CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 9 · Sat Oct 31 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
WASH 38.3%61.7% NEB
Projected margin
NEB by 4.6
Projected total
55
80% outcome range
WASH 14 to NEB 23
Win probability
NEB 61.7%

Current team profiles

Washington
Nebraska

When Washington has the ball

Passing

NEB defense
Higher-ranked profile
WASH offense
#55
NEB defense
#7
EPA comparison
0.27
#55
-0.10
#7
Pass EPA

Rushing

NEB defense
Higher-ranked profile
WASH offense
#116
NEB defense
#63
EPA comparison
-0.02
#116
0.03
#63
Rush EPA

Drive success

NEB defense
Higher-ranked profile
WASH offense
#91
NEB defense
#18
Success rates
42%
#91
34%
#18
Success rate
More metrics
0.13
#76
-0.02
#35
EPA / play
1.24
#68
1.36
#120
Explosiveness
14%
#52
19%
#28
Havoc

When Nebraska has the ball

Passing

NEB offense
Higher-ranked profile
WASH defense
#69
NEB offense
#47
EPA comparison
0.14
#69
0.28
#47
Pass EPA

Rushing

NEB offense
Higher-ranked profile
WASH defense
#29
NEB offense
#3
EPA comparison
-0.06
#29
0.33
#3
Rush EPA

Drive success

NEB offense
Higher-ranked profile
WASH defense
#67
NEB offense
#36
Success rates
40%
#67
48%
#36
Success rate
More metrics
0.00
#41
0.31
#14
EPA / play
1.16
#39
1.38
#14
Explosiveness
17%
#45
13%
#37
Havoc

Current key players

Washington
QBDemond Williams Jr.
1327 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
71.8140/729
SAlex McLaughlin
33 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
88.8
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
89
Passer rating allowed
100.5
Missed tackles
5
84.527/2969
WRDezmen Roebuck
35 rec · 338 yds · 1 TD
75.1124/2069
SRahshawn Clark
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.6
Coverage
75.9
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
64
Passer rating allowed
29.0
Missed tackles
1
74.8200/2969
TEBaron Naone
16 rec · 245 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
39.7
Run blocking
50.0
Penalties
1
73.855/1017
CBRamonz Adams Jr.
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.8
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
70.1
Missed tackles
0
73.2267/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Jayden Limar · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Limar will undergo surgery due to an upper body injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Quaid Carr · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Carr will undergo surgery due to an undisclosed injury, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.

  • CJ Christian · Sout · 2026-10-03

    Christian is sidelined due to achilles injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Demond Williams Jr. · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Williams is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against the Boilermakers on Friday.

  • Christian Moss · WRQues. · 2026-09-20

    Moss is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Golden Gophers on Saturday, September 26th.

Nebraska
QBAnthony Colandrea
1142 yds · 13 TD · 2 INT
91.110/729
RBJamal Rule
333 yds · 5 TD · 7.9 YPC
86.229/1044
LBDerek Wacker
5 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
81.4
Coverage
76.8
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
2
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
86.133/1796
LBOwen Chambliss
26 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.5 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.0
Coverage
83.4
Pressures
4
Pass-rush snaps
16
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
83.057/1796
CBAndrew Marshall
13 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
76.6
Coverage
76.4
Targets allowed
17
Rec allowed
3
Yards allowed
13
Passer rating allowed
34.7
Missed tackles
1
77.7104/2969
CBVictor Evans III
12 tkl · 2 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
71.0
Coverage
73.4
Targets allowed
11
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
46
Passer rating allowed
65.0
Missed tackles
0
73.1269/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Riley Van Poppel · DLQues. · 2026-10-10

    Van Poppel is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will play against the Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Larry Miles · WRQues. · 2026-10-10

    Miles is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it is uncertain if he will face Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Carter Nelson · TEQues. · 2026-10-10

    Nelson is dealing with an undisclosed injury, but it is yet to established if he will play against the Oregon on Saturday, October 17th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

WASH
NEB
vs
Offense
71.8
#95 of 138
QB
91.1
#11 of 138
67.9
#129 of 138
RB
83.2
#18 of 138
67.8
#111 of 138
WR
69.6
#86 of 138
73.8
#43 of 138
TE
67.3
#79 of 138
67.3
#74 of 138
OL
71.7
#41 of 138
Defense
74.5
#58 of 138
DL
77.8
#27 of 138
69.8
#106 of 138
LB
79.3
#25 of 138
75.0
#35 of 138
DB
71.6
#74 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Washington
opponent
Nebraska
H-17.0
IOWA#20
-1.6A
A+8.4
MSU#62
+18.0A
H-8.1
IU#5
-3.0H
A-12.7
ORE#8
-10.7A