CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 1:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
UCLA 56.3%43.7% MD
Projected margin
UCLA by 2.3
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
UCLA 23 to MD 18
Win probability
UCLA 56.3%
FinalUCLA 54 · MD 3model had -2.3, off by 48.7

Current team profiles

UCLA
Maryland

When UCLA has the ball

Passing

MD defense
Higher-ranked profile
UCLA offense
#98
MD defense
#65
EPA comparison
0.12
#98
0.12
#65
Pass EPA

Rushing

UCLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UCLA offense
#12
MD defense
#84
EPA comparison
0.26
#12
0.07
#84
Rush EPA

Drive success

UCLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UCLA offense
#44
MD defense
#86
Success rates
46%
#44
42%
#86
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#46
0.08
#78
EPA / play
1.23
#72
1.20
#55
Explosiveness
14%
#63
16%
#74
Havoc

When Maryland has the ball

Passing

UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
UCLA defense
#5
MD offense
#125
EPA comparison
-0.12
#5
-0.01
#125
Pass EPA

Rushing

UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
UCLA defense
#1
MD offense
#72
EPA comparison
-0.24
#1
0.10
#72
Rush EPA

Drive success

UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
UCLA defense
#5
MD offense
#106
Success rates
32%
#5
40%
#106
Success rate
More metrics
-0.20
#1
0.03
#112
EPA / play
1.23
#74
1.25
#60
Explosiveness
21%
#11
14%
#45
Havoc

Current key players

UCLA
QBNico Iamaleava
820 yds · 4 TD · 2 INT
64.9216/729
LBSammy Omosigho
38 tkl · 7.0 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.7
Coverage
82.5
Pressures
11
Pass-rush snaps
42
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
3
90.78/1796
LBTrent Hendrick
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.7
Coverage
82.5
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
86.825/1796
RBWayne Knight
445 yds · 9 TD · 9.1 YPC
86.227/1044
DBTa'Shawn James
24 tkl · 2 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
Run defense
74.0
Coverage
84.8
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
70
Passer rating allowed
41.7
Missed tackles
5
84.328/2969
DBDerrick Barksdale
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.5
Coverage
76.5
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
110
Passer rating allowed
120.1
Missed tackles
3
77.7102/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Mikey Matthews · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Matthews is dealing with a lower-leg injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Josh Phifer · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Phifer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Sam Yoon · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Yoon is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 17th.

Maryland
QBCardell Williams
63 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
91.87/729
WRZymear Smith
— rec · — yds · — TD
88.411/2069
WRChris Durr Jr.
42 rec · 461 yds · 4 TD
79.959/2069
LBStephen Dean III
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.3
Coverage
62.3
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
75.0184/1796
DBJamare Glasker
16 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
78.1
Coverage
71.9
Targets allowed
23
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
166
Passer rating allowed
72.0
Missed tackles
5
74.0228/2969
LBTrey Reddick
19 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.2
Coverage
68.2
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
72.1288/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Zahir Mathis · LBout · 2026-08-13

    Mathis is battling with a leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Cardell Williams · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Williams is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Lavon Johnson · DLQues. · 2026-10-11

    Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury,, and it is undetermined if he will face against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Daniel Leahy · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Leahy is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UCLA
MD
vs
Offense
64.9
#120 of 138
QB
91.8
#7 of 138
86.0
#7 of 138
RB
70.1
#118 of 138
74.0
#43 of 138
WR
80.8
#9 of 138
61.1
#110 of 138
TE
61.1
#111 of 138
69.3
#57 of 138
OL
68.8
#62 of 138
Defense
80.0
#16 of 138
DL
74.5
#59 of 138
84.2
#8 of 138
LB
72.5
#84 of 138
75.2
#31 of 138
DB
67.5
#122 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

UCLA
opponent
Maryland
H+14.0
PUR#67
-1.4A
H-5.7
USC#17
-19.6A
H+6.7
WIS#32
-1.8H
H+3.2
ILL#47
-5.3H