Passing
UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL offense
- #41
- UCLA defense
- #5
EPA comparison
0.32
#41
-0.12
#5
Pass EPA
All gamesWeek 11 · Fri Nov 13 · 9:00 PM ET
Forecast win probability
ILL 41.6%58.4% UCLA
- Projected margin
- UCLA by 3.2
- Projected total
- 58
- 80% outcome range
- ILL 15 to UCLA 22
- Win probability
- UCLA 58.4%
Current team profiles
IllinoisUCLAWhen Illinois has the ball
Rushing
UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL offense
- #39
- UCLA defense
- #1
EPA comparison
0.18
#39
-0.24
#1
Rush EPA
Drive success
UCLA defense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL offense
- #15
- UCLA defense
- #5
Success rates
50%
#15
32%
#5
Success rate
More metrics
0.23
#34
-0.20
#1
EPA / play
1.25
#60
1.23
#74
Explosiveness
11%
#14
21%
#11
Havoc
When UCLA has the ball
Passing
UCLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL defense
- #126
- UCLA offense
- #98
EPA comparison
0.37
#126
0.12
#98
Pass EPA
Rushing
UCLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL defense
- #101
- UCLA offense
- #12
EPA comparison
0.12
#101
0.26
#12
Rush EPA
Drive success
UCLA offense
Higher-ranked profile
- ILL defense
- #117
- UCLA offense
- #44
Success rates
46%
#117
46%
#44
Success rate
More metrics
0.25
#130
0.20
#46
EPA / play
1.27
#93
1.23
#72
Explosiveness
12%
#125
14%
#63
Havoc
Current key players
IllinoisQBKatin Houser
1246 yds · 11 TD · 3 INT
90.814/729
WRCollin Dixon
40 rec · 546 yds · 8 TD
87.019/2069
LBCameron Thomas
5 tkl · 1.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.3
- Coverage
- 84.7
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 18
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
80.676/1796
LBWill Holmes
13 tkl · 2.0 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 76.4
- Coverage
- 60.3
- Pressures
- 16
- Pass-rush snaps
- 92
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 1
79.491/1796
RBJavari Barnett
54 yds · 1 TD · 5.4 YPC
79.393/1044
DBMatthew Bailey
37 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 70.2
- Coverage
- 79.8
- Targets allowed
- 7
- Rec allowed
- 3
- Yards allowed
- 38
- Passer rating allowed
- 20.8
- Missed tackles
- 3
78.681/2969
Availability reports · 11
- Tanner Hollinger · TEout · 2026-08-11
Hollinger has been out of commission due to an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season
- Alex Perry · WRout · 2026-08-13
Perry is batting with a shoulder injury and will undergo surgery, and team officials have yet to provide an exact return date.
- BJ Thurman · TEout · 2026-08-13
Thurman is laid up with foot surgery, and he is likely to miss the remainder of the season.
- Grant Smith · TEout · 2026-08-23
Smith is laid up with an undisclosed injury, and he will be idle for the remainder of the season.
- Will Vala III · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Vala III is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the field against Ducks on Sunday, October 24t
- Jacob Eberhart · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Eberhart is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it has yet to be determined if he will take the field against Ducks on Sunday, October 24t
- Jacob Harvey · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Harvey is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Jayshon Platt · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Platt is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it is unknown if he will partake against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- John Forster · RBQues. · 2026-10-11
Forster is nursing with a knee injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Kenyon Alston · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Alston is managing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will be active against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
- Nas Rankin · WRQues. · 2026-10-11
Rankin is nursing with a leg injury, and it is unclear whether he will play against Ducks on Sunday, October 24th.
UCLAQBNico Iamaleava
820 yds · 4 TD · 2 INT
64.9216/729
LBSammy Omosigho
38 tkl · 7.0 TFL · 3.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 91.7
- Coverage
- 82.5
- Pressures
- 11
- Pass-rush snaps
- 42
- Missed tackles
- 2
- Forced fumbles
- 3
90.78/1796
LBTrent Hendrick
7 tkl · 0.0 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
- Run defense
- 78.7
- Coverage
- 82.5
- Pressures
- 1
- Pass-rush snaps
- 7
- Missed tackles
- 1
- Forced fumbles
- 0
86.825/1796
RBWayne Knight
445 yds · 9 TD · 9.1 YPC
86.227/1044
DBTa'Shawn James
24 tkl · 2 PD · 3 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 74.0
- Coverage
- 84.8
- Targets allowed
- 10
- Rec allowed
- 6
- Yards allowed
- 70
- Passer rating allowed
- 41.7
- Missed tackles
- 5
84.328/2969
DBDerrick Barksdale
12 tkl · 1 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
- Run defense
- 72.5
- Coverage
- 76.5
- Targets allowed
- 18
- Rec allowed
- 12
- Yards allowed
- 110
- Passer rating allowed
- 120.1
- Missed tackles
- 3
77.7102/2969
Availability reports · 3
- Mikey Matthews · WRout · 2026-09-21
Matthews is dealing with a lower-leg injury, and he has been shut down for the remainder of the season.
- Josh Phifer · TEQues. · 2026-10-11
Phifer is dealing with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 17th.
- Sam Yoon · OGQues. · 2026-10-11
Yoon is sidelined with an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will suit up against Badgers on Saturday, October 17th.
Position units
Position-unit comparison
ILLIllinois
UCLAUCLA
vs
Offense
90.8
#14 of 138
QB
Quarterback
64.9
#120 of 138
75.4
#70 of 138
RB
Running backs
86.0
#7 of 138
75.8
#31 of 138
WR
Receivers
74.0
#43 of 138
73.7
#44 of 138
TE
Tight ends
61.1
#110 of 138
69.2
#60 of 138
OL
Offensive line
69.3
#57 of 138
Defense
72.8
#74 of 138
DL
Defensive line
80.0
#16 of 138
76.7
#48 of 138
LB
Linebackers
84.2
#8 of 138
73.0
#57 of 138
DB
Secondary
75.2
#31 of 138
Common opponents
Common opponents
Illinois
opponent
UCLA
Aaway+5.3
MDMaryland#72+51.0Aaway
Hhome-7.0
PURPurdue#67+14.0Hhome
Hhome-10.9
OREOregon#8+2.0Aaway
Aaway+1.0
MSUMichigan State#62+10.7Hhome