AVRCFB Model
All predictionsWeek 4 · Fri Sep 25 · 11:00 PM
Away
Howard
—
15p
#48Home
Rutgers
0-0 · AVR 55.7
45p
HOW 2%98% RUTG
Spread
RUTG -29.9
Total
59
Moneyline
HOW—RUTG—
Margin σ
14.1

Key players

Top-rated players, and who is out
Rutgers
WRKJ Duff
87.15/777
RBAntwan Raymond
86.04/514
LBTy Morris
65.5206/878
QBDylan Lonergan
62.362/308
TEJackson Gister
57.277/287
WRMichael Thomas III
53.7199/777

Projected margin

80% between 13 and 47
-14-7-3+3+7+14PKRUTG +29.995% interval: 7 to 52.980% interval: 13.2 to 46.7+13+47HOW wins 2%RUTG wins 98%

Scorelines

Brighter is likelier
most likely ≈ RUTG 42–14 HOWRUTG 39–39 HOW neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesRUTG 42–35 HOW neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesRUTG 46–32 HOW neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesRUTG 49–28 HOW neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesRUTG 53–25 HOW neighborhood · ~2.6% of outcomesRUTG 56–21 HOW neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesRUTG 60–18 HOW neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesRUTG 63–14 HOW neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesRUTG 67–11 HOW neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesRUTG 35–35 HOW neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesRUTG 39–32 HOW neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesRUTG 42–28 HOW neighborhood · ~1.7% of outcomesRUTG 46–25 HOW neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesRUTG 49–21 HOW neighborhood · ~3.2% of outcomesRUTG 53–18 HOW neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesRUTG 56–14 HOW neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesRUTG 60–11 HOW neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesRUTG 63–7 HOW neighborhood · ~0.6% of outcomesRUTG 32–32 HOW neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesRUTG 35–28 HOW neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesRUTG 39–25 HOW neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesRUTG 42–21 HOW neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesRUTG 46–18 HOW neighborhood · ~3.6% of outcomesRUTG 49–14 HOW neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesRUTG 53–11 HOW neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesRUTG 56–7 HOW neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesRUTG 60–4 HOW neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesRUTG 28–28 HOW neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesRUTG 32–25 HOW neighborhood · ~1.0% of outcomesRUTG 35–21 HOW neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesRUTG 39–18 HOW neighborhood · ~3.0% of outcomesRUTG 42–14 HOW neighborhood · ~3.6% of outcomesRUTG 46–11 HOW neighborhood · ~3.4% of outcomesRUTG 49–7 HOW neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesRUTG 53–4 HOW neighborhood · ~1.5% of outcomesRUTG 56–0 HOW neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesRUTG 25–25 HOW neighborhood · ~0.4% of outcomesRUTG 28–21 HOW neighborhood · ~0.9% of outcomesRUTG 32–18 HOW neighborhood · ~1.8% of outcomesRUTG 35–14 HOW neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesRUTG 39–11 HOW neighborhood · ~3.3% of outcomesRUTG 42–7 HOW neighborhood · ~3.1% of outcomesRUTG 46–4 HOW neighborhood · ~2.3% of outcomesRUTG 49–0 HOW neighborhood · ~1.3% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)RUTG 21–21 HOW neighborhood · ~0.3% of outcomesRUTG 25–18 HOW neighborhood · ~0.7% of outcomesRUTG 28–14 HOW neighborhood · ~1.4% of outcomesRUTG 32–11 HOW neighborhood · ~2.2% of outcomesRUTG 35–7 HOW neighborhood · ~2.7% of outcomesRUTG 39–4 HOW neighborhood · ~2.5% of outcomesRUTG 42–0 HOW neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)RUTG 18–18 HOW neighborhood · ~0.2% of outcomesRUTG 21–14 HOW neighborhood · ~0.5% of outcomesRUTG 25–11 HOW neighborhood · ~1.1% of outcomesRUTG 28–7 HOW neighborhood · ~1.6% of outcomesRUTG 32–4 HOW neighborhood · ~2.0% of outcomesRUTG 35–0 HOW neighborhood · ~1.9% of outcomesimpossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)impossible (total < margin)77706356494235totalPKRUTG +14RUTG +28RUTG +42RUTG +56margin →