Passing
MINN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN offense
- #76
- PUR defense
- #119
EPA comparison
0.20
#76
0.34
#119
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 6 · Sat Oct 10 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
MINN 62.9%37.1% PUR
- Projected margin
- MINN by 4.9
- Projected total
- 53
- 80% outcome range
- MINN 25 to PUR 14
- Win probability
- MINN 62.9%
FinalMINN 13 · PUR 41model had -4.9, off by 32.9
Current team profiles
Minnesota
PurdueWhen Minnesota has the ball
Rushing
MINN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN offense
- #123
- PUR defense
- #125
EPA comparison
-0.07
#123
0.20
#125
Rush EPA
Drive success
MINN offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN offense
- #76
- PUR defense
- #120
Success rates
43%
#76
46%
#120
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#106
0.25
#132
EPA / play
1.12
#121
1.40
#127
Explosiveness
14%
#63
14%
#105
Havoc
When Purdue has the ball
Passing
PUR offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN defense
- #38
- PUR offense
- #24
EPA comparison
0.06
#38
0.40
#24
Pass EPA
Rushing
PUR offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN defense
- #107
- PUR offense
- #63
EPA comparison
0.14
#107
0.12
#63
Rush EPA
Drive success
PUR offense
Higher-ranked profile
- MINN defense
- #58
- PUR offense
- #44
Success rates
39%
#58
46%
#44
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#57
0.25
#29
EPA / play
1.18
#50
1.21
#83
Explosiveness
22%
#6
12%
#30
Havoc
Current key players
MinnesotaQBDrake Lindsey
1087 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
72.5133/729
DBJohn Nestor
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.8
- Coverage
- 87.2
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 9
- Yards allowed
- 48
- Passer rating allowed
- 53.8
- Missed tackles
- 2
85.622/2969
DBAydan West
15 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 52.8
- Coverage
- 83.8
- Targets allowed
- 17
- Rec allowed
- 7
- Yards allowed
- 61
- Passer rating allowed
- 26.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
81.148/2969
LBNate Cleveland
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.5
- Coverage
- 39.7
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.294/1796
WRNoah Jennings
26 rec · 345 yds · 1 TD
78.468/2069
LBMason Carrier
4 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 71.5
- Coverage
- 70.6
- Pressures
- 2
- Pass-rush snaps
- 3
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
77.8123/1796
Availability reports · 6
- Ashton Beers · OLout · 2026-10-01
Minnesota Football: Starting center Ashton Beers out for the season - The Daily Gopher
- Ryan Estrada · RBout · 2026-09-07
Estrada is out of action due to a knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.
- A.J. Turner · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Turner is nursing with an undisclosed injury, but he is projected to suit up against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
- Beckham Sunderland · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Sunderland is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
- Braiden Stevens · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Stevens is ailing from illness, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
- Zeke Bates · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Bates is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.
PurdueQBRyan Browne
1390 yds · 8 TD · 1 INT
77.595/729
WRAsaad Waseem
27 rec · 453 yds · 1 TD
83.630/2069
DBMister Clark
5 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 61.8
- Coverage
- 76.7
- Targets allowed
- 4
- Rec allowed
- 2
- Yards allowed
- 59
- Passer rating allowed
- 95.8
- Missed tackles
- 1
79.965/2969
RBFame Ijeboi
354 yds · 6 TD · 4.1 YPC
79.590/1044
WRXavier Townsend
28 rec · 307 yds · 2 TD
74.0146/2069
LBHudson Miller
7 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 64.4
- Coverage
- 70.6
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 1
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 0
70.1362/1796
Availability reports · 1
- Kylan Fox · TEout · 2026-08-13
Fox is laid up with a knee injury, and there is no timetable for his return.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
MINNMinnesota
PURPurdue
vs
Offense
72.5
#93 of 138
QB
Quarterback
77.5
#72 of 138
74.5
#78 of 138
RB
Running backs
75.2
#72 of 138
74.7
#35 of 138
WR
Receivers
77.0
#26 of 138
57.3
#134 of 138
TE
Tight ends
69.3
#69 of 138
76.0
#13 of 138
OL
Offensive line
61.7
#121 of 138
Defense
77.1
#35 of 138
DL
Defensive line
72.2
#83 of 138
77.0
#43 of 138
LB
Linebackers
65.6
#132 of 138
74.7
#37 of 138
DB
Secondary
66.1
#133 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Minnesota
opponent
Purdue
Aaway+3.0
WASHWashington#45-10.2Hhome
Hhome-5.0
UCLAUCLA#24-14.0Aaway
Hhome-8.8
IOWAIowa#20-16.3Aaway
Aaway-6.2
WISWisconsin#32-3.0Hhome
Aaway-24.1
IUIndiana#5-26.3Aaway
Aaway-17.6
PSUPenn State#43-19.7Aaway