CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Sat Oct 17 · 12:30 PM ET
Forecast win probability
RUTG 40.7%59.3% MD
Projected margin
MD by 3.7
Projected total
59
80% outcome range
RUTG 15 to MD 22
Win probability
MD 59.3%

Current team profiles

Rutgers
Maryland

When Rutgers has the ball

Passing

RUTG offense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG offense
#41
MD defense
#65
EPA comparison
0.32
#41
0.12
#65
Pass EPA

Rushing

MD defense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG offense
#121
MD defense
#84
EPA comparison
-0.03
#121
0.07
#84
Rush EPA

Drive success

RUTG offense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG offense
#56
MD defense
#86
Success rates
45%
#56
42%
#86
Success rate
More metrics
0.11
#86
0.08
#78
EPA / play
1.34
#18
1.20
#55
Explosiveness
15%
#79
16%
#74
Havoc

When Maryland has the ball

Passing

MD offense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG defense
#128
MD offense
#125
EPA comparison
0.38
#128
-0.01
#125
Pass EPA

Rushing

MD offense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG defense
#122
MD offense
#72
EPA comparison
0.19
#122
0.10
#72
Rush EPA

Drive success

MD offense
Higher-ranked profile
RUTG defense
#124
MD offense
#106
Success rates
46%
#124
40%
#106
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#127
0.03
#112
EPA / play
1.24
#78
1.25
#60
Explosiveness
12%
#125
14%
#45
Havoc

Current key players

Rutgers
QBAJ Surace
475 yds · 6 TD · 4 INT
65.6208/729
TEKam Anthony
2 rec · 22 yds · 0 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
76.6
Run blocking
77.5
Penalties
0
90.22/1017
WRKJ Duff
33 rec · 628 yds · 7 TD
87.416/2069
RBAntwan Raymond
469 yds · 4 TD · 5.3 YPC
74.8179/1044
DBKaj Sanders
12 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
73.3
Coverage
70.6
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
23
Passer rating allowed
89.6
Missed tackles
2
72.6297/2969
DBDK Gilley
19 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
67.7
Coverage
72.0
Targets allowed
2
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
12
Passer rating allowed
91.7
Missed tackles
3
72.3314/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Kevin Levy · CBout · 2026-09-17

    Levy is battling with an undisclsoed injury, and he will be out of the lineup against USC on Saturday.

  • Dylan Lonergan · QBout · 2026-10-04

    Lonergan is dealing with an head injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

  • Antwan Raymond · RBQues. · 2026-09-30

    Raymond is dealing with undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will be available Saturday against the Indiana.

  • Famah Toure · WRQues. · 2026-09-11

    Toure is nursing with a knee injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the USC on Saturday, September 19th.

  • Dino Kaliakmanis · WRQues. · 2026-09-26

    Kaliakmanis is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and he is not projected to suit up against USC on Sunday.

Maryland
QBCardell Williams
63 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
91.87/729
WRZymear Smith
— rec · — yds · — TD
88.411/2069
WRChris Durr Jr.
42 rec · 461 yds · 4 TD
79.959/2069
LBStephen Dean III
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
79.3
Coverage
62.3
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
75.0184/1796
DBJamare Glasker
16 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
78.1
Coverage
71.9
Targets allowed
23
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
166
Passer rating allowed
72.0
Missed tackles
5
74.0228/2969
LBTrey Reddick
19 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
68.2
Coverage
68.2
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
4
Forced fumbles
0
72.1288/1796
Availability reports · 4
  • Zahir Mathis · LBout · 2026-08-13

    Mathis is battling with a leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.

  • Cardell Williams · QBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Williams is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Lavon Johnson · DLQues. · 2026-10-11

    Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury,, and it is undetermined if he will face against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Daniel Leahy · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Leahy is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

RUTG
MD
vs
Offense
65.6
#118 of 138
QB
91.8
#7 of 138
72.3
#104 of 138
RB
70.1
#118 of 138
71.5
#69 of 138
WR
80.8
#9 of 138
90.2
#2 of 138
TE
61.1
#111 of 138
75.6
#14 of 138
OL
68.8
#62 of 138
Defense
71.5
#91 of 138
DL
74.5
#59 of 138
65.5
#133 of 138
LB
72.5
#84 of 138
69.5
#105 of 138
DB
67.5
#122 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Rutgers
opponent
Maryland
H-11.9
NEB#12
-25.0A
H-7.0
USC#17
-19.6A
A-19.5
PSU#43
-13.2H
A-8.1
WIS#32
-1.8H