Passing
PUR offense
Higher-ranked profile
- PUR offense
- #24
- ILL defense
- #126
EPA comparison
0.40
#24
0.37
#126
Pass EPA
- Projected margin
- ILL by 16.2
- Projected total
- 60
- 80% outcome range
- PUR 3 to ILL 36
- Win probability
- ILL 86.6%
FinalPUR 24 · ILL 17model had +16.2, off by 23.2
Current team profiles
Purdue
IllinoisWhen Purdue has the ball
Rushing
PUR offense
Higher-ranked profile
- PUR offense
- #63
- ILL defense
- #101
EPA comparison
0.12
#63
0.12
#101
Rush EPA
Drive success
PUR offense
Higher-ranked profile
- PUR offense
- #44
- ILL defense
- #117
Success rates
46%
#44
46%
#117
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#29
0.25
#130
EPA / play
1.21
#83
1.27
#93
Explosiveness
12%
#30
12%
#125
Havoc
When Illinois has the ball
Passing
ILL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- PUR defense
- #119
- ILL offense
- #41
EPA comparison
0.34
#119
0.32
#41
Pass EPA
Rushing
ILL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- PUR defense
- #125
- ILL offense
- #39
EPA comparison
0.20
#125
0.18
#39
Rush EPA
Drive success
ILL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- PUR defense
- #120
- ILL offense
- #15
Success rates
46%
#120
50%
#15
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#132
0.23
#34
EPA / play
1.40
#127
1.25
#60
Explosiveness
14%
#105
11%
#14
Havoc
Current key players
PurdueQBRyan Browne
1390 yds · 8 TD · 1 INT
77.595/729
WRAsaad Waseem
27 rec · 453 yds · 1 TD
83.630/2069
DBMister Clark
5 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.8
- Coverage
- 76.7
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 59
- Passer rating allowed
- 95.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
79.965/2969
RBFame Ijeboi
354 yds · 6 TD · 4.1 YPC
79.590/1044
WRXavier Townsend
28 rec · 307 yds · 2 TD
74.0146/2069
LBHudson Miller
7 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 64.4
- Coverage
- 70.6
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
70.1362/1796
Availability reports · 1
- Kylan Fox · TEout · 2026-08-13
Fox is laid up with a knee injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
IllinoisQBKatin Houser
1246 yds · 11 TD · 3 INT
90.814/729
WRCollin Dixon
40 rec · 546 yds · 8 TD
87.019/2069
LBCameron Thomas
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.3
- Coverage
- 84.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 18
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.676/1796
LBWill Holmes
13 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.4
- Coverage
- 60.3
- Pressures
- 16
- Pass-rush snaps
- 92
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.491/1796
RBJavari Barnett
54 yds · 1 TD · 5.4 YPC
79.393/1044
DBMatthew Bailey
37 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.2
- Coverage
- 79.8
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 38
- Passer rating allowed
- 20.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
78.681/2969
Availability reports · 11
- Tanner Hollinger · TEout · 2026-08-11
Hollinger has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season
- Alex Perry · WRout · 2026-08-13
Perry is batting with a shoulder injury and will undergo surgery, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- BJ Thurman · TEout · 2026-08-13
Thurman is laid up with foot surgery, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Grant Smith · TEout · 2026-08-23
Smith is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Will Vala III · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Vala III is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the field against Ducks on Sunday, October 24t
- Jacob Eberhart · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Eberhart is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the field against Ducks on Sunday, October 24t
- Jacob Harvey · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Harvey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Jayshon Platt · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Platt is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will partake against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- John Forster · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Forster is nursing with a knee injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Kenyon Alston · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Alston is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Nas Rankin · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Rankin is nursing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
PURPurdue
ILLIllinois
vs
Offense
77.5
#72 of 138
QB
Quarterback
90.8
#14 of 138
75.2
#72 of 138
RB
Running backs
75.4
#70 of 138
77.0
#26 of 138
WR
Receivers
75.8
#31 of 138
69.3
#69 of 138
TE
Tight ends
73.7
#44 of 138
61.7
#121 of 138
OL
Offensive line
69.2
#60 of 138
Defense
72.2
#83 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.8
#74 of 138
65.6
#132 of 138
LB
Linebackers
76.7
#48 of 138
66.1
#133 of 138
DB
Secondary
73.0
#57 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Purdue
opponent
Illinois
Aaway-16.3
IOWAIowa#20-1.8Hhome
Aaway-14.0
UCLAUCLA#24-3.2Aaway
Hhome+1.4
MDMaryland#72+5.3Aaway