CFB
Model
All gamesWeek 12 · Sat Nov 21 · 12:00 AM ET
Forecast win probability
IU 70.5%29.5% WASH
Projected margin
IU by 8.1
Projected total
54
80% outcome range
IU 27 to WASH 10
Win probability
IU 70.5%

Current team profiles

Indiana
Washington

When Indiana has the ball

Passing

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
IU offense
#2
WASH defense
#69
EPA comparison
0.65
#2
0.14
#69
Pass EPA

Rushing

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
IU offense
#17
WASH defense
#29
EPA comparison
0.25
#17
-0.06
#29
Rush EPA

Drive success

IU offense
Higher-ranked profile
IU offense
#24
WASH defense
#67
Success rates
49%
#24
40%
#67
Success rate
More metrics
0.41
#2
0.00
#41
EPA / play
1.41
#5
1.16
#39
Explosiveness
11%
#18
17%
#45
Havoc

When Washington has the ball

Passing

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
IU defense
#20
WASH offense
#55
EPA comparison
0.00
#20
0.27
#55
Pass EPA

Rushing

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
IU defense
#18
WASH offense
#116
EPA comparison
-0.10
#18
-0.02
#116
Rush EPA

Drive success

IU defense
Higher-ranked profile
IU defense
#4
WASH offense
#91
Success rates
32%
#4
42%
#91
Success rate
More metrics
-0.06
#16
0.13
#76
EPA / play
1.43
#132
1.24
#68
Explosiveness
19%
#24
14%
#52
Havoc

Current key players

Indiana
QBGrant Wilson
74 yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
86.433/729
RBTurbo Richard
587 yds · 5 TD · 9.3 YPC
91.03/1044
WRCharlie Becker
27 rec · 477 yds · 8 TD
88.710/2069
WRNick Marsh
23 rec · 341 yds · 4 TD
82.239/2069
LBJacob Savage
6 tkl · 1.5 TFL · 1.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
77.6
Coverage
63.8
Pressures
2
Pass-rush snaps
1
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
78.6108/1796
LBJeff Utzinger
8 tkl · 0.5 TFL · 0.0 sk
Player detail
Run defense
82.3
Coverage
66.5
Pressures
1
Pass-rush snaps
8
Missed tackles
0
Forced fumbles
0
76.1157/1796
Availability reports · 1
  • Jamari Sharpe · DBout · 2026-09-12

    Indiana cornerbacks A.J. Harris, Jamari Sharpe out vs. Howard - ESPN

Washington
QBDemond Williams Jr.
1327 yds · 8 TD · 3 INT
71.8140/729
SAlex McLaughlin
33 tkl · 3 PD · 2 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.7
Coverage
88.8
Targets allowed
8
Rec allowed
5
Yards allowed
89
Passer rating allowed
100.5
Missed tackles
5
84.527/2969
WRDezmen Roebuck
35 rec · 338 yds · 1 TD
75.1124/2069
SRahshawn Clark
13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
Player detail
Run defense
69.6
Coverage
75.9
Targets allowed
13
Rec allowed
6
Yards allowed
64
Passer rating allowed
29.0
Missed tackles
1
74.8200/2969
TEBaron Naone
16 rec · 245 yds · 2 TD
Player detail
Pass blocking
39.7
Run blocking
50.0
Penalties
1
73.855/1017
CBRamonz Adams Jr.
2 tkl · 0 PD · 0 INT
Player detail
Run defense
70.8
Coverage
70.9
Targets allowed
3
Rec allowed
2
Yards allowed
4
Passer rating allowed
70.1
Missed tackles
0
73.2267/2969
Availability reports · 5
  • Jayden Limar · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Limar will undergo surgery due to an upper body injury, and he will miss an undetermined length of time.

  • Quaid Carr · RBout · 2026-09-07

    Carr will undergo surgery due to an undisclosed injury, and he is without a definitive timetable for return.

  • CJ Christian · Sout · 2026-10-03

    Christian is sidelined due to achilles injury, and he is expected to miss the remainder of the season.

  • Demond Williams Jr. · QBQues. · 2026-10-10

    Williams is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against the Boilermakers on Friday.

  • Christian Moss · WRQues. · 2026-09-20

    Moss is tending to an undisclosed injury, and it remains to be seen if he will play against Golden Gophers on Saturday, September 26th.

Position units

Position-unit comparison

IU
WASH
vs
Offense
86.4
#31 of 138
QB
71.8
#95 of 138
85.2
#10 of 138
RB
67.9
#129 of 138
83.7
#2 of 138
WR
67.8
#111 of 138
59.0
#127 of 138
TE
73.8
#43 of 138
73.3
#26 of 138
OL
67.3
#74 of 138
Defense
81.7
#8 of 138
DL
74.5
#58 of 138
76.9
#44 of 138
LB
69.8
#106 of 138
72.5
#65 of 138
DB
75.0
#35 of 138
Common opponents

Common opponents

Indiana
opponent
Washington
H+24.1
MINN#54
-3.0H
H+26.3
PUR#67
+10.2A
H+8.1
USC#17
-4.0A
A+3.0
NEB#12
-4.6A