CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 12:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
IU 63.7%36.3% NEB
Projected margin
IU by 4.5
Projected total
53
80% outcome range
IU 24 to NEB 14
Win probability
IU 63.7%
FinalIU 20 · NEB 17model had -4.5, off by 1.5

Current team profiles

Indiana
Nebraska

When Indiana has the ball

Passing

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
IU offense
#2
NEB defense
#7
EPA comparison
0.65
#2
-0.10
#7
Pass EPA

Rushing

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
IU offense
#17
NEB defense
#63
EPA comparison
0.25
#17
0.03
#63
Rush EPA

Drive success

NEB defense
Higher-ranked profile
IU offense
#24
NEB defense
#18
Success rates
49%
#24
34%
#18
Success rate
More metrics
0.41
#2
-0.02
#35
EPA / play
1.41
#5
1.36
#120
Explosiveness
11%
#18
19%
#28
Havoc

When Nebraska has the ball

Passing

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
IU defense
#20
NEB offense
#47
EPA comparison
0.00
#20
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

NEB offense
Higher-ranked profile
IU defense
#18
NEB offense
#3
EPA comparison
-0.10
#18
0.33
#3
Rush EPA

Drive success

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
IU defense
#4
NEB offense
#36
Success rates
32%
#4
48%
#36
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#16
0.31
#14
EPA / play
1.43
#132
1.38
#14
Explosiveness
19%
#24
13%
#37
Havoc

Current key players

Indiana
QBGrant Wilson
74 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
86.433/729
RBTurbo Richard
587 yds · 5 TD · 9.3 YPC
91.03/1044
WRCharlie Becker
27 rec · 477 yds · 8 TD
88.710/2069
WRNick Marsh
23 rec · 341 yds · 4 TD
82.239/2069
LBJacob Savage
6 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.6
Coverage
63.8
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.6108/1796
LBJeff Utzinger
8 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
66.5
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.1157/1796
Availability reports · 1
  • Jamari Sharpe · DBout · 2026-09-12

    Indiana cornerbacks A.J. Harris, Jamari Sharpe out vs. Howard - ESPN

Nebraska
QBAnthony Colandrea
1142 yds · 13 TD · 2 INT
91.110/729
RBJamal Rule
333 yds · 5 TD · 7.9 YPC
86.229/1044
LBDerek Wacker
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.4
Coverage
76.8
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
86.133/1796
LBOwen Chambliss
26 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.0
Coverage
83.4
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
16
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
83.057/1796
CBAndrew Marshall
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.6
Coverage
76.4
Targets allowed
17
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
13
Passer rating allowed
34.7
Missed tackles
1
77.7104/2969
CBVictor Evans III
12 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.0
Coverage
73.4
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
46
Passer rating allowed
65.0
Missed tackles
0
73.1269/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Riley Van Poppel · DLQues. · 2026-10-10

    Van Poppel is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Larry Miles · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Miles is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Carter Nelson · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Nelson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but it is yet to established if he will play against the Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

IU
NEB
vs
Offense
86.4
#31 of 138
QB
91.1
#11 of 138
85.2
#10 of 138
RB
83.2
#18 of 138
83.7
#2 of 138
WR
69.6
#86 of 138
59.0
#127 of 138
TE
67.3
#79 of 138
73.3
#26 of 138
OL
71.7
#41 of 138
Defense
81.7
#8 of 138
DL
77.8
#27 of 138
76.9
#44 of 138
LB
79.3
#25 of 138
72.5
#65 of 138
DB
71.6
#74 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Indiana
opponent
Nebraska
A+32.0
RUTG#89
+11.9A
H-1.9
OSU#2
-10.7H
A+8.1
WASH#45
+4.6H