CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 7 · Fri Oct 16 · 8:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
WASH 74.8%25.2% PUR
Projected margin
WASH by 10.2
Projected total
56
80% outcome range
WASH 29 to PUR 8
Win probability
WASH 74.8%

Current team profiles

Washington
Purdue

When Washington has the ball

Passing

WASH offense
Higher-ranked profile
WASH offense
#55
PUR defense
#119
EPA comparison
0.27
#55
0.34
#119
Pass EPA

Rushing

WASH offense
Higher-ranked profile
WASH offense
#116
PUR defense
#125
EPA comparison
-0.02
#116
0.20
#125
Rush EPA

Drive success

WASH offense
Higher-ranked profile
WASH offense
#91
PUR defense
#120
Success rates
42%
#91
46%
#120
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#76
0.25
#132
EPA / play
1.24
#68
1.40
#127
Explosiveness
14%
#52
14%
#105
Havoc

When Purdue has the ball

Passing

PUR offense
Higher-ranked profile
WASH defense
#69
PUR offense
#24
EPA comparison
0.14
#69
0.40
#24
Pass EPA

Rushing

WASH defense
Higher-ranked profile
WASH defense
#29
PUR offense
#63
EPA comparison
-0.06
#29
0.12
#63
Rush EPA

Drive success

PUR offense
Higher-ranked profile
WASH defense
#67
PUR offense
#44
Success rates
40%
#67
46%
#44
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#41
0.25
#29
EPA / play
1.16
#39
1.21
#83
Explosiveness
17%
#45
12%
#30
Havoc

Current key players

Washington
QBDemond Williams Jr.
1327 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
71.8140/729
SAlex McLaughlin
33 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
88.8
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
89
Passer rating allowed
100.5
Missed tackles
5
84.527/2969
WRDezmen Roebuck
35 rec · 338 yds · 1 TD
75.1124/2069
SRahshawn Clark
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.6
Coverage
75.9
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
64
Passer rating allowed
29.0
Missed tackles
1
74.8200/2969
TEBaron Naone
16 rec · 245 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
39.7
Run blocking
50.0
Penalties
1
73.855/1017
CBRamonz Adams Jr.
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.8
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
70.1
Missed tackles
0
73.2267/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Jayden Limar · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Limar will undergo surgery due to an upper body injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Quaid Carr · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Carr will undergo surgery due to an undisclosed injury, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.

  • CJ Christian · Sout · 2026-10-03

    Christian is sidelined due to achilles injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Demond Williams Jr. · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Williams is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against the Boilermakers on Friday.

  • Christian Moss · WRQues. · 2026-09-20

    Moss is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Golden Gophers on Saturday, September 26th.

Purdue
QBRyan Browne
1390 yds · 8 TD · 1 INT
77.595/729
WRAsaad Waseem
27 rec · 453 yds · 1 TD
83.630/2069
DBMister Clark
5 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
61.8
Coverage
76.7
Targets allowed
4
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
59
Passer rating allowed
95.8
Missed tackles
1
79.965/2969
RBFame Ijeboi
354 yds · 6 TD · 4.1 YPC
79.590/1044
WRXavier Townsend
28 rec · 307 yds · 2 TD
74.0146/2069
LBHudson Miller
7 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
64.4
Coverage
70.6
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
0
70.1362/1796
Availability reports · 1
  • Kylan Fox · TEout · 2026-08-13

    Fox is laid up with a knee injury, and there is no timetable for his return.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WASH
PUR
vs
Offense
71.8
#95 of 138
QB
77.5
#72 of 138
67.9
#129 of 138
RB
75.2
#72 of 138
67.8
#111 of 138
WR
77.0
#26 of 138
73.8
#43 of 138
TE
69.3
#69 of 138
67.3
#74 of 138
OL
61.7
#121 of 138
Defense
74.5
#58 of 138
DL
72.2
#83 of 138
69.8
#106 of 138
LB
65.6
#132 of 138
75.0
#35 of 138
DB
66.1
#133 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Washington
opponent
Purdue
H-3.0
MINN#54
+28.0H
H-8.1
IU#5
-26.3A
H-1.6
PSU#43
-19.7A
H-17.0
IOWA#20
-16.3A