Passing
ILL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL offense
- #41
- MD defense
- #65
EPA comparison
0.32
#41
0.12
#65
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
ILL 63.7%36.3% MD
- Projected margin
- ILL by 5.3
- Projected total
- 57
- 80% outcome range
- ILL 24 to MD 13
- Win probability
- ILL 63.7%
Current team profiles
Illinois
MarylandWhen Illinois has the ball
Rushing
ILL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL offense
- #39
- MD defense
- #84
EPA comparison
0.18
#39
0.07
#84
Rush EPA
Drive success
ILL offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL offense
- #15
- MD defense
- #86
Success rates
50%
#15
42%
#86
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#34
0.08
#78
EPA / play
1.25
#60
1.20
#55
Explosiveness
11%
#14
16%
#74
Havoc
When Maryland has the ball
Passing
MD offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL defense
- #126
- MD offense
- #125
EPA comparison
0.37
#126
-0.01
#125
Pass EPA
Rushing
MD offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL defense
- #101
- MD offense
- #72
EPA comparison
0.12
#101
0.10
#72
Rush EPA
Drive success
MD offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL defense
- #117
- MD offense
- #106
Success rates
46%
#117
40%
#106
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#130
0.03
#112
EPA / play
1.27
#93
1.25
#60
Explosiveness
12%
#125
14%
#45
Havoc
Current key players
IllinoisQBKatin Houser
1246 yds · 11 TD · 3 INT
90.814/729
WRCollin Dixon
40 rec · 546 yds · 8 TD
87.019/2069
LBCameron Thomas
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.3
- Coverage
- 84.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 18
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.676/1796
LBWill Holmes
13 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.4
- Coverage
- 60.3
- Pressures
- 16
- Pass-rush snaps
- 92
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.491/1796
RBJavari Barnett
54 yds · 1 TD · 5.4 YPC
79.393/1044
DBMatthew Bailey
37 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.2
- Coverage
- 79.8
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 38
- Passer rating allowed
- 20.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
78.681/2969
Availability reports · 11
- Tanner Hollinger · TEout · 2026-08-11
Hollinger has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season
- Alex Perry · WRout · 2026-08-13
Perry is batting with a shoulder injury and will undergo surgery, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- BJ Thurman · TEout · 2026-08-13
Thurman is laid up with foot surgery, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Grant Smith · TEout · 2026-08-23
Smith is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Will Vala III · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Vala III is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the field against Ducks on Sunday, October 24t
- Jacob Eberhart · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Eberhart is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the field against Ducks on Sunday, October 24t
- Jacob Harvey · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Harvey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Jayshon Platt · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Platt is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will partake against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- John Forster · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Forster is nursing with a knee injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Kenyon Alston · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Alston is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Nas Rankin · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Rankin is nursing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
MarylandQBCardell Williams
63 yds · 1 TD · 0 INT
91.87/729
WRZymear Smith
— rec · — yds · — TD
88.411/2069
WRChris Durr Jr.
42 rec · 461 yds · 4 TD
79.959/2069
LBStephen Dean III
3 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 79.3
- Coverage
- 62.3
- Pressures
- 0
- Pass-rush snaps
- 2
- Missed tackles
- 0
- Forced fumbles
- 0
75.0184/1796
DBJamare Glasker
16 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.1
- Coverage
- 71.9
- Targets allowed
- 23
- Rec allowed
- 12
- Yards allowed
- 166
- Passer rating allowed
- 72.0
- Missed tackles
- 5
74.0228/2969
LBTrey Reddick
19 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 68.2
- Coverage
- 68.2
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 8
- Missed tackles
- 4
- Forced fumbles
- 0
72.1288/1796
Availability reports · 4
- Zahir Mathis · LBout · 2026-08-13
Mathis is battling with a leg injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Cardell Williams · QBQues. · 2026-10-11
Williams is dealing with an Undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.
- Lavon Johnson · DLQues. · 2026-10-11
Johnson is dealing with an undisclosed injury,, and it is undetermined if he will face against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.
- Daniel Leahy · KQues. · 2026-10-11
Leahy is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Knights on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ILLIllinois
MDMaryland
vs
Offense
90.8
#14 of 138
QB
Quarterback
91.8
#7 of 138
75.4
#70 of 138
RB
Running backs
70.1
#118 of 138
75.8
#31 of 138
WR
Receivers
80.8
#9 of 138
73.7
#44 of 138
TE
Tight ends
61.1
#111 of 138
69.2
#60 of 138
OL
Offensive line
68.8
#62 of 138
Defense
72.8
#74 of 138
DL
Defensive line
74.5
#59 of 138
76.7
#48 of 138
LB
Linebackers
72.5
#84 of 138
73.0
#57 of 138
DB
Secondary
67.5
#122 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Illinois
opponent
Maryland
Aaway-3.2
UCLAUCLA#24-51.0Hhome
Hhome-2.9
NEBNebraska#12-25.0Aaway
Aaway-23.0
OSUOhio State#2-29.0Aaway
Hhome-7.0
PURPurdue#67-1.4Aaway