CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
MINN 6.1%93.9% IU
Projected margin
IU by 24.1
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
IU 6 to IU 43
Win probability
IU 93.9%

Current team profiles

Minnesota
Indiana

When Minnesota has the ball

Passing

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
MINN offense
#76
IU defense
#20
EPA comparison
0.20
#76
0.00
#20
Pass EPA

Rushing

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
MINN offense
#123
IU defense
#18
EPA comparison
-0.07
#123
-0.10
#18
Rush EPA

Drive success

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
MINN offense
#76
IU defense
#4
Success rates
43%
#76
32%
#4
Success rate
More metrics
0.05
#106
-0.06
#16
EPA / play
1.12
#121
1.43
#132
Explosiveness
14%
#63
19%
#24
Havoc

When Indiana has the ball

Passing

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
MINN defense
#38
IU offense
#2
EPA comparison
0.06
#38
0.65
#2
Pass EPA

Rushing

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
MINN defense
#107
IU offense
#17
EPA comparison
0.14
#107
0.25
#17
Rush EPA

Drive success

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
MINN defense
#58
IU offense
#24
Success rates
39%
#58
49%
#24
Success rate
More metrics
0.04
#57
0.41
#2
EPA / play
1.18
#50
1.41
#5
Explosiveness
22%
#6
11%
#18
Havoc

Current key players

Minnesota
QBDrake Lindsey
1087 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
72.5133/729
DBJohn Nestor
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.8
Coverage
87.2
Targets allowed
17
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
48
Passer rating allowed
53.8
Missed tackles
2
85.622/2969
DBAydan West
15 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
52.8
Coverage
83.8
Targets allowed
17
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
61
Passer rating allowed
26.8
Missed tackles
3
81.148/2969
LBNate Cleveland
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.5
Coverage
39.7
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
79.294/1796
WRNoah Jennings
26 rec · 345 yds · 1 TD
78.468/2069
LBMason Carrier
4 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.5
Coverage
70.6
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.8123/1796
Availability reports · 6
  • Ashton Beers · OLout · 2026-10-01

    Minnesota Football: Starting center Ashton Beers out for the season - The Daily Gopher

  • Ryan Estrada · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Estrada is out of action due to a knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • A.J. Turner · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Turner is nursing with an undisclosed injury, but he is projected to suit up against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Beckham Sunderland · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Sunderland is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Braiden Stevens · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stevens is ailing from illness, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Zeke Bates · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bates is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.

Indiana
QBGrant Wilson
74 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
86.433/729
RBTurbo Richard
587 yds · 5 TD · 9.3 YPC
91.03/1044
WRCharlie Becker
27 rec · 477 yds · 8 TD
88.710/2069
WRNick Marsh
23 rec · 341 yds · 4 TD
82.239/2069
LBJacob Savage
6 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.6
Coverage
63.8
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.6108/1796
LBJeff Utzinger
8 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
66.5
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.1157/1796
Availability reports · 1
  • Jamari Sharpe · DBout · 2026-09-12

    Indiana cornerbacks A.J. Harris, Jamari Sharpe out vs. Howard - ESPN

Position units

Position-unit comparison

MINN
IU
vs
Offense
72.5
#93 of 138
QB
86.4
#31 of 138
74.5
#78 of 138
RB
85.2
#10 of 138
74.7
#35 of 138
WR
83.7
#2 of 138
57.3
#134 of 138
TE
59.0
#127 of 138
76.0
#13 of 138
OL
73.3
#26 of 138
Defense
77.1
#35 of 138
DL
81.7
#8 of 138
77.0
#43 of 138
LB
76.9
#44 of 138
74.7
#37 of 138
DB
72.5
#65 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Minnesota
opponent
Indiana
A-28.0
PUR#67
+26.3H
H-8.5
NU#16
+6.0H
A+3.0
WASH#45
+8.1A
H+6.0
MICH#23
+9.6A