Passing
WASH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN offense
- #76
- WASH defense
- #69
EPA comparison
0.20
#76
0.14
#69
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 4 · Sat Sep 26 · 11:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MINN 41.4%58.6% WASH
- Projected margin
- WASH by 3.8
- Projected total
- 48
- 80% outcome range
- MINN 17 to WASH 24
- Win probability
- WASH 58.6%
FinalMINN 27 · WASH 24model had +3.8, off by 6.8
Current team profiles
MinnesotaWashingtonWhen Minnesota has the ball
Rushing
WASH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN offense
- #123
- WASH defense
- #29
EPA comparison
-0.07
#123
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA
Drive success
WASH defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN offense
- #76
- WASH defense
- #67
Success rates
43%
#76
40%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#106
0.00
#41
EPA / play
1.12
#121
1.16
#39
Explosiveness
14%
#63
17%
#45
Havoc
When Washington has the ball
Passing
MINN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN defense
- #38
- WASH offense
- #55
EPA comparison
0.06
#38
0.27
#55
Pass EPA
Rushing
MINN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN defense
- #107
- WASH offense
- #116
EPA comparison
0.14
#107
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA
Drive success
MINN defense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN defense
- #58
- WASH offense
- #91
Success rates
39%
#58
42%
#91
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#57
0.13
#76
EPA / play
1.18
#50
1.24
#68
Explosiveness
22%
#6
14%
#52
Havoc
Current key players
MinnesotaQBDrake Lindsey
1087 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
72.5133/729
DBJohn Nestor
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.8
- Coverage
- 87.2
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 48
- Passer rating allowed
- 53.8
- Missed tackles
- 2
85.622/2969
DBAydan West
15 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 52.8
- Coverage
- 83.8
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 61
- Passer rating allowed
- 26.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
81.148/2969
LBNate Cleveland
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.5
- Coverage
- 39.7
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.294/1796
WRNoah Jennings
26 rec · 345 yds · 1 TD
78.468/2069
LBMason Carrier
4 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.5
- Coverage
- 70.6
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 3
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.8123/1796
Availability reports · 6
- Ashton Beers · OLout · 2026-10-01
Minnesota Football: Starting center Ashton Beers out for the season - The Daily Gopher
- Ryan Estrada · RBout · 2026-09-07
Estrada is out of action due to a knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- A.J. Turner · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Turner is nursing with an undisclosed injury, but he is projected to suit up against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
- Beckham Sunderland · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Sunderland is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
- Braiden Stevens · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Stevens is ailing from illness, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
- Zeke Bates · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Bates is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
WashingtonQBDemond Williams Jr.
1327 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
71.8140/729
SAlex McLaughlin
33 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.7
- Coverage
- 88.8
- Targets allowed
- 8
- Rec allowed
- 5
- Yards allowed
- 89
- Passer rating allowed
- 100.5
- Missed tackles
- 5
84.527/2969
WRDezmen Roebuck
35 rec · 338 yds · 1 TD
75.1124/2069
SRahshawn Clark
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 69.6
- Coverage
- 75.9
- Targets allowed
- 13
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 64
- Passer rating allowed
- 29.0
- Missed tackles
- 1
74.8200/2969
TEBaron Naone
16 rec · 245 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
- Pass blocking
- 39.7
- Run blocking
- 50.0
- Penalties
- 1
73.855/1017
CBRamonz Adams Jr.
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.8
- Coverage
- 70.9
- Targets allowed
- 3
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 4
- Passer rating allowed
- 70.1
- Missed tackles
- 0
73.2267/2969
Availability reports · 5
- Jayden Limar · RBout · 2026-09-07
Limar will undergo surgery due to an upper body injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.
- Quaid Carr · RBout · 2026-09-07
Carr will undergo surgery due to an undisclosed injury, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.
- CJ Christian · Sout · 2026-10-03
Christian is sidelined due to achilles injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- Demond Williams Jr. · QBQues. · 2026-10-10
Williams is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against the Boilermakers on Friday.
- Christian Moss · WRQues. · 2026-09-20
Moss is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Golden Gophers on Saturday, September 26th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MINNMinnesota
WASHWashington
vs
Offense
72.5
#93 of 138
QB
Quarterback
71.8
#95 of 138
74.5
#78 of 138
RB
Running backs
67.9
#129 of 138
74.7
#35 of 138
WR
Receivers
67.8
#111 of 138
57.3
#134 of 138
TE
Tight ends
73.8
#43 of 138
76.0
#13 of 138
OL
Offensive line
67.3
#74 of 138
Defense
77.1
#35 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.5
#58 of 138
77.0
#43 of 138
LB
Linebackers
69.8
#106 of 138
74.7
#37 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.0
#35 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Minnesota
opponent
Washington
Aaway-28.0
PURPurdue#67+10.2Aaway
Aaway-24.1
IUIndiana#5-8.1Hhome
Aaway-17.6
PSUPenn State#43-1.6Hhome
Hhome-8.8
IOWAIowa#20-17.0Hhome