CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 10 · Sat Nov 7 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
UCLA 62.3%37.7% MINN
Projected margin
UCLA by 5.0
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
UCLA 24 to MINN 14
Win probability
UCLA 62.3%

Current team profiles

UCLA
Minnesota

When UCLA has the ball

Passing

MINN defense
Higher-ranked profile
UCLA offense
#98
MINN defense
#38
EPA comparison
0.12
#98
0.06
#38
Pass EPA

Rushing

UCLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UCLA offense
#12
MINN defense
#107
EPA comparison
0.26
#12
0.14
#107
Rush EPA

Drive success

UCLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
UCLA offense
#44
MINN defense
#58
Success rates
46%
#44
39%
#58
Success rate
More metrics
0.20
#46
0.04
#57
EPA / play
1.23
#72
1.18
#50
Explosiveness
14%
#63
22%
#6
Havoc

When Minnesota has the ball

Passing

UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
UCLA defense
#5
MINN offense
#76
EPA comparison
-0.12
#5
0.20
#76
Pass EPA

Rushing

UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
UCLA defense
#1
MINN offense
#123
EPA comparison
-0.24
#1
-0.07
#123
Rush EPA

Drive success

UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
UCLA defense
#5
MINN offense
#76
Success rates
32%
#5
43%
#76
Success rate
More metrics
-0.20
#1
0.05
#106
EPA / play
1.23
#74
1.12
#121
Explosiveness
21%
#11
14%
#63
Havoc

Current key players

UCLA
QBNico Iamaleava
820 yds · 4 TD · 2 INT
64.9216/729
LBSammy Omosigho
38 tkl · 7.0 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.7
Coverage
82.5
Pressures
11
Pass-rush snaps
42
Missed tackles
2
Forced fumbles
3
90.78/1796
LBTrent Hendrick
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
78.7
Coverage
82.5
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
7
Missed tackles
1
Forced fumbles
0
86.825/1796
RBWayne Knight
445 yds · 9 TD · 9.1 YPC
86.227/1044
DBTa'Shawn James
24 tkl · 2 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
Run defense
74.0
Coverage
84.8
Targets allowed
10
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
70
Passer rating allowed
41.7
Missed tackles
5
84.328/2969
DBDerrick Barksdale
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
72.5
Coverage
76.5
Targets allowed
18
Rec allowed
12
Yards allowed
110
Passer rating allowed
120.1
Missed tackles
3
77.7102/2969
Availability reports · 3
  • Mikey Matthews · WRout · 2026-09-21

    Matthews is dealing with a lower-leg injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.

  • Josh Phifer · TEQues. · 2026-10-11

    Phifer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 17th.

  • Sam Yoon · OGQues. · 2026-10-11

    Yoon is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 17th.

Minnesota
QBDrake Lindsey
1087 yds · 8 TD · 4 INT
72.5133/729
DBJohn Nestor
16 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
68.8
Coverage
87.2
Targets allowed
17
Rec allowed
9
Yards allowed
48
Passer rating allowed
53.8
Missed tackles
2
85.622/2969
DBAydan West
15 tkl · 4 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
52.8
Coverage
83.8
Targets allowed
17
Rec allowed
7
Yards allowed
61
Passer rating allowed
26.8
Missed tackles
3
81.148/2969
LBNate Cleveland
3 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
91.5
Coverage
39.7
Pressures
0
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
1
79.294/1796
WRNoah Jennings
26 rec · 345 yds · 1 TD
78.468/2069
LBMason Carrier
4 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
71.5
Coverage
70.6
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
3
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
77.8123/1796
Availability reports · 6
  • Ashton Beers · OLout · 2026-10-01

    Minnesota Football: Starting center Ashton Beers out for the season - The Daily Gopher

  • Ryan Estrada · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Estrada is out of action due to a knee injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • A.J. Turner · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Turner is nursing with an undisclosed injury, but he is projected to suit up against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Beckham Sunderland · KQues. · 2026-10-11

    Sunderland is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Braiden Stevens · WRQues. · 2026-10-11

    Stevens is ailing from illness, and it is uncertain if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.

  • Zeke Bates · RBQues. · 2026-10-11

    Bates is nursing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unclear if he will play against the Hawkeyes on Saturday, October 24th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

UCLA
MINN
vs
Offense
64.9
#120 of 138
QB
72.5
#93 of 138
86.0
#7 of 138
RB
74.5
#78 of 138
74.0
#43 of 138
WR
74.7
#35 of 138
61.1
#110 of 138
TE
57.3
#134 of 138
69.3
#57 of 138
OL
76.0
#13 of 138
Defense
80.0
#16 of 138
DL
77.1
#35 of 138
84.2
#8 of 138
LB
77.0
#43 of 138
75.2
#31 of 138
DB
74.7
#37 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

UCLA
opponent
Minnesota
H+14.0
PUR#67
-28.0A
H+6.7
WIS#32
-6.2A
A-4.2
MICH#23
+6.0H