
Targets allowed
0
Rec allowed
0
Yards allowed
0
Missed tackles
0
76.1107/1765
DBAmbrose Marsh
28 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
62.6
Coverage
78.6
Targets allowed
25
Rec allowed
17
Yards allowed
176
Passer rating allowed
94.3
Missed tackles
1
76.0110/1765
DBBryce Smith
49 tkl · 3 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.6
Coverage
77.1
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
52
Passer rating allowed
21.8
Missed tackles
6
75.9113/1765
DBSeanje Finister
— tkl · — PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
60.0
Coverage
72.8
Targets allowed
1
Rec allowed
1
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
83.3
Missed tackles
0
72.1272/1765
Washington
QBDemond Williams Jr.
1327 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
71.8140/729
SAlex McLaughlin
33 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
88.8
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
89
Passer rating allowed
100.5
Missed tackles
5
84.527/2969
WRDezmen Roebuck
35 rec · 338 yds · 1 TD
75.1124/2069
SRahshawn Clark
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.6
Coverage
75.9
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
64
Passer rating allowed
29.0
Missed tackles
1
74.8200/2969
TEBaron Naone
16 rec · 245 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
39.7
Run blocking
50.0
Penalties
1
73.855/1017
CBRamonz Adams Jr.
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.8
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
70.1
Missed tackles
0
73.2267/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Jayden Limar · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Limar will undergo surgery due to an upper body injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Quaid Carr · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Carr will undergo surgery due to an undisclosed injury, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.

  • CJ Christian · Sout · 2026-10-03

    Christian is sidelined due to achilles injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Demond Williams Jr. · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Williams is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against the Boilermakers on Friday.

  • Christian Moss · WRQues. · 2026-09-20

    Moss is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Golden Gophers on Saturday, September 26th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

EWU
WASH
vs
Offense
79.5
#36 of 125
QB
71.8
#95 of 138
69.2
#81 of 126
RB
67.9
#129 of 138
69.7
#58 of 126
WR
67.8
#111 of 138
65.1
#62 of 124
TE
73.8
#43 of 138
63.9
#68 of 125
OL
67.3
#74 of 138
Defense
67.5
#99 of 126
DL
74.5
#58 of 138
67.5
#105 of 126
LB
69.8
#106 of 138
73.9
#32 of 126
DB
75.0
#35 of 138
Common opponents