CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 4 · Fri Sep 25 · 7:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
HOW 0.6%99.4% RUTG
Projected margin
RUTG by 40.2
Projected total
62
80% outcome range
RUTG 20 to RUTG 59
Win probability
RUTG 99.4%
FinalHOW 7 · RUTG 58model had +40.2, off by 10.8

Current team profiles

Howard
Rutgers

When Howard has the ball

Passing

No comparison
HOW offense
—
RUTG defense
#128
EPA comparison
—
0.38
#128
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
HOW offense
—
RUTG defense
#122
EPA comparison
—
0.19
#122
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
HOW offense
#123
RUTG defense
#124
Success rates
37%
#123
46%
#124
Success rate
More metrics
0.10
#68
0.23
#127
EPA / play
0.20
#79
1.24
#78
Explosiveness
—
12%
#125
Havoc

When Rutgers has the ball

Passing

No comparison
HOW defense
—
RUTG offense
#41
EPA comparison
—
0.32
#41
Pass EPA

Rushing

No comparison
HOW defense
—
RUTG offense
#121
EPA comparison
—
-0.03
#121
Rush EPA

Drive success

No comparison
HOW defense
#33
RUTG offense
#56
Success rates
42%
#33
45%
#56
Success rate
More metrics
0.07
#42
0.11
#86
EPA / play
0.20
#42
1.34
#18
Explosiveness
—
15%
#79
Havoc

Current key players

Howard
OLDe'Eric Mister
Player detail
Pass blocking
78.9
Run blocking
75.2
Penalties
0
77.519/1368
DLFaisal Mass
9 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
74.0
Pressures
3
Pass-rush snaps
71
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
73.1178/1549
LBGlen Vinson III
15 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
70.8
Coverage
60.5
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
71.5202/1054
DLIshaun Abdul-Ali
4 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
67.6
Pressures
6
Pass-rush snaps
68
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
71.0266/1549
KCam Johnston
0 punts · 0.0 avg
70.883/416
KMatt Conord
5/5 FG · 0%
70.690/416
Rutgers
QBAJ Surace
475 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
65.6208/729
TEKam Anthony
2 rec · 22 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
76.6
Run blocking
77.5
Penalties
0
90.22/1017
WRKJ Duff
33 rec · 628 yds · 7 TD
87.416/2069
RBAntwan Raymond
469 yds · 4 TD · 5.3 YPC
74.8179/1044
DBKaj Sanders
12 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.3
Coverage
70.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
89.6
Missed tackles
2
72.6297/2969
DBDK Gilley
19 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.7
Coverage
72.0
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
12
Passer rating allowed
91.7
Missed tackles
3
72.3314/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Kevin Levy · CBout · 2026-09-17

    Levy is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and he will be out of the lineup against USC on Saturday.

  • Dylan Lonergan · QBout · 2026-10-04

    Lonergan is dealing with an head injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Antwan Raymond · RBQues. · 2026-09-30

    Raymond is dealing with undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be available Saturday against the Indiana.

  • Famah Toure · WRQues. · 2026-09-11

    Toure is nursing with a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the USC on Saturday, September 19th.

  • Dino Kaliakmanis · WRQues. · 2026-09-26

    Kaliakmanis is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to suit up against USC on Sunday.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

HOW
RUTG
vs
Offense
57.4
#118 of 125
QB
65.6
#118 of 138
67.3
#96 of 126
RB
72.3
#104 of 138
59.6
#126 of 126
WR
71.5
#69 of 138
67.2
#47 of 124
TE
90.2
#2 of 138
59.9
#110 of 125
OL
75.6
#14 of 138
Defense
67.2
#101 of 126
DL
71.5
#91 of 138
70.4
#72 of 126
LB
65.5
#133 of 138
65.8
#120 of 126
DB
69.5
#105 of 138
Common opponents